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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    Let's not overrate Carrasco. A lot of his success came in blowouts. He was bad (.311 opponent BA) in high leverage situations. He's 32 and has never been more than the 11th or 12th man on a staff. Even though his ERA last year looked good, his WHIP was about equal to Villanueva in what was a bad year for CV. Guys like him are a dime a dozen. Think Chris Spurling.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    On the days McGehee would be coming off the bench would be the days he would have off. Amezaga only played 27 games last year plus he would only be playing in an emergency or being the last guy off the bench. Basically your full utility guy who has great defense in both the OF and the IF.Hart will be on the bench more than McGehee but both figure to be in there most of the time.. Gamel isn't going to make the team out of spring training anyway. Amezaga is a valuable utility guy but with Counsell around, his value would be greatly diminished because Amezaga is a middle infielder by trade that can play CF. They need a RH bench bat, whether that one plays OF or 3B/1B. Ultimately, if Gamel starts putting up big numbers at Nashville and is still playing 3B and McGehee regresses significantly, McGehee could end up as one of those handy RH bench guys that can play first or third. But I think they surely want to see if McGehee's 09 season wasn't a fluke first. That's going to take half a season at least.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    Solid addition to Nashville staff. As last year showed, guys like that tend to find their way to Milwaukee at some point if they produce ala Burns, Smith, etc last year.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    I disagree. His primary role was PH against RH pitchers, not outfielder or slugger. He handled his job in what Brad Nelson proved isn't an easy role. That said, there's really no reason to bring him back. Iribarren is out of options and can match Catalanotto's production as well as his versatility.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    The Brewers could certainly use Gomes whether Hart is traded or not. He certainly sticks out at the best RH bat out there below the top tier of Bay and Holliday and the middle tier of Cameron, Nady and Byrd. The Brewers could use a RH bench bat. Beyond Gomes, the OF pickings are guys like Reed Johnson, Rocco Baldelli, Jerry Hairston Jr., Marcus Thames, Randy Winn (switch hitter). I don't see the Brewers with a lot in their budget ($2 million maybe?) for one additional bench bat, so Gomes is probably beyond their reach unless they clear salary in a deal. Too bad Murton went to Japan. He was the perfect fit. Garko's not a terrible idea either as they might get better value out of a 3B/1B type and with Counsell back, the two main backup IF candidates (assuming Gamel's ticketed for Nashville), Iribarren and Heether can both serve as 5th OF.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    If you're one that believes in FIP, I'll never convince you. FIP is a phony stat as it implies a pitcher has no control over which part of the bat the ball makes contact with. I've been watching baseball over 50 years and that's baloney. I'm sure Tommy John's FIP wasn't very good and he had K/BB ratios of 1.71 and 1.39 in the back to back years he finished 2nd and 4th in the Cy Young vote. I was there the night Olsen threw 8 innings of 2 hit ball against the Brewers. He was in complete and total command from start to finish and that was just one of 17 total quality starts he made that year at age 24. If he's healthy (and he says he's 100%) the odds are Olsen will be a solid middle of the rotation pitcher in 2010 for somebody. At 26, he's one of the biggest bargains out there. The Brewers figure to pay Dave Bush close to $5 million. The Brewer record in Bush's starts since 06: 55-58. Olsen's team record in his starts in the same period: 51-57 and those teams were the Marlins and Nats. Since you brought up Anibal Sanchez, I'd take him in a heartbeat too.
  7. JohnBriggs12
    Olsen was better last year than Parra and he's younger. Career-wise he's far more accomplished than Parra, In 06 and 08 (when he tallied over 200 IP), he didn't miss a start and posted WHIPs of 1.301 and 1.309. That's viritually the exact same WHIP as Wang posted the year he won 19 games. I don't see how you can say he was never good. Your memory must be foggy or you'd recall that in 2008, in back to back starts against the Brewers, he allowed 0 runs and 6 hits in 16 innings.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    The entire bench right now is lefthanded with the possible exception of Heether and after last year's experiment of having a completely untested Nelson, I don't think you want your one righthanded bat being a guy with zero major league experience. Hinske's fine, but they need a righthanded bench bat first.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    Washington Post has reported that Nats will non-tender Scott Olsen. Apparently they think they can sign him for less than the $2.8 million he earned last year. How is a 26 year old lefty like Olsen not worth a buy low bid of $3 million?
  10. JohnBriggs12
    I'm not interested in Wang. But I'm keeping an eye out to see if the Nationals non-tender Scott Olsen. He's 4 years younger than Wang and reportedly will be ready for spring training. Olsen was very good in 06 and 08, got off to a terrible start for the Nats (13 ER in his first 8 IP) last year, and after a short stint on the DL came back with 3 solid starts before ending up needing surgery and shutting down in early July.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    I'm not either, but I'm just saying that Melvin has voiced a concern about it and may use that as an excuse not to deal him. Melvin also has said recently that they are reluctant to part with guys they have brought through the system. Hardy would still be a Brewer if they didn't have a guy they consider better ready. Let me make this clear, I'm not in agreement with them, I'm just skeptical that they'll go out and deal Hart for a pitcher based on recent comments. I think the strategy is that there's a bunch of pitchers out there on the market (which will grow a bit after the non-tenders are announced), and that they are not all that far apart ability-wise and some will still be left after the teams with the cash available to bid on them are done leaving some decent pitchers scrambling for a job enough that they'll settle for one year deals around $4-6 million. They may be right. Ask yourselves, where's the demand for some of these guys? Not all figure to get 3 year deals.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    Even in years when Sheets has been in and out with various ailments, when he did pitch he generally went deep in games. The Cubs tired of having to eat into their bullpen every time Harden went out there. I think they sensed a mindset in Harden that he wanted out early in games. Now post surgery, Sheets may well be not the pitcher he was before, but he's always had the ace mindset and that meant going deep.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    Actually Counsell turns 40 before the end of the 2010 season. But last year was not typical of what to expect from Counsell, either in production or games played so why pay so much? He played way more than expected last year because the 3 starters going into 2009, Weeks, Hardy, and Hall, were all either hurt or bad. If Weeks, Escobar and McGehee fail (or get hurt) to the extent that trio did last year, it won't matter how tough and scrappy the utility guy is or how much you are paying him, this team will be down the tubes. I'd offer him a little raise in his base from last year and again put in incentives for games started and played because if the 3 starters in the infield produce, Counsell will be a once a week starter and late inning defensive substitute and that's about it.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    Escobar over .400! A 4 for 5 night has pushed his average to .403. Now that he has enough plate appearances to qualify, Escobar is leading the Venezuelan Winter League in batting with that .403 average which is more than 20 points better than the second place hitter. His OBP is .445 and he's slugging .500.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    Who are they trading? I certainly would be seeking one but in recent days Melvin said basically they don't have a replacement for Hart in RF. It would seem they could deal a relief pitcher too now, but that's never been even hinted at. It was thought earlier they'd be willing to part with Gamel, but my guess is they found out teams are wary of all the K's he accumulated in AAA and his value has dropped to the point they'd rather keep him and see if he can rebound and recover that lost value. The hope is that now that Melvin's got the Wolf deal done that he can get creative to land that 2nd arm they need. Creativity is not Melvin's strong suit.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    It sure sounds like Melvin is hedging on that 2nd starter. In TH's blog he says regarding a 2nd starter: "If we can, we'd like to. We might not be able to". That doesn't sound good to me. If signing Hawkins prevents them from adding in an area of much greater need, then it was a really dumb move.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    Good points. Or perhaps Melvin plans on making a trade by then?I would think Dillard's time on the 40 man could be up. Chris Smith is another possibility as is Aguilar. That's 3 right there that I don't think anyone could really complain about and you could toss in Butler too. Villanueva still has options. McClung's coffin was nailed a long time ago.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    They got a one year discount and some cash compared to the market 3 years ago. Cubs signed Ted Lilly who's extremely similar to Wolf but wasn't coming off nearly as good a year in 06 for $40mil/4 years. They also got a Class A FA in Wolf without giving up a draft pick too, which pumped up his asking price some.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    Melvin basically has said he's now going to wait and let the market come to him. Translation, if there's anything left over in a few weeks that we can get cheaply (for a bargain), then we'll act. Maybe Melvin doesn't want to bid up Correia's price. Surely there's a market for him.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    Lowell would make sense if you were otherwise going to release Suppan and eat his salary if only to add strength to your bench. That's my point. Either way, you are going to pay. This way you've strengthened your bench. At least that's more than Suppan would give you if he were collecting paychecks out in California.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    I think you have it reversed. They REALLY don't need an overpaid starting pitcher who they don't want in their rotation because there's no other use for him and with Hawkins and Vargas and any number of other relievers, they don't really need Coffey all that much either. On the other hand, it's true they don't need a 3B, but Lowell's still good enough that he's useful as a part time player and righthanded PH. Their bench currently is all lefthanded.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    Just tossing out this. Red Sox have been looking for a reliever and a longer term 3rd baseman but need to unload Lowell and his $12 million. Lowell and Suppan's salary are close matches. Lowell could split time with McGehee and be a heck of bat off the bench when he's not playing so he might be of more value than Suppan would be to the Brewers. Coffey is the sweetener and since he's due an arby raise, the deal would result in some savings for the Brewers.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    The Hawkins signing is one that has me thinking. The only possible way of moving Suppan is to partner him with an affordable guy that the other team wants badly enough to be willing to take Suppan and some of his salary too. Could that guy be Coffey?
  24. JohnBriggs12
    Personally, I don't see the need either unless they had teams calling about Coffey that had something to offer that they really liked.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    Bringing in Hawkins along with the return of Vargas seems to me to make Coffey or Villanueva nice trade bait. Not sure I would give Hawkins 2 years though. Another possibility is to send Villanueva who still has options to Nashville to work as a starter that could be called up in case of injury.
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