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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    Would anybody think Manny Ramirez at $30 million over 3 years is a bad deal? Ramirez is the same age as Ibanez. Ibanez has 338 RBI in the past 3 years playing for dreadful Mariners. Manny has 311 RBI over the past 3 seasons playing for Red Sox and Dodgers. If Ibanez had played in a major market he'd have gotten a lot more attention.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    Now that the Phils signed Ibanez and still have lefty swinging Greg Dobbs and Matt Stairs as bench players their roster what are the chances the Phillies eat the $8 million they still owe Geoff? Can anyone foresee a role for him back on the Brewers (assuming the Phils have to pay most of his contract) like occasionally filling in for Hart against some right handers.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    Ibanez has driven in 338 runs the last 3 years compared to 278 for Burrell. Burrell walks a lot, but he batted behind the big boppers in the Phillie lineup so he had lesser guys behind him and therefore could be pitched around some and the value of the walks was diminished some. As to Ibanez being lefthanded, well last year the Phils brought in Jenkins to play RF. However Jayson Werth emerged as a full time player and with switch hitting Victorino and Rollins and RH Feliz, they are covered especially considering that Ibanez hits lefties well as does Utley. Ibanez is worth $10 million a year. He's shown absolutely no sign of aging. The Phillies now have 3 guys in their lineup (when Utley gets back) who combined for 360 RBI in 2008. Offhand only the Met trio of Beltran, Wright and Delgado comes close to that in the NL. This does seem to make Greg Dobbs expendable and Dobbs wouldn't look bad in a Brewer uniform.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    Look, Melvin only picked up Cameron's option because he didn't want to irritate Sabathia. He knew the Yankees had an interest in Cameron so he gambled. Otherwise, he probably would have let Cameron walk and explored other, cheaper CF free agents (ie: Kotsay). Cashman is smart enough to know he's got Melvin in a box. He also knows that in a market where guys like Abreu, Ibanez, Bradley, etc are still looking, that $10 million is a lot to pay Mike Cameron. Don't fool yourselves. Melvin is in a box. He wants a lefthanded OF bat. The only other way to get one is to deal Hart and get involved with some lefthanded corner outfielders. That works in theory but not if you're already paying one outfielder $10 million and you need available money for pitching.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    Melvin has no leverage to get what he wants. Cameron in this market where some very good hitters are still unsigned is not a $10 million dollar player. Other than the Yankees who's out there interested in him? Apparently nobody.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    That's insane. We might as well have just declined the option on Cam and put Gwynn in center if that is the case. Melky's ops projection is only 30 points higher than Gwynn's. Yikes. This isn't the whole story according to Joel Sherman in the NY Post. The Yankees could be including a pitcher. The quality of pitcher depends on if the Brewers pay some of Cameron's salary. That makes some sense. Reminder to those thinking loss of Cameron is catastrophic: Brewers runs scored in 2007 without Cameron: 801 Brewers runs scored in 2008 with Cameron: 750
  7. JohnBriggs12
    FYI: Melky Cabrera's stats in the Dominican Winter League .310/.375/.362 in 58 AB's Possibles in a Hall deal: Ian Kennedy in the Puerto Rican Winter League: 2-2 1.56 ERA, 31 K, 12 BB, .164 BAA, in 34 2/3 innings.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    Here's your clear picture Rluzinski. You make it more difficult for the opposing pitcher by fielding a lineup with more variety than the Brewers had in 08. Hart, Braun, Hall and Weeks all saw their production drop with the insertion of yet another high strikeout, low contact free swinger in the lineup. Fielder's production dropped because righthanded pitchers could pitch around him more. The problem with your statistical analysis is that it discounts effects other hitters are having on the opposing pitcher. The Brewers are banking on Cabrera returning to his 06 form when he got on at a .360 clip. If he can do that, he can hit in the 2 hole a spot the Brewers never adequately filled in 08.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    That's reality bklybrewcrew and 90% of the teams in baseball have to live in it.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    In that scenario, there'd be no way you'd move Hart or Braun. You'd play Dunn there. Dunn is arguably the worst defensive OF in the game among regulars.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    I think it was Haudricourt who brought up that Cabrera has trouble with English and that weighed on him in media crazed NY. I think fellow Dominican Carlos Villanueva will be counted on to take Melky under his wing as a Brewer.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    What direction should they go? They're losing Sabathia and Sheets. They need pitching A 36 year old Mike Cameron making $10 million batting .240 and striking out 175 times wasn't going to overcome that even if he did hit his 30 HR and got his 80 or so RBI. Sure Cabrera doesn't have much power, but he balances out the lineup, and should hit for a higher average than Cameron. The biggest offensive problem for the Brewers now is Catcher. Kendall gives you nothing offensively and he's in his mid 30's too. Where you going to play Dunn? Can he catch? Did the Brewers get sent back to the AL? Kapler has value not just for occasional starts in CF, but as insurance in case Hart stays in the funk he ended the season in.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    Why is everyone so down on a guy who at age 21-22 hit .280/.360/.391? You don't do that at that age if you don't have ability and a lot of it. So he had a somewhat of an off year at age 23? Most guys that age are in AA. He's shown he's capable of putting up the kind of numbers the Brewers could use, without the K's. Plus is everyone forgetting that with Cameron around, the Brewers had both no interest and no shot at bringing back arguably their best hitter last season, Gabe Kapler?
  14. JohnBriggs12
    Cabrera is better than you guys give him credit for and Cameron wasn't as good as you guys seem to think he was. Cabrera had a very fine season in 2006 at age 21-22. Players that can put up .280/.360/.391 at that age have ability. It's possible playing in that fishbowl wore him down but there's every chance he could return to that form as a Brewer. He's only 24 and younger than Gwynn. It would also open the door for bringing Kapler back to do some platooning with Cabrera.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    I think Macha (in TH's blog) gave an indication of what the Brewers are looking for in return for Cameron. Namely young starting pitching to bolster the spots behind the 5 returning starters. They desperately need guys at the AAA level with the potential to step in and start if needed. I think they'll try to pry 2 pitchers from the Yankee system, then replace Cameron by signing Kapler and Kotsay to platoon in CF.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    I'd consider either Padilla or Millwood because whichever guy they'd give you would be a pure salary dump therefore shouldn't cost you anything of value in players. Padilla had a better year last year than Millwood and he's owed less overall with $12 million in 09 with an option for 10. Either Millwood or Padilla is likely to be a decent 3rd or 4th starter in the NL with an ERA in the 4.30-4.70 range. Not exactly Ben Sheets, but that's the situation they find themselves in. Added rotation depth with no long term commitment is something the Brewers at least have to consider.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    He didn't bring up Hardy at 3rd, Homer did. Homer asked him if Gamel or Salome figured in the plans for 09. Melvin never mentioned Salome but did say Gamel had a chance this spring to win a job, but that they were covered with Hall and Lamb basically putting the onus on Gamel to prove he belongs in spring. He said earlier Hardy to 3rd was discussed but basically I gathered it was dismissed quickly. Homer asked him if Defelice had a chance to start. Answer was no because he couldn't get lefthanded hitters out. Said Defelice might have a role in the pen but didn't specify. I took from it that Defilice is no lock to make the roster. Melvin was not prompted to bring up Villanueva as a closer candidate. He brought him up, not Homer. Melvin said Villanueva's stuff compared favorably to Jeff Montgomery, the Royals closer for most of the 90's. He said he liked the way Villanueva has worked out of jams in the 7th and 8th innings and that it's sometimes as tough as the 9th. I got the impression that of the internal candidates, Villanueva is the guy even though Melvin called him a sleeper. Melvin said a flat no when Homer asked if Villanueva might start. The other revealing part of the interview was that Melvin had no answer to who would bat 2nd. Homer commented that he thought it would be whoever they got back either in a deal for Cameron, or signed to replace Cameron.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    Garland really isn't Suppan. Their numbers are somewhat comparable though I'd give the edge to Garland for pitching exclusively in the AL, but they aren't the same pitchers. Suppan is all guile and control and doesn't exceed 88 on his fastball. Garland is quite the opposite. He's always had a nasty low 90's sinker and some good breaking pitches and he challanges hitters. In fact the knock on him is that he challanges hitters a little too much and gets too much of the plate too often. Actually Garland might learn a few things from Suppan on setting up hitters better.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    That OF wouldn't keep them from wanting Hart, just for Sanchez not Cain. They're not giving up Cain.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    Brad Penny is the one guy on that list (other than Sheets) that has this combination: 1. He's been a top of the rotation guy at times and as recently as 2007. 2. He's still in what should be his prime years. 3. He's coming off an off/injury year that makes him likely to be discounted some in dollars and years. If they can be assured he's healthy, I'd be working on him.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    That's wishful thinking. The WC involves beating out 12 teams. As currently constructed, that's a very tall order for this team. To accomplish that feat, they need Gallardo to emerge into a true ace in his first full major league season. They also need either Parra or Bush to become a number 2 type starter. That's a taller order than Gallardo becoming an ace. They also need the back end to be solid. They have no depth so any injury would be disasterous. They also need significant improvement from several of their everyday players. That's possible but the lineup still has the same flaws it had last year. It's too righthanded. It doesn't make enough contact and it doesn't get on base at a high enough rate. That leaves the bullpen where considering the loss of starting pitching, they need an upgrade. That's with several key guys gone. Attanasio had a lot of hutzpah to raise prices.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    I think any trade of Hart should be for young starting pitching. They could fill RF with any number of FA (preferably lefthanded hitting) who they now have the money to get. As for the Braves, they aren't likely to offer Jurrjens though they could probably come up with a package that might be worth considering.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    You're absolutely right bklynbrewcrew, this is not a very good team right now. Certainly nowhere near the Cubs. It still has potential to be decent, but it sure has the feel of many Brewer teams in the past with a lot of iffs and very little to really suggest a big season.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    Hernandez/Hanigan is a huge upgrade over Ross/Bako.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    Read between the lines here guys. The Brewers wouldn't want Hernandez as a backup. This, like everything else going on, centers around Sabathia. The Yankees catching situation isn't ideal. CC may prefer Kendall over any of their guys and what CC wants, the Yankees are trying to accomodate so Melvin has to inquire around in case he needs to replace Kendall. I like Hernandez' offense a lot. He puts up very solid numbers (much better than Kendall lately) playing in a pitching rich division.
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