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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. I think in September they'll go with a 6 man rotation with Fiers and Rogers piggybacking the 6th spot rather than being completely shut down. Last night they pulled Estrada when he was under 100 pitches. Look for more of that too.
  2. I agree with everyone that it's a tough call. Morris has certainly elevated his prospect status. Hart is a beloved guy who's been productive and shown to be a very good first baseman. They did try Morris for 6 games at 3B in 2011. I'm not suggesting they try him at 3rd again, but that does mean he might have a decent enough arm to try in RF. I suppose they could always move Hart back there too. I guess it all depends on whether they'll use a good chunk of cash elsewhere. If they can fill the needs in the rotation and the bullpen relatively cheaply, it might be the deciding factor.
  3. You are saying you'd have no problem overpaying by somewhere between $3.3 and $7.3 million just to make sure he doesn't go elsewhere? Wouldn't it be more prudent to offer him his true value (6-10), then if he takes it, you still have extra to use to bolster the bullpen and if he doesn't, then go after someone else with the money you aren't spending on him? I have more confidence that they can attract another comparable arm without overpaying or deal for one as good who's cheaper and replace the talent given up in the deal with the money saved.
  4. This is only true for comparisons between players with the same number of chances. Ozzie Smith was in the top 10 for most errors by a shortstop more times (5) than Derek Jeter has been (3) Doesn't that go without saying or do I have to spell everything out so you guys so eager to argue with me will be satisfied? Chances figure into fielding percentages. Duh! Ozzie Smith was in the 5% of guys who's fielding and range was so superior that he's going to have significantly more chances than someone with average talent who'd be facing the same batted balls. That's why he's in the HOF. My point was that yes, Ramirez has had a good year in comparison with his other years and his low error total and fielding percentage (the highest of his career) is evidence of that. I'm refuting the belief by some on here that errors or lack of them don't indicate anything. When comparing one year vs. another for the same player, the assumption is his range is the same.
  5. Despite the fact that there's more to fielding than fielding percentages, 2 things are undeniable for 95% of all players: A lot of errors is bad. Not many errors is good. His errors are down, so that is a good thing and overall he's been solid. But the guys with the reputations are Zimmerman and Wright, not Aram and both of those guys have been solid as well. Chase Headley and David Freese are also guys worth considering ahead of Aram. Still he's in the upper half, and that's better than I expected.
  6. True, but they don't face pitchers in the AL either.
  7. I think you meant to say Rogers, not Gallardo. There's 2 guys in Oakland named Parker and Blackly that sort of disprove your theory though. I'd count this as Fiers first year also. All those guys in Washington, while not rookies, aren't exactly veterans either. You are right about the bullpen though. They could have 3 or 4 starters with ERA's under 4, and if the bullpen isn't fixed, it will all be for naught.
  8. I wouldn't want to even contemplate what would necessitate bringing up Vargas to pitch in September. With Thornburg, Peralta, and Marcum likely on their way to pitch, then I'd imagine that a Vargas call up would only be due to an injury to Gallardo or something catastrophic to Thornburg or Peralta---perish the thought. I would think as an alternative to Livan, or Mclendon, or even K-Rod, it's not out of the question. He's certainly earned another minor league deal with a spring training invite which I'm guessing they will extend him early on, but I doubt they'd use a 40 man spot on him.
  9. What should be annoying Attanasio, is that Roenicke is choosing to rest regulars on days when they have capacity crowds. Why alienate that many paying fans? At this point in the season, all they have to offer is entertainment. Watching Ransom fan 4 times isn't entertaining and those fans may not ante up the next time. Ransom's around so that guys like Bianchi and Green can play every day. I get that. Ramirez as an older player needs a day here and there, but not on the same day you are also resting Hart. I think Morgan's playing time is to showcase him but the more he plays, the less interest he garners. But as far as pitching goes, fans would rather see Peralta or Thornburg starting games instead of Randy Wolf. It's a very callous attitude to think because they have already sold tickets that they can run out Wolf who nobody in their right mind would buy a ticket to see now. Peralta logged 150 innings last year, and is only at 130 right now. Thornburg's only at 113. Innings shouldn't be that big an issue and they can control them somewhat with a 6 man rotation. I'd go with Gallardo, Fiers, Marcum, Rogers, Peralta, and Thornburg and I'd sent Estrada to the pen to help out there.
  10. Lets see. Wolf, who turns 36 in a couple days, may have the worst ERA of anyone in the NL with over 20 starts. K-Rod's been awful for almost all season. Livan Hernandez, 37, has 5.40 ERA which doesn't seem all that bad because he doesn't torture us by walking guys. Mike Mclendon has a 5.93 ERA. Parra's only been acceptable by comparison to those guys. Morgan's been lousy all year too. And you're worried about Ransom still being around? At least he's had a couple big hits and plays defense. I wouldn't have hesitated releasing any of those guys and would have by now. Sure when the rosters expand, you can sit all of them but what kind of atmosphere is that for young players you are bringing up to have a half dozen veterans around with no role next year and who are just occupying space? Specifically to Ransom though, I think they like Bianchi playing everyday until September. Ransom probably can use the roster time toward his pension (unlike the others that are set), and they are rewarding him for coming in and doing some positive things.
  11. PEM is right. The qualifying offer amount is double what he's going to get in the open market. You can't be afraid to just walk away, and look for a better bang for your buck elsewhere.
  12. I want to know where that dream world you live in is. Gamel is an unproven 1b in his late 20's coming off a serious injury. His value was fairly high at one time but that was 2009. I'm not even sure its enough for a proven reliever with a moderate contract, but I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt. Kottaras got them a AAA longshot.
  13. Exactly. He's not going to get anything near $13 million a season in FA and given he's coming off an injury plagued season, teams aren't going to be lining up to give him multiple years either. It's probably in his best interest to sign a one year deal for half that (or even less with some incentives) and show he's healthy for a full season, then go the FA route. That could work for the Brewers too.
  14. Villanueva remains one of the most interesting names out there. He posted yet another strong start last night. He turns 29 in November. My guess is he'll look for an opportunity to be a starter but teams aren't likely to offer him big FA starter money based on a dozen or so starts this year . Brewers have needs in both areas. He's familiar with the surroundings obviously and there are still a number of guys who he knows well from his first time. Edit: Villanueva definitely wants to start. Quoted on Sportsnet, Villanueva said: "Starting would be ideal. The thing I've always wanted is 30 starts. I want to see what I can do without worrying about the rough stretch every pitcher goes through where the team panics (shot at Ned Yost circa 07 and 08) and pulls me. As an opposing hitter said: "He's good, man. I'm not sure why but it always seems he gets screwed when it comes to starting over relieving." Hmm. Seems to me I made that point a number of times when he was a Brewer.
  15. I'd just release K-Rod. Mclendon's not getting opportunities to pitch because Roenicke has this fantasy that if he keeps running K-Rod out there, suddenly he's going to revert to last year's form. Melvin needs to put his foot down and take away that option. K-Rod's proven there's no lead big enough he can't surrender. Of course that's true for most of the pen, but some of those guys might actually return next year. Livan has no future here either so, why is he taking up a roster spot? Might as well have Claudio Vargas up here than Livan.
  16. Peavy is 2 years, 5 months older than Greinke. That's closer to 2 years than it is 3. Peavy doesn't turn 32 until the end of May next season. It's more his 31/32 season. "Peavy is like Sheets but only more injury prone." Based on what? Peavy's never had under 100 innings in any season. Sheets is 3 years older than Peavy (2 years, 10 months to be exact) and missed the entire 2009 and 2011 seasons. Peavy hasn't missed a start in 2012 and is on pace to log over 200 innings. The last time Sheets logged 200 innings, John Kerry was running for president.
  17. Let Henderson close for the rest of the year. Find a rubber armed veteran ala Saloman Torres in the offseason to be a fall back closer in case Axford doens't return to form and Henderson turns into a pumpkin. My suggestion? Offer Gamel to the Rockies for Matt Belisle. Belisle has a rubber arm. He's never been "the guy" in the pen but he'd likely be adequate, and very useful in the late innings if Axford gets his mojo back or Henderson proves to be the real deal.
  18. Jake Peavy's had a nice comeback year (a better year than Greinke), but it's questionable whether the White Sox will pick up his $22 million option. His injury risks should mean a discount in years and money and he's not all that much older than Greinke. Just sayin.
  19. Unfortunately for Brewer fans, the earliest Roenicke could be fired is sometime in 2014. He's the 3rd bad manager hire by Melvin. Most GM's don't get more than 2 hires. Melvin has to go before Roenicke. Since Melvin just signed an extension so he's got at least 2 more years.
  20. It won't be difficult creating room on the 40 man. Once the roster expands, teams might be interested in guys like Wolf, Loe, Parra, Morgan, and even Ransom. Other guys could just be released (cough, K-Rod) Deals still happen after Sept. 1.
  21. I would hope Morgan, Parra, Veras, and Loe are all non-tendered. Their open market values are all below what they'd get in arbitration, so even if you wanted one or two of them back (why would you?), you try to get them to agree ahead of time on a lower number.
  22. CheezWizHed, I ignore the ribbing as I consider the source. All I can say about the AFL is I'm sure Gennett isn't going. He's played almost 16 months straight and I think it's showed over the last couple months. Khris Davis seems likely as does Bucci. Beyond that it's anyone's guess. Casey Medlen, Darren Byrd and Tommy Toledo are names that haven't been mentioned.
  23. True, they have a lot of inexpensive pitching options and the everyday lineup looks set. But Attanasio's MO is that when he has money in his budget he'll take shots at guys in areas of need like he did with Gagne in 08 and Hoffman in 09. It might not be a FA. It could be someone's salary dump. His thinking seems to be he's willing to spend X number of dollars, and if he's under that number initially, he'll gamble with what essentially in his mind is house money. I could see him taking a flyer on a Carlos Marmol, who the Cubs would gladly unload for next to nothing in return. Marmol is due to make $9.8 million next year. The Cubs would have to throw in some money, but Marmol is a guy who's upside might be worth gambling some house money. Let me make this clear, I'm not advocating it one way or the other. I'm just pointing out Attanasio's likely moves based on his history.
  24. I disagree with those that want to bat him 8th. One reason he's breaking out is that he's hitting in front of Braun. His numbers in the 2 hole are .277/.333/.511. His career numbers batting 2nd are also above his career numbers (.260/.300/.436 vs. .245/.293/.373) If you hit him 8th, he'll likely revert to a .230 hitter with less power. Furthermore, you hit him 8th and he gets on with less than 2 outs, what happens? The pitcher bunts. His base stealing ability is wasted in that scenario. He's a guy that even with Braun up, his steal percentage is such that it's not that big a risk to run him. True there are guys who could hit 2nd who might get on base a little more often, but those are guys who'd likely put up the same numbers anywhere. Gomez is a guy who benefits the most in that spot and his ability to disrupt pitchers when he's on, is a valuable asset.
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