JohnBriggs12
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The Speed/Power Milwaukee Brewers
JohnBriggs12 replied to splitterpfj's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I don't think losing Gonzalez had much of an effect. His numbers were good but the sample size was very small. It's very unlikely that he would have finished the year with an OPS of .783. Izturis, Ransom, Bianchi, and Segura and Maysonet have combined for 12 HR and 60 RBI most of which was from the SS position. That's pretty good production. I think Aoki has had the biggest impact on this offense. The guy's been terrific. He plays winning baseball. I'd rank his acquisition one of the best moves Melvin ever made. The irony is that if Gamel doesn't get hurt, we might not see what he has. In fact, I'd be tempted to extend him a few more years. The production from the catcher position has been outstanding too. -
Katuluu, What is "highly unlikely" about Narveson returning? He's already throwing and reported to be well ahead of schedule. Unless the Brewers decide not to tender him and he thinks he has a better shot elsewhere, I think he'll be in the mix in spring. Especially given the lack of lefties. Now whether he can squeeze into a rotation of Gallardo, Fiers, Rogers, Peralta and Estrada is a different story. He may well start out in the pen or start the season on the DL so he can be sent on rehab for a month. I can't imagine the Brewers intend to go down the Manny Parra road yet another time.
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BTW, Happy Birthday Rickie, For all the grief I gave him earlier, you'd never know Rickie was born on my 30th birthday. He's finally half my age.
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2-2 split Could argue either way for Cards or Dodgers depending on which team you think will win more games down the stretch. Rooting for the Dodgers to sweep. They have the hardest schedule in the NL the rest of the way and the Cards have one of the easiest. Plus, always root against the Cardinals, right? I'd like to see Dodgers take 3 of 4. Cards have 9 game stretch vs Stros and Cubs after that. Hard to think even a team reeling the the Cards are won't take 6 of 9 from those AAA squads.
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OK, I'm stealing this from Hawk Harrelson: Don't stop now boys.
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Cardinals have been running on fumes, but they have a 9 game stretch coming up vs. Astros (6) and Cubs (3). Even stumbling teams can get healthy with a stretch like that. I think the Brewers need to go 16-4.
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I'm quoting from Buster Olney's blog today: "Rather than asking whether the Brewers have enough to get to the top, maybe the more appropriate question is: Have they been a good team all along, weighed down only by an absurdly poor bullpen?" He goes on to basically answer his own question in the affirmative by pointing out Axford's recent success. Of course anyone that's followed the Brewers all season knew that. Who knew Stan Kyles was the problem after all?
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I think a small percentage of the media will blackball him. That's why Posey has the edge right now even if the Brewers sneak in. Hard to argue that Posey isn't deserving either. He's put up great numbers for a catcher on a winning team and Braun's had some substantial help.
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Washington lost 2 of the 3 to the Marlins over the weekend. Before that they swept the Cubs and now they've won 2 straight against the reeling Mets. Big Deal. They'll likely have clinched by the time the Brewer get there. Brewers will need 3 of 4 there, but it's not impossible. Just to get to this point, the Brewers have defied the odds. Besides, the Dodgers and Cards still have to play Washington too. Coolstandings has the Brewers "up" to a 4% playoff chance now. That's 1 in 25. Who'd have thought just a few weeks ago the Brewers would be playing meaningful games in September?
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You forget next season Rogers will be 27 which is a physical peak age. He went from 44 last year to 134 this year. I think he'd be good to go from 134 to 175 or 180. Look at Fiers. He's also 27, and he threw 126 last year and he's now at 164 with no plans to shut him down certainly at least until they are officially eliminated. The rules for innings generally apply to younger guys. They took it relatively easy on Rogers because he's missed a lot of time in his career, but I think if he is healthy and effective, that he'll make the entire season. All they'd have to do is to skip a couple starts in April when there are off days, and he'd be fine assuming he stays effective and healthy.
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"Proven pitching has got us to the playoffs." You are too focused on us here. Take a look at Oakland. How much "proven pitching" did they have entering this season. What worked one year or another, isn't necessarily the right formula every year. Those teams lacked young major league pitching. This one doesn't. This Brewer team was 10 games under .500 with Greinke. They are 8 games over since he left. Estrada and Fiers both have WHIPS under 1.2 in nearly 20 starts. They have experienced success at this level. You are completely forgetting Narveson who was 23-17 in 2010 and 2011, and who's already throwing and expected to be 100% in spring. Furthermore, they don't just have Rogers to fill a 5th spot. They have 4 or 5 guys behind him, Peralta, Thornburg, Burgos, Hellweg, Nelson, etc. The great thing about a potential staff for next year is that only one guy will make enough that he can't be replaced if he struggles and that's the guy least likely to, Gallardo. Finally you brought up Sabathia. Sabathia arrived in July. That team was in contention even after losing Gallardo on the first of May. The more young arms that continue to show promise between now and next July, the more ammunition you have to make a move for a veteran next July.
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He's not unlike a young Mike Cameron, who took a while for his offensive ability to take hold. Cameron never hit for average, but had great power and could run. Cameron got more walks as pitchers respected his power. Gomez hasn't had that respect but he will start to get it and hopefully learn when guys are nibbling with him.
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Now with the expected departure of Morgan, I suppose there is an opportunity for a 4th OF spot if he were to prove capable of playing RF. And his ability to also play 1b could also render Ishikawa type expendable too as a ph/backup to Hart. I do think Gomez has nailed down the CF job, though he'll have enough slumps that he'll be sat from time to time. That should give him the potential for 250-300 AB's over the course of a season. His future in the big leagues will depend greatly on how he'd do over those opportunities. But he's got a lot of proving to do in a very short time coming off a lost season at a time which for most guys is mid career. Not only was it a lost season for him, he really wasn't missed all that much either. In fact, it could have been a plus as Aoki was found to be a more than adequate leadoff hitter. We don't know if he can handle part time work (he's never shown over time he can start or come off the bench with any great success). Defensively he's a novice in RF. What are the Brewers other options for that role? I'm sure they will look into other available guys to compete with him. Schafer could still figure in as well.
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Bianchi has a good shot to be the everyday SS next year. Segura has a little time left to show otherwise, but so far it appears he needs some time in AAA to work on his game. Remember he's only 22. I don't think the Brewers knew exactly what they had in Bianchi, but the guy's pedigree (2nd round pick), and performance in the minors and in limited action so far has opened eyes. He's too young to pigeonhole as a utility guy just yet. Oh his ceiling may not be as high as Segura's but it could very well be as a starting shortstop until Segura is ready to perform at a high level.
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Two recent examples of highly touted young 1st basemen are Justin Smoak and Ike Davis. Neither has exactly torn up major league pitching. The difference between now and when Fielder, Braun, Weeks, Hardy, Hart, et al. came along is that first of all the first three were all drafted high in round one. So the club already had a ton invested in them. Plus they weren't replacing All Stars or coming into an organization with any recent record of success. Morris should still be young enough to start working at a corner OF spot if you think he's nearly ready offensively. Maybe he's better suited for LF than RF. so that begs the question whether to move Braun. I think they'd leave that up to Braun. Morris is the MVP of a AA league. Part of that was that he was there all season. Most guys putting up those numbers get advanced. The other part was that they ostensibly had a guy just a year older playing 1B at AAA and putting up pretty decent numbers himself: .274/.354/.497. So they have riches in young players at that position. That gives them options in the trade market. Signing Hart to a 2 year extension doesn't hamstring them much. They'll find a place for both of them if they have to.
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I realize that. Still Stinson makes little sense to me.
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According to Tom H. the Brewers have called up Peralta, Thornburg, Schafer and Stinson. Apparently already having a 40 man spot in the case of Stinson meant more than actually having earned a spot (Burgos) after he posted a 1.64 WHIP and a modest to say the least 1.28 K/BB ratio at AA. I realize Burgos is up there in innings, but to give Stinson a look and not reward Burgos is puzzling.
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Most Disappointing non-injured top prospect
JohnBriggs12 replied to ClosetBrewerFan's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Bradley without question. Schafer disappointed too. The other guys who struggled were all a bit fringy going into this year. -
Oops, my bad. Well good, maybe Doug is coming around to the notion they don't need a bad hitting veteran infielder. It's irrelevant where Ransom is now. The D-Backs aren't likely to save a 40 man spot for him and he'll likely be a FA. By the same token, the Brewers weren't either. That doesn't mean they don't like him for a utility role. I think they do. But whoever brings him to camp it will be on a minor league deal and I wouldn't be surprised at all if it's the Brewers.
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Last year through 133 games, Cardinals were 10 back in the WC. Brewers are 6.5 back through 133 games. Difference is the Cards didn't give up. Brewers, at least their management, is more focused on reducing chances of some future injury for one pitcher than they are making a playoff push as crazy as that seemed 2 weeks ago.
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No need to go out and buy a veteran stopgap. They have the stopgap already here and its Bianchi. Bianchi is more advanced as a hitter and likely to put up decent numbers, something like .260/.325/.375.
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Cheap = Disposable = roster flexibility. Sure the first guy tried in a spot may fail but if he's cheap he can be replaced before the season is lost, not after it. You just hope that sooner rather than later, the guy who's ready to succeed gets his turn.
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Uecker statue to be placed outside of Miller Park
JohnBriggs12 replied to DocLuna7's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Uecker certainly deserves one, but I hope this it as far as statues go for the next 20 years or so when Braun's will probably be unveiled. Personally, I've got statue fatigue. -
If it's Hart's preference to stay, then you could ask him to take a below market number with a no-trade. As has been noted not only is Morris likely to be a year (or less) away, he's also left handed, and a big lefty run producer is a need. Either Hart is going to have to move back to the OF or Morris should be tried in LF with Braun moving to right.