rluzinski

I'm not sure posting career splits qualifies as sample size hunting. If you think the change in his pitching repertoire caused the split reduction, I won't argue with you because I have no idea. All I know is one year sample splits are statistically worthless.

Your point seemed to be that some worry is warranted becomes teams come back all the time down 2-0 in 7 games series. You seem to not be saying that now, but I have no idea how to parse your previous post to come to any other conclusion. And yes, when looking at 30 teams over the course of 162 games, many will lose 3 games in a row. This is the wrong way to look at it, however. I gave you the odds of two teams with even winning odds/per game, losing or winning 3 games in a row. 12.5% ain't never. As I said before, worry about what you want, but the odds are the odds.

Statistically speaking, a small sample size like that can not begin to prove a reverse split. His career splits show us exactly what we would expect: vs RHB: 0.685 OPS (2618 PA) vs. LHB: 0.742 OPS (2510 PA)

And they would come back even more often if it was a 9 game series. The limited length of this series is WHY coming back 2-0 would be difficult for the Cubs. It is certainly still doable, however. They basically need to flip heads three times in a row: 50% x 50% X 50% = 12.5% (pretty close to the odds that Fangraphs gives them). If the Cubs win tonight, their odds roughly double, to around 25%. I would love nothing more for the Brewers to finish this up today, but I also won't be freaking out if they lose. Of course, everyone is welcome to freak out at whatever percentages they want to!

BaseballProspectus projects that the Brewers will play .500 the rest of the way, takes into account the Cubs talent and easy schedule, and still gives the Brewers a 91.6% chance of winning the division. Fangraphs 95.7%. If the Brewers go 11-11, it's 99+%

This is like using an anecdote of an inning ending double play with the bases loaded, as proof that in-play outs are worse than strikeouts. You are misrepresenting their argument, which is based on aggregate data.

I bought mine the day after they lost the 12th game this year. Not in my wildest dreams did I think I would be wearing it this soon with a chance for #12 again.

I have no idea how ESPN compiles that list but I do not think it is outrageous that the Brewers do not have a player in the top 50. Just looking at fWAR for pitchers, the top Brewer is Freddy at 29th (2.3 WAR). For position players, Contreras is at 40th (3.0 WAR). Overall, there are 55 players with an fWAR of 3.0 or higher. The team as a whole has excellent metrics all over the place, but it is because have just been solid from top to almost bottom.

You can also reach base on a strikeout. 😉 https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/opponent-errors-per-game

You can make as much money managing a KFC as being a hitting coach in the majors. That is how much they are valued by their employers. Their biggest utility is giving certain baseball fans someone to blame. I am also certain that a new owner will result in the smallest market team in the majors having a $200 mil yearly payroll. Again, I am as pissed as anyone to see a solid 162 game season end with 2 bad games. But must we always have to just start throwing darts at the wall, to find an outlet for our pain? See you all next year!

Jesus *****.

I agree. If we just fire Haynes, it will all be fixed. These guys get paid peanuts because they are basically irrelevant. Look somewhere else to focus your angst.

I'm as pissed as anyone but yeh, these responses are pretty silly. Blaming hitting coaches at this point is just cringe

Normally true, but not with our offense and the Braves and Dodgers looming. Brewers had maybe a 1 in 10 shot of making the WS before the injury. Anything can happen but this stinks.

Turang's OPS back under .600. Plenty of reason to think he will improve offensively but not many positives to take away from his stick this year.