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kramnoj

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Everything posted by kramnoj

  1. kramnoj
    The Yankees don't need him. The Yankees don't need him now. Jeter is having a good season, but he shouldn't be expected to be a good SS in 2011. Boston may go after him but they're starting to show a little hesitation throwing big bucks at free agents. If Boston doesn't go after him, it will be because they think Lowrie, or whoever, will be a better value, not because they are afraid to spend big bucks.
  2. kramnoj
    I realize that there is no sense in getting into an argument involving Craig Counsell because the "casual fan" has had it pounded into their head that he is an amazing player. One manifestation of this is that the backlash against the over the top praise leads some to then underrate that player. Counsell isn't below replacement level, and never has been.
  3. kramnoj
    You're wrong. He has actually said that. Have you listened to every second of every show? He says utterly idiotic things all the time. Yes, because fans say idiotic things all the times, and he is speaking to them. People won't listen to a radio show that continually tells them how wrong they are. And Homer's smart things are a farce. How are they a farce? Yes, Homer says smart things, he also says stupid things. It's a show that's on for 20 or so hours a week, plus his other appearances. Not everything he says is smart, but he does advocate smart baseball.
  4. kramnoj
    The Brewers could have gotten a better ptcther but they signed Looper for $6m now they'll end up paying like $4-6m for another pitcher for half a year. The first part is questionable, and the second part doesn't really apply to Looper since Parra is the one being replaced at this point.
  5. kramnoj
    There's this internet thing that if you are going to point out another's mistakes, the chances of making a mistake in your own post increases. AKA feels the need to correct someone else, and then in the first sentence writes: "I happen to thing the print journalism that covers the Brewers is quite good although that is a minority view, at least around here." "Some of the things I hear on the radio are mind numbing. A couple days ago Mitch Nellis was talking what a worthless pitcher Parra is, how he should be traded for whatever and how he lacked ability. Nellis has said he's the voice of the fan. He's not there to say smart things. That's Homer's job. Nellis is playing the role of the emotional fan who reacts with emotion, not logic.
  6. kramnoj
    Doug is likely going to have to trade for Erik Bedard. He's going to have to wait until Bedard is available. With the Mariners only 3.5 GB, that time isn't yet. Rotation issues will probably have to be solved internally for a few weeks.
  7. kramnoj
    Counsell has played well thus far this year, but if he reverts back to his norms, he is of below replacement player value to the Brewers. He has had a negative VORP the last three seasons. VORP doesn't include defense. Taking defense into account, which is Counsell's biggest asset, Counsell's lowest value has been .8 WAR. Broadcasters have 3 hours or so to talk about a game. They have a lot of time to fill, and it's easier to let platitudes fly rather than provide dense sabermetric stats. As far as Reynolds, he's not supposed to provide smart analysis, he's supposed to talk like a ballplayer, and that's what he does. Networks provide the talent that they think their audience wants. If there was enough demand for a "smart" broadcast team, networks would offer it, but there's not.
  8. kramnoj
    An knee and an elbow are light years apart in the amount of healing and rehab needed to pitch again. This would be relevant if their injuries occurred at exactly the same time. Since they didn't, this doesn't really seem to apply. Hoping for the same type of thing to happen two years in a row is probably being a bit over-reaching at this point. To each their own. I personally think hope is wonderful. I don't know if anybody expects Cap to come back and save the team, but it would be cool if he could work hard and make an appearance in September and be a productive member of the 2010 Brewers. If there was no chance of him coming back this year, I doubt he would be working with that as his goal.
  9. kramnoj
    Capuano can't be an option for us in a pennant race when he hasn't pitched in over a year. 0% chance we see him on the major league roster this year. Some people were saying that Gallardo would not pitch again last year. Cap will be following a somewhat similar schedule. He's going to be facing a tougher road, and he won't likely provide much help, but it's far too early to be writing him off completely. Re Pedro: it will be interesting to see what, if anything, comes from the session. I think he may get signed, but I would be surprised if it was with the Brewers.
  10. kramnoj
    No matter whay gamel does in June and July, it won't cost them the season. This is stated too definitively. The Brewers got into the playoffs by one game last year. The Brewers won't be out of the playoffs in July because of one player, but it could certainly be the reason looking back.
  11. kramnoj
    His UZR/150 is -6.5. How significant is UZR over 85 innings? That's not a rhetorical question.
  12. kramnoj
    He turned down $4 million dollars from the Rockies and he didn't get near that amount in the settlement. Yes, that was a major mistake. But that wasn't Boras. I'm not sure that we are arguing anything here. You claimed that Boras clients " have done it before, but at great cost to the player in the long run." I have yet to see that actually demonstrated. Do you think he will go unsigned? Not at all. Why would you think that I do? I specifically wrote "But I don't think anybody expects Strasburg to get $50M. The whole point of making up that number is that "settling" for $15-20M almost seems like a bargain."
  13. kramnoj
    Boras is irrelevant. No, it's not. The bad decision that was made was made by the first agent. By the time that Harrington had missed a year, his stock had dropped. The settlements that Harrington got from insurance and his first agent were reasonably close to the offers that Boras was getting. The settlement wasn't enough obviously; unless changing tires is his top career choice. It's probably all he's qualified for, and it provides him spending money. $1M sounds like a lot of money, but once you pay taxes that takes out a big chunk. He bought a nice house, and he has a family. It's not like he could live an easy life and never work again.
  14. kramnoj
    Matt Harrington...he changes tires for 13 bucks an hour now. He also received a major settlement, and Boras wasn't his first agent.
  15. kramnoj
    Whether you named one or not didn't really matter; the difficulty of the task made the point. It wasn't difficult at all. Those were the first two I looked up. I know Boras clients have done it before, but at great cost to the player in the long run. Which players have suffered this great cost?
  16. kramnoj
    Gooden did; so you have one guy to argue with. That's all you asked for. I could try and look up more, but again, I don't see the purpose. Is he willing to pass up the richest deal given to a draftee to pitch in an Indy league next year and try again? Boras clients have done it before. But I don't think anybody expects Strasburg to get $50M. The whole point of making up that number is that "settling" for $15-20M almost seems like a bargain.
  17. kramnoj
    You found me two pitchers in all of baseball history. You asked for one. I gave you twice what you are looking for. I could look for more, but what would be the purpose? It shouldn't be expected, but it's not like it would be unprecedented. One was burnt out by the age of 25; the other by 27. The Nationals may not care much when a draftee's career ends, as long as they get 6+ good years out of him. He'll get $20,000,000, maybe. The Nats would be stupid to offer any more. I'm not versed enough in risk management to calculate the numbers, but I don't think he would have to pitch like Gooden to make a $50M deal over 6 years worth it, compared to a $20M bonus plus 3-4 years of arbitration money.
  18. kramnoj
    If he pitches 200 inning and has 200 Ks and a 3.5 ERA his rookie year in 2010 then he certainly will be worth several million dollars. Two problems with that tho: 1) Name me a rookie who has done that, especially with only a few dozen professional innings under his belt. Prior had 211 IP and a 2.43 ERA at 22, and 116 IP and a 3.32 ERA at 21. Gooden had 218 IP and a 2.60 ERA at age 19.
  19. kramnoj
    Seriously is there a worse everyday offensive player than Kendall in the major leagues today? He's got competition with Hall and Hardy right now. dont exactly expect the team to get Mauer or Victor Martinez but it really shouldnt be that dificult to upgrade on an average defensive catcher with a below 600 OPS. Then it should be easy to answer the question of who Melvin should have targeted. Kendall's option had already been triggered. He was coming back regardless. There wasn't enough expected return to spend more money at C.
  20. kramnoj
    The Giants are currently the Wild Card and actually have a better record than the Brewers. They are actually looking for a bat to keep them in the playoffs. I don't see them trading away part of the reason that they are having the success they have right now.
  21. kramnoj
    Before today, Hall was OPSing .852 against LHP this season. I think it's too early to declare that he can't hit lefties anymore. As far as Gamel, the DH will be available for the next 2 series. Hopefully he'll get going over the next week.
  22. kramnoj
    Chicago is only 4.5 games out, and Castro reportedly doesn't want to be the everyday catcher. I don't think we should expect to see AJ available soon.
  23. kramnoj
    Here's my guess so far, he has 71 days of service time this year. According to Cots, he came into the year with 1 year and 77 days of service time. I year of ST is 172 days. If I guessed right, it would mean that he would need to accumulate no more than 24 days of ST if they try to get an extra year. So even if he played out the season in the minors and came up Sep 1, he would still get that extra year.
  24. kramnoj
    Melvin made a huge mistake not going out and getting a viable offensive catcher for this team. Who would that be? It's easy to criticize Melvin for not doing what we want. It's much more difficult to actually come up with real solutions.
  25. kramnoj
    Seattle is only 5.5 games back right now. They really don't have motivation to trade him away just yet.
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