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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    Marcum is in line to get something like $10-12m for next season. I would rather see the Brewers trade Marcum than lock him up because Marcum is going to get paid like a #1 or #2 pitcher in the range of $13-17m a year. That is going to be a bad contract for the Brewers. That's because he is a #1 or #2. I don't know how you can look at his stats (career and this year) and think he's anything but.Be careful when looking at his stats. Against .500 or better teams he's a pedestrian 3-3 with a 4.19 ERA. Furthermore, the Brewers are just one game over .500 in games he's started (15-14). That doesn't say a 1 or a 2 to me. He's done most of his damage against teams like Houston and Pittsburgh.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    No matter how good a pitcher is, there is tremendous risk in large long term (over 3 year) deals. Marcum has already missed an entire season due to injury. I wouldn't want to tie up $60 or $70 million on him over 4 or 5 years. What's wrong with trying to repeat the formula used to get Marcum rather than committing long term big dollars to keep him beyond next season? Better yet, develop your own young pitchers.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    I hope you're not being serious, because if Rickie isn't 100% then he has no business playing 2B, so he shouldn't be feeling any strain on his ankle.No business playing at less than 100%? I know I'm old school but are you serious? What player out there is 100%? It's nearly playoff time. It's time to suck it up and play. Just ask Kirk Gibson. He has November, December, January, February, and March if needed to recover.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    While there isn't a whole lot of tension in the games now, it does give a lot more time for anticipating the playoffs both for the fans and the players. In 08, I don't think the team was quite emotionally ready to start the playoffs so soon after the drama of the season end. To an extent the same thing happened in 82, after Baltimore forced them to a final game clinching. But they recovered in time that year.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    Narveson's a big reason the team is where it is. There aren't many teams out there that are 5 games over .500 in games started by their 5th starter. He's also 4-1 with a 3.05 ERA in the 2nd half. He not only deserves to continue starting and put up some numbers, he needs to stay sharp in case he's needed in the postseason, not only to relieve but to start in case of something happening to one of the other starters. Also I don't expect them to use him in a loogy role in the playoffs. They've been on this tear with no lefty in the pen. His value will be to rescue a starter struggling early, particularly against a lefty dominated team like the Phils. In fact, it will be interesting to see how he fares on Thursday against the Phillies. A solid outing and maybe you think about starting two lefties against them. His lone start against them this year wasn't bad (6 IP, 4 H, 3ER).
  6. JohnBriggs12
    You aren't reading enough into this. Prince will be playing 1B for the Brewers next season.
  7. JohnBriggs12
  8. JohnBriggs12
    You are right but Bando's bad luck started before that. Check the offensive numbers the 96 team put up. That team scored 894 runs. While it's true that team played with DH, the most any team in the Braun/Fielder era has scored is 801. This year's team will be lucky to get to 740. Of course that team's SS made 37 errors (and you guys think Yuni is the worst ever). Bando was also hindered by cheap ownership and injuries to Eldred and D'Amico.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    I caught the 10th inning of the Reds/Cards today on MLB extra innings. Cards announcers seem to have thrown in the towel. Even another sweep only gets them to 6.5 back with 3 weeks to play. That's a tall order. They know losing 2 of 3 at home to Reds killed any momentum from the sweep.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    I agree with you JB, but I really think the Brewers are big on the team chemistry thing. They think playing young players over vets will ruin team chemistry and they believe having a bunch of young guys clogging up the clubhouse would be bad for team chemistry. You could be right that is what they are thinking but it is utter nonsense. What, the clubhouse isn't big enough? Modern clubhouses are huge. Somehow 8-10 rookies, all of whom were around in Maryvale, are going to upset team chemistry sitting on the bench or roaming the vast bullpen? You have them there for the experience and only secondarily to play (except in rare instances) after the division is wrapped up and the Phillies are out of reach. Who are they kidding? The only possible guy who's playing time would be affected (he'd move well down the list of PH with all those lefty bats) is Counsell. Counsell's entering the final month of his career and should be ecstatic he's still around. Maybe Wilson might feel a little uneasy knowing he'll likely not be kept on the roster in the winter, but he's already uneasy about that.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    That's great news. Herrara had been very good at AAA and he is just 26 so he would seem to have some value. It's nice that it frees up a roster spot for either Fiers or Gindl, both of whom earned a callup.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    I would think Maldanado's spot on the 40 man is pretty secure.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    The Brewers have a number of guys that deserve a September call up, but not enough 40 man spots available. They need to make room for Gindl and Fiers. Fiers has allowed 80 hits in 121 IP between AA and AAA. Are you kidding me? That is ridiculous. Gindl at 22, has put up an .879 OPS at AAA. That is pretty darn impressive too. Even though he's been solid at AAA, DiFelice's roster spot should go to a younger guy. I'm not sure where the other spot would come from (Rogers seems to be wasting one) but those guys have earned it. As for playing time, who cares? Letting them get a taste of a championship season is a reward. Hopefully there will be 10 games or so at the end of the schedule that are meaningless. That's plenty of time to give them each some major league exposure while resting the starters.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    Last Saturday, since I didn't have a ticket going in and wasn't sure I'd get what I wanted at my price and therefore wanted to avoid the lots , I parked on 52nd, just off of National. I was pleased to find the walkway through the VA property that I used to use quite frequently back in the 80's was still there. I got out of there in no time (west on National) and the walk was really no longer than to the back portion of many of the lots.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    There's been a lot of speculation that Reyes' value has dropped due to all his injuries and this makes sense as speed is a big part of his game. But when healthy this is one tremendous player. He has plenty of power for a SS. He's had years of 19, 12, and 16 HR before the move to Citi Field. He also averages about 15 triples a year. I think he'll get in the neighborhood of $15-16 million a year over 6 years. If Fielder leaves, Brewers can compete in that neighborhood, and I think they should.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    I still take Fielder over Braun based on the fact that Prince has played 12 more games than Braun. It's as simple as that. Assuming all else is equal, and you can argue which stat one guy leads in over the other, but basically offensively when both are in the lineup, they are equally as valuable. So you go with the guy who's started all 135 games to this point over the guy who's started 121. Braun was of zero value in 12 games that he missed entirely and of little value in the two he came off the bench. I also tend to lean to Fielder, because invariably on a game after game basis, he faces an opponent late in games who's one job is to get him out.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    It will certainly be nice once Gomez and Weeks return so the number one RH pinch hitting option is someone other than Josh Wilson.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    The Brewers had a ton invested in Braun (5th overall pick), Fielder (7th overall pick) and Weeks (2nd overall pick). There is no way that journeymen like Overbay, Spivey, Helms or Graffanino would hold those guys back. Hardy was replacing a 34 year old SS that hit .241/.330/.315 on a 94 loss team the year before. Ironically that SS is still on the current roster at age 41. They had nothing to lose playing Hardy in those days. He was ready defensively, and eventually put up respectable numbers for the year as a rookie. McGehee had 21 more RBI than Fielder last year and despite his struggles for much of the year the team was still hovering near first place from June on. The guy had earned the benefit of the doubt and I think his solid 2nd half (.278/.325/.458) bears that out.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    The off day certainly figured in the thinking. But so should have the opponent and the lead in the division and the fact that it was a day game after 2 night games.. I would have gone with Saito or Loe to get the last out in the 8th, and then to K-Rod for the 9th. That was as poor as Axford's looked in months. There is no reason for him to go 3 consecutive days at this point.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    The Brewers have essentially won 2 of 3 over the past 101 games (67-34). If they do that over the remaining 27, they'll end up 99-63. Assuming that includes 3 of 4 from the Phillies, the Phillies would have to go 15-14 in their other 29 games to reach 99 wins. Possible? Certainly. Certainly not likely, but possible.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    Valbuena has 795 major league plate appearances and he's a .222 hitter. To me he's a guy that hits in AAA but can't hit major league pitching.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    I completely agree that either Marcum or Wolf will be traded, but I think it's more likely will be Wolf and I'm not sure it will be for a "'real" SS. They are on pace for 95 or so wins with a "fake" SS. No, I think Wolf will be dealt to save money to pay Prince. Wolf would probably bring a mid level pitching prospect or perhaps a near major league ready guy with a lower ceiling that would add to starter depth. I would also point out that with Peralta in the rotation along with 4 holdovers from this year, that Estrada, De la Cruz, Fiers and one or two others that could emerge (Merklinger for instance) provide decent depth. I'm not concerned in the least about Peralta's limited AAA time. Peralta has 32 combined starts between AA and AAA. That's plenty That's about the equivalent of the two young stalwarts on the D-Backs, Kennedy and Hudson and 3 more than Gallardo had at AA and AAA combined. Keep in mind too, that no amount of depth is going to cover for the long term loss of any of the top 3 guys. Just ask the Cardinals. Depth is nice to have but doesn't win championships.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    Tim Dierkes on his MLBtraderumors chat when pressed for one team he thinks will sign Fielder: "Brewers". He also gave an outstanding answer to this burning question: "If the Brewers lock up Prince (along with the rest already under deals) will they ever be able to build a team around them when Greinke and Marcum move on?" Dierkes answer: "Of course, what's to stop Melvin from drafting/discovering a few decent prospects and flipping them for SPs like he did with Greinke/Marcum? Or a few SPs could come out of the woodwork like they do every year in MLB." Exactly my sentiments Tim. You nailed it.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    How does Desmond fix the SS position longterm? He's had one OK year and regressed from that to a .610 OPS. He's far from an long term answer. Besides I think the Nats will look for a more established CF and Desmond isn't going to bring them that.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    The difference is that this Brewer team is better than any team in the division and it's not particularly close. I don't see it happening. If you've seen the Cardinals play in the last week, they know they are toast.
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