It's like the stat is saying that pitchers are responsible for walks and HR, but not that double that get's hit high off the OF wall. There are exceptions to just about any stat. A player's HR total includes ones that go over the wall and inside the park home runs. The idea is that pitchers are responsible for walks and HR (the defense has very little to do with either). But once a pitcher gives up a ball in play, it doesn't matter much if the pitcher is Gallardo or Suppan, they have mostly equal chances of becoming a hit. It's a general theory that is mostly right, but it's not precise. If a pitcher is having a season with a lower BABIP, you can expect them generally to do worse the rest of the season. The reverse would be true as well. Edit: Back to the topic. I don't think we should expect the Brewers to win 100 games, but I do think they are a playoff capable team. Before the season, I was one of those who thought an 85 Win season was a realistic goal. I thought that the team might get some lucky bounces and get to 88 Wins or so and if teams in the Central and East had some bad luck, the team might make it in as a WC. At this point, I'm a little more confident of a playoff spot, but it's still a long season.