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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. If he's healthy Cordero will want a shot at closing. The signing of Hoffman precludes that. They're better off bringing back Mota or a long reliever/spot starter type like a John Parrish who won't cost much.
  2. Not exactly. The incentives start to kick in at 35 games finished. He doesn't get the full $1.5 unless he finishes 52 games which he's done only once since 2002. He's probaly a lock for $7 million which is okay, but remember this market is off from what it was last year. I like that it's only one year. I think Villanueva should be groomed to take over in 2010 by being the 8th inning guy.
  3. That deal would cripple the Brewer offense. You just can't take Fielder out and replace him with Swisher and not be severely damaged. Even if Swisher would return to his 07 form (and that's a huge if), it would leave the Brewers with just one impact bat. You can't win anything with one impact bat. If Swisher repeated his 08 season: .219/.332/.410 it would be a disaster. It also doesn't provide anything more than minimal salary flexibility. Swisher's owed $19 million over the next 3 years including $5.3 million in 09. The difference between what Fielder will get in arby this year and what Swisher makes isn't going to get you much. If the deal were Cameron and Fielder for Swisher, Hughes, and Nady, it would be better but still not good enough.
  4. I believe he has. If you're going to bring a reliever back, why not Mota? He was very solid the last 2 months, is likely pretty cheap, and even though there's a new manager, Castro should know that Mota is effective when not overused. Again, assuming this gets done, this just shores up one area. It doesn't make the Brewers instant contenders much less favorites. Not that they won't be, just that they still have too many "ifs" right now and a lot of things would have to go right. If they add a quality starter via FA or trade (and no Looper isn't a big enough upgrade), that would have more impact than Hoffman. They still haven't addressed their offensive weaknesses either. Unless Gamel puts up ROY type numbers, this offense isn't well rounded enough.
  5. I like Hudson's skill set a lot. They fit needs on this Brewer team. However, there's been zero signs the Brewers are willing to make the necessary moves to create an opening at 2B like moving Weeks to CF (and unloading Cameron) or trading Weeks. Hudson's too good to accept a platoon like situation that occurred after Durham's acquisition last year.
  6. Francisco had a solid rookie year last year. There's no need for them to rush LaPorta before he's spent any time in AAA.
  7. Hoffman has 3 young boys, and signing with LA means more time to spend with them. Frankly, if I'm in his shoes, I take the Dodger offer. Sure he could uproot them and get a home in Milwaukee, but why go through all that? At 41 your priorities are different than they are at say 29.
  8. If being "the closer" is so important to Hoffman, what if he does what Gagne did last year? To Gagne's credit, he didn't pout after being taken out of that role. I'm not liking the fact that the reason Hoffman chooses Milwaukee is because he's being handed the job. Would he accept a demotion if one was warranted? I do still think he can do a decent job for one year, but once a guy gets into his 40's, it's a year to year deal, so I wouldn't go for a 2 year deal unless it's low money with incentives.
  9. TheCrew07, Parra had over 100 starts in the minors and made double digit starts every year since 2002. It's not like his 22 year old season for the simple reason he should have a huge edge in maturity over a 22 year old. He's also over 4 years removed from his surgery which wiped out the second half of 2004 and first half of 2005. His time for excuses should be over. You'll note I have him putting up respectable numbers. I think he'll be a decent major league starter going forward. I just don't think he's quite at the level some think he is. Time will tell.
  10. TWR, He's not that young by baseball standards. You could be right but I'll stick to my prediction and hope I'm wrong. I just think there's a little too much overlooking his shortcomings by Brewer fans. His stuff might be good but his results so far have been ordinary. I actually have him improving his WHIP (which was quite bad last year) slightly.
  11. My assumption (and admitedly I could be off a few million) is based more on the market (for teams other than the big boys) being depressed than it is for his injuries. We aren't seeing healthy pitchers getting what they thought they'd get (outside of NY) in October when this process began.
  12. 11-13, 4.48 ERA, 181 IP, 154 K's, 87 BB. 1.48 WHIP I'm just not sold on Manny as a number 2 starter. He walks too many and doesn't get deep in games.
  13. One year with an option for Hoffman makes sense. I have to believe if there were teams out there offering more than one year, he would have taken it by now. Any 41 year old comes with some risk. I also don't see any thing more than $5-6 million per year. At this point, I see Hoffman as adequate but nothing to really get too thrilled about. I think Villanueva could do as good or better in the closer role, but this would add depth to an area that was sorely lacking it.
  14. "They lost depth in the bullpen by losing Howry" That depends on which Howry they lost. The 2008 version who allowed 90 hits and 13 HR in 70 innings and a 5.35 ERA or the 2007 version. Since they won 97 games with the bad Howry, I have a hard time thinking it's much of a loss.
  15. jjfanec, A rotation of Peavy, Lilly, Harden, Dempster and Zambrano would win 88 games with the Nationals lineup.
  16. What depth did the Cubs lose? They still have Reed Johnson, Mike Fontenot, Ronnie Cedeno and they've added Gathright who essentially replaces Pie which is an upgrade. Edmonds is replaced by Bradley, who's a much better hitter. DeRosa is replaced by Miles. That's a downgrade to be sure, but DeRosa is coming off a career year and is 34 years old. Hoffpauir is probably an upgrade over Ward as the 25th guy. Arguably if they sign Bako to replace Blanco, that's a slight downgrade, but Soto figures to play 140 games anyway. The one area they are vulnerable where they weren't last year is 3B. Ramirez occasionally has some issues that causes him to miss games. Without DeRosa (and Casey McGehee) they don't have depth there. Bradley gives them balance too. The big 3 of Ramirez, Lee and Soriano are all right handed. Having a big lefty bat like Bradley in that group against righthanded starters is a big plus. Barring a Peavy trade, Sean Marshall replaces Marquis as the 5th starter, but his credentials (ERA under 4 the last 2 years) are pretty solid as a 5th starter. Behind them they have guys like Kevin Hart, Angel Guzman, Mitch Atkins (17-7 combined AA and AAA) and possibly Samardzija who was very good in 6 AAA starts. Not a super group, but some potential there. That's assuming too they're done, and I don't think they are.
  17. Sheets blew it. He should have accepted arbitration. Once the big boys backed off him, no way was he going to get a huge contract. I don't sense any interest by the Brewers now. He'll probably end up in Texas for about half of what he would have received in arby.
  18. Penny and Mulder aren't comparable. Mulder's not been a good pitcher since 2005. That's 4 years ago. Penny was an All Star in 06 and 07. No way should the Brewers give Mulder a major league contract unless it's non guaranteed. He needs to earn a major league job by pitching in the minors first and proving he's both healthy and effective.
  19. If Yo doesn't pitch more than 160 innings, this team will lose 90-95 games. I peg him at 16-10, 209 innings, 174 K's. ERA of 3.55.
  20. Johnson was pretty good last year in a significant number (333) of ABs. Fukudome and Gathright both won't play CF at the same time and either makes a decent spare OF. Don't forget Hoffpauir who despite being a long time minor leaguer is coming off a huge season (1.145 OPS at AAA), and .934 in 75 ML at bats. Right now the Brewer backup OF are Tony Gwynn, Trot Nixon, Brad Nelson, Chris Duffy and Hernan Iribarren. So who's in better shape? Brewers will need lots of DL time not only for Bradley but Soriano as well.
  21. His strand rate? He allowed just 34 hits in 51 2/3 innings with 71 K's. It isn't an accident that he strands quite a few guys. He's very hard to hit and even if he walks a hitter or two in an inning, you still need to get a hit or two to score.
  22. Villanueva has one of the best changeups in the game. He's made very good hitters look silly. He's also got a decent slider and a curveball he can throw for strikes. The only time he gets into trouble are those occasions when his fastball command leaves him. His out pitches are his changeup and slider though he'll get some easy outs with his fastball too when he spots it well.
  23. Is there some kind of unwritten rule that Suppan can't go the bullpen because of his contract? Just because they're stuck paying him for 2 more years doesn't mean they shouldn't have the flexibility to stick McClung or someone else in his rotation spot if he's not doing the job. As for the rotation order, I think Lowe would be number one over Gallardo for now just because of his proven track record. dpapo: The home road splits aren't necessarily tied to the ballpark. It could well be Lowe pitches better at home because he gets better rest sleeping in his own bed.
  24. Weeks is an enigma. I think batting leadoff has hurt his production. Yes he gets his walks and he gets hit a lot and that produces a decent OBP for a leadoff guy even though he hits under .250. But to get those walks, he takes pitches he can drive and a lot of them. Weeks is capable of so much more. He's got the power to hit 25-30 HR. He should hit .280-.300. He could drive in 100 runs in the middle of the order. But he leads off because the Brewers have never found anyone else capable for that role. Unless they do, I don't think we'll ever see the Rickie Weeks that was the 2nd pick in the draft. Defensively I think he's progressed as far as he can. His concentration level has improved to the point where he doesn't make the errors on the routine plays like he used to but despite his speed he still has trouble on balls he has to roam to get to and he propensitiy to make bad throws on double play balls in key situations is really disturbing.
  25. Though he's not been in the Brewer system, I wouldn't rule out Casey McGehee making the opening day roster.
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