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pete

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Everything posted by pete

  1. pete
    If the team needs Rickie to get hot and stay hot for a playoff run, it probably won't happen. That sounds like Ned talking about Turnbow: "we need this kid."
  2. pete
    Eddings has a responsibility to try and accurately call balls and strikes.
  3. pete
    Hey GormanHarvey, did you hear Yost's explanation of the hit and run? I can't do it justice, but the best part was that he was disappointed in Manny's triple because it would tire him out and it was worthless.
  4. pete
    Not that it means anything but he said that it would take till the middle of August to know whether it was working, but I'm with you.
  5. pete
    Baserunning, defense and hitting. That's a complete player.
  6. pete
    Weeks looked fine turning the DP.
  7. pete
    As the manager, does he say anything when they are waving at balls that are head high or in the opposite batter's box? Publicly he says nothing and talks about how great the other pitchers are. I also witnessed Skaalen talking about how they don't follow game plans. If Ned is actually leading them, he would have to challenge them on those actions. I'm not sure he does and if so, it doesn't seem to make much difference. There ware at bats this series so far where Braun struck out when NONE of the pitches were close to the strike zone. If you're right then Braun is in complete rebellion. That would condemn Yost as well.
  8. pete
    What i wonder is whether McClung will be used as long relief if Bush struggles.
  9. pete
    Look around the majors at the people playing shortstop. There are great gloves like Vizquel. If the stories about Vizquel's randy ways are true, he's probably a grandfather. Hanley Ramirez, all star, is kind of a sloppy fielder. There really aren't that many Jose Reyes types. When I hear criticism of Escobar, its because he didn't spring from the womb with better plate discipline. He's young. He's skinny and still physically maturing. Think about what it means that it is pretty much universally stated that he could easily start in the majors based on his glove. Has anyone who has seen him thought that he wasn't special? And right now he's hitting really well. But alas, he hasn't been hitting enough extra base hits since he was 17, so those talent "evaluators" don't like him? Did you watch him in the televised spring training games?
  10. pete
    If the success of an argument is contingent upon perversion of language, I submit its a poor argument. MLEs are unquestionably projections i.e. estimates. Declaring them to be "translations" a fairly non-sensical use of the word doesn't increase their accuracy. I doubt they even achieve the accuracy of PECOTA or ZIPS. The proprietors of those products use hyperbole like "extremely accurate" to describe them because they achieve around 70 percent accuracy and even that is questionable because it is usually a product of complex calculations that they themselves make. That is good for a casual game of darts and might serve as a useful crutch to assemble a fantasy baseball roster but there aren't many other applications where 70 percent (or lower) correctness is viewed as accurate. Projecting minor league performance into the majors has been viewed previously as notoriously difficult. What scientific breakthroughs have occurred to change that? A synonym for estimate is guess. That's what the discussion is. Claiming certainty for MLEs isn't as bad as declaring that estimates can determine "true talent" though. That is offensive.
  11. pete
    Pena was on TV last night in an all-star game, PCL versus IL. He pitched part of the 8th and the 9th. He had a hot fastball, but the IL all-stars hit him hard. They were sitting on the fastball. I'm not so sure he'll do well.
  12. pete
    You probably could get a quality SS prospect and Weeks. But Weeks' arbitration years, six years of Escobar, six years of the 35th guy in the draft (who can't be traded) plus yet another quality pitching prospect for a year and a third of Brian Roberts plus a ROOGY. I'm sure your GM would take that and laugh and party for a couple weeks straight if not longer. Plus all the years you get don't even start costing much of anything till the three prospects have put in a cumulative nine years in the majors and you can start the clocks whenever you feel like it. The Brewers will pay more for Roberts year and a third. I enjoy fantasies as much as the next guy, but that's all it is - sort of a baseball version of Penthouse letters. You can talk about how much the Brewers would benefit, but the Orioles are going nowhere fast. They seem to me like a franchise that's happy to be about .500 and making a profit while not really trying to be competitive. Brian Roberts sells tickets and so he'll be around.
  13. pete
    Even if Mota and Gagne don't pitch in close games, they would hurt the team because they are using roster spots.
  14. pete
    Adam McCalvey related talking to Melvin after the CC trade on a radio show. He asked about Roberts and Melvin's response was "he's not available." I assume that means the price is really high. He's a favorite of both the owner and the fanbase. The idea of trading Escobar for him is crazy. He's controlled for six years and the clock hasn't started. Three of those are cheap. Roberts is one more year at something like 8 million a year.
  15. pete
    The stat guy (Mike Something) that Steve the Homer, or whatever his name is, has on at the start of the year, made the argument that Dillon should be in the starting lineup over Hall. What they should do is just give Rickie more days off and give the bench the opportunity. Dillon plays fine there. They also should force him to try and bunt for a hit every couple games.
  16. pete
    Pitching bad equals 58 strikes in 96 pitches. Five and a third innings allowing two earned runs. Six Ks and one BB. His velocity is starting to come up as well. I wonder if that is part of the disdain and dislike for the guy: he isn't a soft tosser.
  17. pete
    Yeah he doesn't like batting in front of the pitcher.
  18. pete
    Keep both Stetter and DiFelice. Let Mota go.
  19. pete
    I hope Gagne is effective and valuable, but i'd put the chances that he performs at Cy Young quality at awfully small.
  20. pete
    Plus there are lots of unpleasant rumblings out of the clubhouse, like Oswalt saying he has no idea what Cooper is talking about when he criticizes the team. Cooper is looking a little like bad Ned. Flipping out on umpires and attacking the media whenever they question his tactics. And some of those tactics have been hard to understand, like having Wiggington attempt to steal in the ninth in a close Yankees game. Dude's nickname could be Wiggs-is-a-ton.
  21. pete
    I think its quite right to give Yost part of the credit for going with McClung out of spring training. As the "skipper" maybe he should get most of it. Keep in mind he has one of the most coveted jobs in baseball in all the world. Its the majors. He's got supportive owners. The Brewers are packed with talent. He has an extraordinarily long leash. Melvin seems utterly devoted to him. Not only should he excel, but the job should go to the best man for the job. The idea that he "earned" some right to drag out another year is Milorganite.
  22. pete
    Branyan changed his stance and his swing.
  23. pete
    Dave Bush is hanging around a 6 ERA. He's getting hit by people like the Twins pitcher, the first in his career. Would he be considered the C, D, or E team as far as hitting? But wait, ERA is a "bad stat" like wins and losses is a "bad stat." What's needed is the usual effort where someone pores over every bit of data recorded about his performance to find anything that might have a general correlation to good performance. Then we can all read the usual "look, look, his peripherals are good," he's a number 4 starter. And remember, that clown McClung has "math" working against him. You know when the outcome of a formula condemns you, there is no question - the clown sucks.
  24. pete
    I'd say the biggest factor is that its your team. You are emotionally invested in them and when less than excellent play occurs, especially when it costs the team, it is unpleasant or even painful. Other teams have plenty of misplays and errors as well. D-backs fans sometimes call them the E-backs because of their errors. Braun has looked awkward, but generally has played very well. Consider how his fans can recite his only mistakes. Then contrast him with someone like Soriano. Crazy Al has a lot of talent and a quick accurate arm, but he makes some of the ugliest plays in baseball. Or the "fantastic" Fukudome: just seeing about a fifth of the Flubbies games, I've seen him misplay 4 or 5 balls. Wasn't it last year when Tulowitzki had two errors in an inning against us? Really, what sort of player is acceptable? It seems Brewers fans generally want power hitters, who also have a fairly high average and play excellent defense. Its like wanting your significant other to be beautiful, have a great personality and be wealthy. Yes, it does happen. No, not often. If a player is excellent defensively, but not great offensively, then there is a lot of moaning about that.
  25. pete
    Earlier in the year, I looked at the video of McC on his player page from back in his Tampa days. He did have a higher kick and a big swing of the arms. He ended up simplifying everything and that led to some really nice success in the bullpen. Now, he's taken the opportunity as a starter and is exceeding expectations including Yost based on his comments in the postgame today. But I wonder where the coaching occurred and by whom. Earlier when McC or Mota were talked about its "Billy Castro" or "Billy Castro and Mike Maddux" and goes through a stage where its the staff or just Maddux and eventually Castro is never mentioned and Maddux is given credit for all the success. Maybe McC's simplified mechanics or Motas improved delivery are part of Maddux's excellence, but I suspect Billy Castro might have a big part in it all.
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