JohnBriggs12
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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12
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I'm not concerned about his OBP vs. RHP being "only .303". First, batting 6th, OBP isn't that critical and .303 isn't grossly bad either especially when combined with a SP just under .500.. Second, that's a season long stat. His power surge started in mid-May. We're only now starting to see that having an affect on how he's pitched. Pitchers are going to be more likely to nibble now than they were in April. That OBP should go up.
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"He'll probably hit a power slump at some point" Well he won't keep up 11 HR in 17 games pace, but he shouldn't fall into the kind of two month power slumps he's had in the past unless he goes back to the "all-arms" swings he often used in the past. Hopefully Sveum is saving his tapes from the past couple weeks.
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The Jim Joyce/Perfect Game Thread
JohnBriggs12 replied to Southwest Brewer's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Where's Bruce Froemming now? Can we finally end this nonsense that umpires at the major league level are highly skilled and trained? It doesn't take special skill to be an umpire. Many people with some training could do that job. All it takes is the ability to handle being away from home, and the ability to handle public criticism. I don't feel bad for Joyce. His fellow umpires will rally around him. They always do. As for Gallaraga, it might end up being a plus. Everyone remembers what Harvey Haddix did. But he didn't go down in the record books as having pitched a perfect game either. -
In watching Hart the past couple seasons, his approach often had turned into that of a singles hitter. He seemed to be slapping at the ball and just looking to put it in play rather than using a power-type stroke. He also bunted a lot. It was if he fell in love with the idea he was a speed guy more than a power guy. I don't know what's turned him around, whether it was Sveum or something else. I know Sveum preaches being aggressive in the zone. It might just be that he's finally confident now that he's learned to lay off the bad breaking stuff and realized that power is his game. Corey Hart is 6'6" 230. Yeah he has speed, though I think he's lost a step and he's not going to get faster. He needs to continue to realize that he's a power guy and forget trying to be a spray hitter.
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Probably because his overall OBP is hovering around .300. Weeks isn't an ideal leadoff hitter, but he's definitely a better option than Esco. Braun's back in the 2 spot tonight, so I was clearly wrong in the post above. Hopefully we see some results tonight. What difference does his overall OBP make? You want your leadoff man to get on when he's leading off. Weeks isn't doing that. Escobar is. Leading off a game his OBP is .275. That's horrendous. He's scored 7 times in the first inning in 51 games. That's terrible. Based on his success getting on when leading off, if Escobar was leading off more innings, one could surmise that his overall OBP were be considerably higher than it is now. Much of the time he comes up with 2 out and the pitcher on deck. In that situation, he doesn't get much to hit.
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Escobar has led off an inning 37 times. 17 of those times, he's hit safely (.486). Of those 17 hits, 1 was a double, 2 were triples, and 1 was a HR. Twice more he walked for an OBP of .514. He scored on 29.7% of the times he's led off an inning (11) Weeks has led off an inning 103 times. 19 of those times, he's hit safely (.211). He's walked 10 times and has been hit by a pitch 3 times. Overall, his OBP leading off is .311. Weeks has scored on 13.4% of the times he's led off an inning (14 for 103). Basically, in 66 fewer chances, Escobar has 2 fewer hits and 3 fewer runs scored than Rickie Weeks leading off an inning. That despite the fact, in most of those opportunities, Escobar has had the pitcher or the number 8 hitter batting behind him. Why is it nobody (but me) thinks Escobar should be leading off?
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I might wind up having to eat these words. Loe's sinker was a fantastic pitch last night -- just tons of break on it. His slider looked pretty solid too. Not sure I think he could have as much success as a starter, since he'd lose velocity, but he could be a nice fit in the bullpen. There's some sinker/slider types that have had success starting. Say what you want about Jon Garland, but he's having a great year and he hasn't missed a start since early in W's first term.
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"They may decide that Week's potential is worth the injury risk" Potential? Weeks is in his 6th full season in the majors. Ron Darling pretty much echoed the sentiment around baseball on Weeks during the Mets/Brewers series that he's likely reached the level he's going to reach and that Weeks' high K rate this year is not something you should be seeing from someone with his experience and tools.
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I definitely think Fielder's slow start has cost him. Even if he returns to close to his 2009 form the rest of the way, his overall 2010 numbers aren't likely to be any better than his 2008 numbers. There's a huge difference between an .879 OPS, 34 HR, 104 RBI and a 1.014 OPS, 46 HR, 141 RBI player. The former is a slightly above average 1B. The latter are HOF, Pujols numbers. A season like he had in 2008, would mean 2 of his last 3 years, he's not been a special player. That will reduce his value significantly, probably to around $17.5 million per year. He's not quite to that point yet, but he's getting there fast. Boras may decide to gamble that Prince will bounce back in 2011 and restore his value back to the $23-25 million per year range. That's a huge gamble, because if he's just a little above average again in 2011, then his value may sink to the $14 million a year range.
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It is clearly Melvin's fault. Since 2007 season ended, he spent 16.25 million on Mike Cameron, $11.15 million on Kendall/Zaun, approximately $20 million on Hall, $12.75 million on Riske, $13.5 million on Hoffman and $10 million on Gagne. That's almost $85 million to various mostly older players, none of which are starting pitchers. Was some of that spending necessary? Probably, but certainly nowhere near that amount. Lets say instead of spending $85 million on those positions, he spent $55 million. That would have left him $10 million per year that could have been used on starting pitching. Now given his track record, it's quite possible that he would have wasted that also, but we'll never know.
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The Marlins are looking for a lefty specialist to combat the LH power in their division. Stetter would make a lot of sense for them. Just a suggestion but Donnie Murphy is having a heck of a year for Marlins at AAA hitting .315/.356/.613 and can play anywhere on the infield. Plus he's a much needed right handed bat. He's been a bust in the majors so far but maybe a light's gone on. Besides, Counsell is an obvious guy to look to unload to a contender and Murphy would make a decent replacement.
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Orlando Hudson signed a one year deal last February for $5 million. Felipe Lopez signed for a $1.75 million base. Both are having better years than Weeks. Weeks isn't worth all that much. Maybe 3 yrs/$18 million tops and that's assuming he picks it up this year and finishes around .275/.360/.430. If he chooses to test the market, fine. Every year there are bargain FA 2B available.
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A couple things would at least make me at least consider. Perez' two solid years with the Mets were with Peterson as their pitching coach and the fact that he rebounded from two awful years in Pittsburgh so it's not that far fetched to think he could do it again. Plus he's still only 28. The Cubs revived Carlos Silva. It happens. But I'd be much more inclined to just wait until the Mets eat his contract rather and then take a flier on him. Besides, I don't think they want Suppan either.
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He wasn't that bad last night. Two opposite field lazy flies landed a total of 2 feet inside the lines for doubles. One should have been caught but once again for whatever reason, Hart got a poor jump and wasn't flat out initially.
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Dontrelle Willis DFA'd [Traded to D'Backs, Reply #23/24]
JohnBriggs12 replied to Bikeage77's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
MLB traderumors site links to Joe Capozzi of Palm Beach Post tweeting that 4 teams are interested in Willis: Diamondbacks, Mets, Marlins and BREWERS! -
I can understand being frustrated that Suppan's still around but are people really upset about a 30 year old who's 5 for 43 in the majors being taken off the roster? Cain's days in Huntsville are numbered and they'll need a spot in Nashville for him to play anyway. He's already on the 40 man and if they need a guy for a week here or there, he's probably a better option than Stern is at this point in part because he's right handed. Having Cain up for a week or 10 days isn't going to slow his development.
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I think they really messed up Estrada by using him in back to back to back days, the first of which he threw 52 pitches. This for a guy who was starting every 5th day in Nashville. I know they want to see what Parra could do, but after 6 weeks in the pen, Parra wasn't stretched out. Parra wasn't terrible out of the pen. Maybe they should have just let him be there. I would keep Narveson in the rotation. That he wilted in Miami in a day game in the 6th inning shouldn't be cause for making a change. A lot of guys would wilt in that place. Capuano is just as big a question mark as the rest. When we last saw him in 2007, he'd be fine the first two times through the order, then get lit up the 3rd time through. He got past the 6th inning in 3 straight starts for Nashville, but surrendered 10 hits in one of those. Loe was a groundball machine for Nashville (2.24/1 ratio). As a result he got through at least 6 innings in 8 of 10 starts. Ground ball pitchers tend to be more efficient as they pitch to contact more and get more double plays turned. Since pitch efficiency is so lacking in this group, I'd like to see Loe get a shot as a starter. I don't see him as a savior but I think he could give them 6 innings more often than most of the guys in this group. Maybe 6 starters and sometimes 7 is the answer. Look at the team and matchups.
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In 2005, Loe went 9-6 with a 3.42 ERA in 48 games including 8 starts. I think that compares very favorably with what Parra did in 2008. Loe as a starter is 13-19 with a 5.08 ERA. How is that "well over 5"? Parra is 21-19 with a 5.23 ERA. Where did I say he should be taking Parra's job? I never said or even implied that. I compared him to Parra for the simple reason that they are of similar age and experience and that if someone thinks Parra belongs in the majors, then it's fair to say so does Loe. As for stuff, at what point do results trump stuff?
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Loe is one year older than Manny Parra. Loe has logged 343 career innings to Parra's 363. Compared to Parra, Loe has the better career ERA (4.77 to 5.08) and better career WHIP (1.516 to 1.660) Loe's entire major league career was spent in the AL pitching for a team that plays in a hitter's park. Parra's entire major league career has been in the NL. Now if you assume both are completely healthy, who's the better pitcher? The stats say Loe. Loe is also decidedly a ground ball pitcher (1.82 to 1 GO/AO ratio) who tends to not run up pitch counts (3.61 pitches per AB).
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Seriously? He didn't sign a contract agreeing to a certain level of productiveness. He agreed to a contract to play baseball for 4 years for the Brewers. This "stealing money" nonsense is getting ridiculous around here. Yes seriously. I understand all the justifications (primarily that he earned his contract by what he did prior to signing it) he has for not quitting and he has every legal right to continue and that's what we expect in this "get it all while you can" culture.. But this is a guy who has very openly set a high standard for himself (for which I applaud him) and when you no longer possess the ability to "play baseball" to even the minimum level required of a major league player to continue to collect a paycheck for doing so is dishonest. That's my opinion.
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At this point, I'm more disappointed in Suppan the man than Suppan the pitcher. Suppan is stealing money now and he knows it. For a guy who's been very public with his strong religious convictions, that he would not voluntarily walk away is hypocritical.
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Despite the fact that his BA is just .241, I think the Brewers would be better served with Heether as the 25th man on the varsity than Stern or a 13th pitcher. He's developed some real pop in his bat the last couple years and the Brewers really could use a RH bench bat.
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Umpires have huge egos. Look at Bruce Froemming. He retired 3 years ago, and his mug keeps showing up on Brewer broadcasts (thank whoever invented the mute button) and radio spots. Anyone remember former NL umpire Dutch Rennert from Oshkosh? I go back to when Dutch was a minor league umpire in the summer, and a high school and college basketball referee in the winter. Even doing high school games (some of which I played in), Dutch thought he was the show. If he called a foul on a made shot, he would hold his arm up, run from under the basket all the way to the scorer's table, and then signify the basket counted with a dramatic arm motion. As a major league umpire, nobody was more noticeable than Rennert.
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I don't like the timing of this move at all. For the first time all season, in the past week the Brewers looked like they had a major league pitching staff. Now they've apparently been forced to add a guy who despite his success in limited minor league appearances, is still a huge question mark and who when we last saw him in Milwaukee wasn't very good. In all likelyhood, they'll option out a nice younger arm in Estrada or worse, Braddock, to accomodate him. No knock on Capuano, but it would have been better if a contract wasn't forcing this move. I'm hoping they'll just jettison Vargas, but I'm not holding my breath because they've shown if they can keep 50 pitchers, they will. I worry that they'll use the ability to put Zaun on the 60 day as a reason to keep Vargas or Suppan. This also begs the question of what do you do when Davis is healthy? Not to mention Riske or Hawkins. Will this mean more young guys optioned?
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Braun Leading Vote-Getter in NL Outfield
JohnBriggs12 replied to crewcrazy's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I can't believe Edmonds is on the ballot much less 12th. It's obvious that Brewer fans have been voting in large numbers, but I would hope they would not make a mockery of the voting by voting for Weeks and my gosh, Edmonds. Have a little objectivity. Vote for Braun and McGehee who are deserving. If you want to throw another vote to one of your favorites, that's fine. I've voted for Braun and McGehee and Escobar as he's a favorite of mine. But I've also voted for Votto, Utley, and Ethier because they are deserving. Voting for Edmonds or Zaun is a sham and a mockery. It's a shamockery. I want to see the NL win for once.