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danzig6767

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Everything posted by danzig6767

  1. danzig6767
    Stearns looked to be running out of realistic trade partners for Lucroy if he wanted to get a deal done before the deadline. Granted there was some leverage in that Texas wanted Lucroy and Jeffress for their playoff desires, but had they backed out, it was hard to see another team which Stearns could have gotten this level of prospects in return. We all wanted this massive return for Lucroy in the weeks leading up to the deadline, but for whatever reason it sure seems like only Texas and Cleveland possessed both the interest in Lucroy and had the level of prospects which Stearns desired. So once Luc vetoed the Cleveland trade, it looks like it came down to either get a trade done with Texas or hold on to Lucroy until the offseason. I'm pretty good with how things ended up, but out of pure curiosity though, i do wonder what Stearns could have gotten for Jeffress alone had he not been in this trade and shopped to all teams.
  2. danzig6767
    Yep. I don't think Jeffress was that valuable tbh. That k/9 # is very worrisome imo. He's still a quality reliever and also important, not a rental with multiple more years of team control. That said, Stearns seems the type who will constantly mine every avenue possible to keep acquiring relief pitchers on the cheap.
  3. danzig6767
    Yea, it's hard to know what we could have gotten for Jeffress alone, but i also prefer Brinson over Gallo as the center piece of a trade between the two teams.
  4. danzig6767
    I think it looks more and more likely that Lucroy won't be traded.
  5. danzig6767
    Do you think Theo Epstein is an idiot? He's arguably the best GM in the game, yet he traded a top 25ish prospect for a rental in Chapman. That trade was almost entirely about the playoffs, not regular season innings. It's not just about the innings a great reliever will pitch, it's also about changing the pecking order of the bullpen. Whether it's Cleveland or the Cubs, adding another elite relief pitcher increases the number of shutdown bullpen guys. So now Maddon in a close playoff game can turn to one of his better relief pitchers sooner to maybe squelch trouble. It's about shortening the game when a team has say only a 1-2 run lead in the 6th inning with a non-ace starter on the mound. Teams realize that high end starting pitchers simply are hard to develop and are nearly impossible to trade for. They cost a ton when a free agent. But if they can put together a great overall bullpen, it can cover for weaknesses in a rotation, especially in the playoffs. So the value/importance of bullpens has been going up each year. As a result, elite relievers get paid more and cost more in trades. It's not as if there are a bunch of quality starters out there to trade for. Pretty much the only avenue available for contenders to improve their pitching staffs is in the bullpen. I see this becoming a new norm at trade deadlines as quality starters rarely being available.
  6. danzig6767
    Have you not been watching the playoffs the last 5-6-7 years? Teams with a great bullpen have been advancing far in the playoffs even if their starting pitching is nothing special. The 2011 Cardinals won a title with an often struggling rotation in the playoffs, but their bullpen and offense were fabulous. The 2013 Red Sox had a very mediocre rotation besides Lester, but their bullpen was great and so was the offense. The Royals made the World Series in back to back years with a nothing special rotation, but their bullpen was dominant and they had timely hitting. In the past teams often needed multiple upper tier starters to reach the World Series and win a ring. Not any more if a team had a great bullpen. With days off in the playoffs, managers can be quick to pull a struggling starter and unless a true ace is on the mound, an offense is usually better off if a starter is in the game after say the 5th-6th inning given teams with a great bullpen will have 3-4 guys waiting in the pen with a sub-3 ERA, great WHIP and K/BB ratios. It's simply a different game today in the playoffs with how many teams are stacking their bullpens full of guys with better stats than a good percentage of starting pitchers. Except when an ace is on the mound, a manager just needs his starter to give him about 5-6 decent innings so the bullpen can be unleashed.
  7. danzig6767
    Neither did K-Rod. KRod knows how to pitch though, even as his velocity decreased. In fact, he got better as his velocity decreased. His K rate only decreased a little, but his WHIP the last three years have been 0.98 0.86 1.009 When KRod saved 62 games, his WHIP was 1.288 Peralta throws a lot harder, but has zero clue how to command his pitches and a pitcher without command is largely worthless.
  8. danzig6767
    What's so hard to understand? Look at nearly every trade that's been made so far and it's been for pitching. Go back to previous deadlines and pitching usually draws the most trades. If Lucroy was a top tier pitcher instead of catcher, the Brewers would have had multiple teams offering very impressive packages instead of teams offering disappointing packages.
  9. danzig6767
    Look at almost all of the trades so far. It's been for pitching. Most contenders simply go after pitching more than position players. Besides that, Sale has a crazy good team friendly contract through 2019. If he is truly being shopped, his value would be vastly higher than Lucroy and rightfully so.
  10. danzig6767
    Teams overpay for pitching at nearly every trade deadline.
  11. danzig6767
    Doesn't matter what anyone says, it matters that Stearns is at the helm, and he doesn't believe that garbage. In the end, he will get the maximum haul he can for Lucroy, and you can bet your rear end, he is going to warrant a LOT! I hope i end up being wrong, but i've had a bad feeling for awhile now that Stearns won't get offered as much as he wants for Lucroy because 1. A team like Cleveland being small market might be less inclined to sell off their best prospects. 2. Other teams rumored to be interested like Boston and Texas also may be after pitching. Plus, Boston already has an elite offense minus an upper tier catcher. 3. Mets and Tigers have crappy farm systems. As i said, i hope i'm wrong, but i have had a bad feeling for awhile that Stearns will either end up having to accept an offer for Lucroy which is less than he had hoped for or try hanging on to Luc and hoping to get a better deal in the offseason. If Cleveland backs out, i start having a much harder time seeing a team who gives up a haul for him.
  12. danzig6767
    Yea, Braves signed Harrell on 5/20, claimed Alvarez from Mets on 5/25.
  13. danzig6767
    I get the limited number of innings which Chapman will end up pitching, but this move was made for the playoffs, not the regular season. He not only becomes their closer, it pushes back everyone else an inning, making their 6th/7th/8th inning specialists even a tougher group to face. Baseball in regards to bullpen usage and importance has changed dramatically, even more so in the playoffs where having multiple top notch starters is no longer needed to advance far in the playoffs so long as a team has a great pen. St. Louis in 2010 largely won their ring via great production in their pen and the offense. Both carried them through the playoffs. Boston in 2013 had nothing special starting pitching, but their pen and offense were great in the playoffs, leading to a title. The Royals made the World Series in back to back years without an ace or top tier rotation, but their pen was lights out to go with good defense and timely hitting. With the extra days off in the playoffs and managers not having to be as careful about over-use of their best relief pitchers, these teams with 3-4 guys in the pen who have a sub-3 ERA, great K/BB ration, and low WHIP can just come in throwing gas and mow down hitters. An offense working the count in the playoffs and thus getting a starter out in say the 5th or 6th inning is often a bad thing today as better pitching is waiting in the bulllpen. Between Strop, Rondon, and now Chapman, that three guys on par or better than what the Royals had.
  14. danzig6767
    It's amazing that he continues to get at bats. Flores is straight garbage without a single obvious skill.
  15. danzig6767
    Broxton won't get a shot either. Niewenhuis is still on the team. Yep, he'll just get random at bats here and there
  16. danzig6767
    But it's pretty much the only thing he does well. Davis is hard to figure when it comes to drawing walks. In the minors he drew them at an above average rate, but in the majors he's been so erratic at it. Just look at the last two years 2016-- 44 walks in 392 at bats. Very solid. 2017-- 12 walks in 330 at bats. Very bad. Given he hits around .250 every year, if he drew walks at the rate he did last year and like he did in the minors, it would keep his OBP in at least a semi-tolerable range to go along with his elite power.
  17. danzig6767
    As terrible as Broxton was on the big league level, i'd call him up and let him play everyday for at least a month. It's not as if this team has a chance for the playoffs or Nieuwenhuis has a future with the team. We stick with him nearly everyday and yea he draws walks, but his batting average the last three months are .216/.212/.086 to go with 84 K's in only 209 at bats. Flores has been given 250 at bats as a corner OF and to go with a .218 batting average, somehow he's only managed a .269 SLG. That's almost hard to believe. So even with as overmatched as Broxton looked vs major league pitching, he was never really given an extended chance to play everyday or nearly everyday for as long as Flores and Nieuwenhuis have. If Broxton were given consistent playing time for at least the next month or two and still looked overmatched, then send him back down when September call ups happen and maybe Phillips or Reed is given a chance. This should be the type of season to give a guy like Broxton this extra chance given if he continued to be terrible, it would only contribute to a better draft pick next year.
  18. danzig6767
    I've been concerned for awhile that there wouldn't be as big of a market for Lucroy as we fans want there to be. I'd much rather be sitting here with a quality starting pitcher with 1 1/2 years left on a team friendly contract than a catcher. That said, i do think Lucroy will end up being traded, but maybe not for the type of haul we are hoping for.
  19. danzig6767
    They never fixed Gomez, and they make no attempt at fixing Sedar as our 3B coach. Just saying... I don't blame coaches who can't fix flaws in players which sometimes simply can't be fixed.
  20. danzig6767
    But his OBP isn't irrelevant. The jerichoholicninja poster said costing the team outs on the bases is worth getting bent out of shape over. I disagree it's that big of a deal given how often he gets on base compared to most of the other players on the roster. A player actually has to be on base, not in the dugout before any chance of making on out on the bases can happen. Obviously i'd prefer to see Villar become a smarter baserunner, but that was also a problem of his in Houston. I suspect in the minors also. Most players in baseball struggle at certain aspects of the game. Maybe the coaching staff can make him into that smarter baserunner, but changing ingrained deficiencies isn't always easy. If it was, there wouldn't be say large amounts of hitters who just refuse to be more patient at the plate, even after multiple hitting coaches and managers tell them to, along with it hurting their careers much more than dumb baserunning would. Yet they keep hacking away at bad pitches and thus getting themselves out.
  21. danzig6767
    Costing your team outs on the bases seems like something worth getting bent out of shape over. You and others are getting all worked up over Villar costing the team a handful of outs on the bases when at the same time he's 2nd in batting average, leads the team in walks and OBP. The vast majority of other players on the roster are costing the team a hell of a lot more outs as they walk back to the dugout without even getting on base as evidenced by the team .323 OBP. That's a much bigger problem than Villar brainfarting here and there. If the rest of the team was getting on base at a .386 clip like he is, but also made some similar random dumb decisions on the bases, the team would be scoring more runs, not less. So while i hope he eventually learns to be a smarter baserunner, no i'm not stressing out over his brainfarts because it's very very low on the list of problems with the team currently.
  22. danzig6767
    Villar has baserunning issues beyond choosing to try stealing 3rd base at the wrong times. In the grand scheme of things for him though, it's a minor problem compared to the overall good things he does, just like Gomez when he was a Brewer. Nothing worth getting all bent out of shape over.
  23. danzig6767
    I don't buy that Villar's issues on the bases is out of him trying to increase personal stats, just like i don't think Carlos Gomez and his baserunning mistakes came out of him to increase personal stats. Both guys strike me as hard working types who simply lacked good baseball IQ when it came to really understanding time and place for being aggressive. That is a skill just like other aspects of the game are. There are plenty of baseball players who are smart baserunners, even if they aren't really fast or aren't base stealing types. Robin Yount for example was an excellent baserunner, even though he didn't steal lots of bases. I don't think he was taught those instincts as much as he had them. Managers can only do so much with players who struggle with certain aspects of the game. Look at hitters who simply refuse to be patient and take walks at a decent rate. A manager can tell a hitter over and over that he really needs to be more patient if he wants to be a better all around hitter, but many just won't be able to do it because patience is a skill. Same with baserunning. After we traded for Villar,i read about him on an Astros forum. One common response was that he had talent, but would make dumb baserunning mistakes. I'd bet that Villar struggled with making boneheaded mistakes in the minors also.
  24. danzig6767
    I doubt that Davis batting righthanded was much of a factor in trading him. Instead it was 1. His defensive issues. Davis is better suited for the AL where he can DH. 2. His erratic walk rates. By now it seems pretty clear that he's roughly a .250 hitter with great power, but his above average walk rate in the minors hasn't translated to the majors for whatever reason. Last year with the Brewers he took 44 walks in 440 at bats, but this year for Oakland he's back to drawing walks at a poor rate. 3. As important as anything, i think Stearns really wanted to open a starting position at corner OF for Santana, but unfortunately he's been hurt most of the season.
  25. danzig6767
    Yea, Pomeranz was the 5th pick in the draft by Cleveland, but then he was cursed to be traded to Colorado before ever throwing a big league pitch. No surprise he struggled badly in three seasons there. Immediately after being removed from that place, his numbers got significantly better in Oakland, but as a swing man where he only started 19 games over two seasons and now he has been very good this year for the Padres. He did also have injuries in his past. Sure there certainly is risk for Boston in trading a highly ranked prospect for Pomeranz given he's yet to pitch this well over a full season, but i agree that people shouldn't act like the Padres aren't also taking a risk. It's very possible that Pomeranz is finally putting it all together in a way that shows why he was picked 5th overall and he comes with two more years of team control. For all of the upside of Espinoza, he is still only 18 years old pitching in A ball.
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