topper09er

RBI totals are random and thus useless in measuring a player's value. The problem was that MVP voters and many fans thought: Lead league in RBIs = best player in the league Wins and losses are completely out of a pitchers' control and therefore also a useless stat. Again, the problem was that Cy Young voters and many fan thought: Lead league in Wins = best pitcher in the league. Infact, a lot of this still exists, try telling a Philly fan Ryan Howard is not the best player in the league and is closer to an average 1B than the best 1B. Their head will explode because Howard consistently finishes very high on the RBI leaderboard. (http://www.975thefanatic.com/teams/phillies/blogentry.aspx?BlogEntryID=10275886) It was a huge contribution from SABR to change the mindset of the average fan to appreciate that RBIs and Wins are very dependent on the team as well as the player. Instead, when ranking players other stats that the player has a larger control over should be used. Now it may appear that the statheads are pushing away from Wins and RBIs so much that they are writing them off as useless, but it is more because of the need to convince the average fan that they should not the holy stats they used to be.

Maybe Prince wasn't clutch last year because none of our games mattered? Maybe he is clutch, maybe he is lucky. The point is just because I can't point you to a guy who is clutch doesn't mean it does not exist. Can you point me to a guy who isn't clutch? How will you justify the player isn't clutch? Would that not then imply that a player who is much better at whatever the unclutch player is bad at is then clutch? You can easily have an idea when a hot streak will end by watching the guy at the plate, when is he swinging at balls? When is he fouling off pitches right down the middle? It is better to play the hot hand than the guy who was better in previous seasons in some cases, obviously you don't start Kotsay over Braun ever, but you could start him over Morgan (in theory, ignoring defense) if you think he is hotter than Tony. I am NOT saying the Brewers should follow this example because Kotsay sucks, but in theory if he didn't suck then it should be considered if he has gone like 20 ABs in a row without 1 lazy roll-over grounder to the second baseman and Morgan turned into Corey Hart 2nd-half 2008 mode. And sometimes a productive out is better than a walk, tie game bottom of 9th, R2 0 out. R1, R2 0 out gives you a 37% chance of scoring 0 runs and 22% chance to score 1 run. But R3 1 out gives you a 34% of scoring 0 runs and 49% chance to score 1 run.

in addition to being a winner. The difference is that a stat geek will call Brain Wilson's postseason 2010 (10 G, 11.2 IP, 0 R) lucky instead of clutch because they cant prove that players can be clutch.

Too often stat people get stuck in the fallacy that just because you cannot prove something exists is proof that it does not exist. This is obvious from math, yet sometimes people overlook it. A certain number of prime numbers are known, but just because you don't know the next one yet doesn't mean it doesn't exist, or that you could confidently say it certainly doesn't exist. Bill James wrote a piece on this very topic but I cant find it. This applies to things like hot streaks or clutchness for example. When looking at these stats for different players across different years there seems to be no consistency, the most "clutch" guys one year will not be the most clutch the next. Therefore, there is no proof that some players are clutch their whole career while others are chokers. However, this does not prove that clutchness does not exist. For these types of things the best insight comes from playing experience. There are some players who want the ball hit to them in a tie game in the bottom of the 9th, and some players who don't. Some players can focus more and perform better when it matters most and some get nervous and feel the pressure. If you have ever played you know that hot streaks exist, there are just times for whatever reason when you feel like you can drive any pitch, and times when you are hoping to get walked because you aren't seeing it well. There is really no way to determine using stats when a player is hot or when the hot streak will end, so stat lovers basically deny that hotness exists, when anyone who ever played the game insists it exists because they actually experienced it. The best way to determine if someone is hot is to observe their ABs and note when they lay off nasty pitches and crush mistake pitches.

Statistics predict the group, not the individual. Many "stat" geeks do not actually have the statistical background to understand this.

Too bad he went 1-13 in Wrigley, which lets Reyes back into the batting race which Braun needs to win the lock the MVP.

Reminds me of the Leaders and Legends fiasco, yet they stuck with it for no apparent reason.

McGehee has looked like that all season, yet he continues to hit 6 in big spots. So infuriating.

Shouldn't the recent 4 game series vs the Phils be proof enough of why we don't want to play them if possible.

http://www.authenticsportscollectibles.com/store/images/favre8x10.jpg

Braun has: 5 career walk off hits, including 3 HRs 32 game tying hits, including 13 HRs 113 go-ahead hits, including 58 HRs

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Also what we really need to a Dbacks E number since clinching the #2 seed is extremely important, whoever doesn't will just lose 3 game to Phily and be out. Right now the 2 seed E # = 18

Come on students, read before you talk. If you hover over their Playoff Pct column it says: "The percentage of times a team makes the playoffs - either through winning their division or their league's wild card - in the simulated seasons." This is not some statistical prediction, it is the results from X number of simulations

wOBA is not park adjusted, and OPS+ is certainly not "bad" RBIs are bad, errors are bad. It only weighs OBP correctly based on value, which is up to the user to decide. I think that hardest thing to do in baseball is to maintain a high slugging %, even if having a higher OBP is more valuable for your team, the best seasons have the highest slugging %, so I like OPS. Also your 1-5 from wOBA are 5,1,2,8,2, not too far off.

Franchise History RankPlayerOffensive WARYear 1.Robin Yount10.71982 2.Tommy Harper7.91970 3.Robin Yount7.81983 4.Paul Molitor7.21982 5.Robin Yount6.91989 6.Ryan Braun6.72009 Prince Fielder6.72009 8.Ryan Braun6.42011 9.Paul Molitor6.31987 10.Robin Yount6.01980This does account for positional however, so not purely offense. Here is another list, OPS relative to the league RankPlayerAdjusted OPS+Year 1.Ryan Braun1692011 2.Prince Fielder1662009 Robin Yount1661982 4.Sixto Lezcano1641979 5.Paul Molitor1611987 6.Prince Fielder1572007 7.Prince Fielder1562011 8.Cecil Cooper1551980 9.Ryan Braun1542007 10.Larry Hisle1531978 Ben Oglivie1531980

Braun leads the league in batting, slugging, OPS and runs scored plus he will finish with 40 doubles/30HRs/30SBs. Braun is going to run away with it

The best thing about this picture, besides being so obviously awesome, is that you cant see Yuni in it

Good thing he let Yo hit last inning

Are they replaying the game from yesterday?

I think if I was Ryan Braun I would be pissed that McGehee is still starting since he is awful and hurting the team. I would never say this to him or act like I thought this but any replacement for him would be welcomed.

No he did that in the 6th inning when Prince had a runner on 3rd < 2 outs. TLR was trying to show the infield was playing back to concede the run, hoping Prince would just ground out to tie the game (which he never do anyways and probably get mad if someone told him to do that) and then Furcal would be there to throw the runner out at home.

Casey McGehee is 0-8 vs Westbrook in his career, to RRR that should mean a Taylor Green start. Of course in reality McGehee's season .238/.293/.357 line should mean a Taylor Green start also.

Brewers record when Gomez was the primary 2 hole hitter (Opening day - May 16): 19-21, averaging 4.17 runs/gameRest of the season: 62-34, averaging 4.49 R/G You cant put that all on Gomez but that is one way RRR was not putting the team in the best position to win and they didn't score as many runs as they should have. Also Ryan Braun had the most NL HRs in April, so that was a really bad time for a guy with a .278 April OBP to be hitting in front of him.

Here is the complete list with a little manual compiling since I do not subscribe to the play index search tool at bb-ref. Gcar Player Date ? Tm Opp Rslt IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA 1 Aaron Thompson 2011-08-24 PIT MIL W 2-0 4.1 4 0 0 2 1 0 0.00 1 Thomas Diamond 2010-08-03 CHC MIL L 3-4 6.0 7 3 3 3 10 0 4.50 1 Cesar Carrillo 2009-08-13 SDP MIL L 9-12 2.1 4 8 8 2 1 3 30.86 1 Ryan Sadowski 2009-06-28 SFG MIL W 7-0 6.0 4 0 0 3 2 0 0.00 1 Alfredo Figaro 2009-06-20 DET MIL W 9-5 5.0 8 2 2 2 7 1 3.60 1 Tommy Hanson 2009-06-07 ATL MIL W 8-7 6.0 6 7 6 1 5 3 9.00 1 Anthony Swarzak 2009-05-23 MIN MIL W 6-2 7.0 5 0 0 2 3 0 0.00 1 Jonathon Niese 2008-09-02 NYM MIL W 6-5 3.0 7 5 5 4 2 1 15.00 1 Rick Vanden Hurk 2007-04-10 FLA MIL L 2-3 4.2 5 1 1 3 5 0 1.93Gcar Player Date Tm Opp Rslt IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA 1 Boof Bonser 2006-05-21 MIN MIL L 3-5 6.0 5 1 1 3 8 0 1.50 1 Paul Maholm 2005-08-30 PIT MIL W 6-0 8.0 4 0 0 3 5 0 0.00 1 Anthony Reyes 2005-08-09 STL MIL W 5-2 6.1 2 2 2 1 5 1 2.84 1 Zach Duke 2005-07-02 PIT MIL L 3-5 7.0 5 3 3 1 9 1 3.86 1 Chin-hui Tsao 2003-07-25 COL MIL W 7-3 6.1 8 3 3 1 5 2 4.26 1 Kirk Saarloos 2002-06-18 HOU MIL L 1-7 4.2 6 6 6 3 4 1 11.57 1 Nate Teut 2002-05-04 FLA MIL L 4-6 4.1 8 5 5 1 3 0 10.38Gcar Player Date Tm Opp Rslt IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA 1 Josh Pearce 2002-04-20 STL MIL L 3-5 4.2 6 3 3 3 0 0 5.79 1 Juan Cruz 2001-08-21 CHC MIL L 1-3 6.0 3 2 2 1 8 0 3.00 1 Carlos Zambrano 2001-08-20 (2) CHC MIL L 2-10 4.0 4 7 7 4 3 1 15.75 1 Jose Acevedo 2001-06-19 CIN MIL L 8-10 4.0 4 6 6 2 4 3 13.50 1 Adam Eaton 2000-05-30 SDP MIL W 6-3 5.1 5 3 3 2 4 1 5.06 1 Brian O'Connor 2000-05-13 PIT MIL W 11-8 2.0 7 6 6 2 0 1 27.00 1 Buddy Carlyle 1999-08-29 SDP MIL W 5-4 7.0 2 4 1 2 5 1 1.29 1 Dan Reichert 1999-07-16 (2) KCR MIL W 12-10 1.2 5 7 7 4 1 0 37.80 1 Brian Meadows 1998-04-04 FLA MIL L 2-6 3.2 10 6 6 2 3 0 14.73 1 Brian Moehler 1996-09-22 DET MIL W 7-5 5.1 6 5 0 4 1 1 0.00Gcar Player Date Tm Opp Rslt IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA 1 Steve Wojciechowski 1995-07-18 OAK MIL L 0-4 5.0 8 3 3 3 2 0 5.40 1 Tim VanEgmond 1994-06-26 BOS MIL L 4-5 7.2 5 5 5 4 7 1 5.87 1 Gar Finnvold 1994-05-10 BOS MIL L 5-9 5.0 4 2 2 2 4 0 3.60 1 Mark Holzemer 1993-08-21 CAL MIL W 7-6 6.0 9 5 5 3 2 0 7.50 1 Steve Karsay 1993-08-17 OAK MIL W 6-3 6.1 6 2 2 1 3 0 2.84 1 Bob Wickman 1992-08-24 NYY MIL W 9-8 6.0 6 5 3 0 2 0 4.50 1 Denny Neagle 1991-07-27 MIN MIL W 7-4 3.0 4 2 2 1 5 1 6.00 1 Wade Taylor 1991-06-02 NYY MIL W 7-4 5.1 7 4 4 1 4 0 6.75 1 Denis Boucher 1991-04-12 TOR MIL W 5-4 5.1 5 4 3 1 1 2 5.06 1 Scott Aldred 1990-09-09 DET MIL W 5-0 5.0 4 0 0 5 2 0 0.00Gcar Player Date Tm Opp Rslt IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA 1 Alex Fernandez 1990-08-02 (1) CHW MIL W 4-3 7.0 5 2 2 2 4 1 2.57 1 Dave Eiland 1988-08-03 NYY MIL L 5-6 7.0 3 1 1 2 3 1 1.29 1 Al Leiter 1987-09-15 NYY MIL W 4-3 6.0 4 1 1 4 8 0 1.50 1 Bob Tewksbury 1986-04-11 NYY MIL W 3-2 7.1 9 2 2 1 2 0 2.45 1 Jeff Sellers 1985-09-15 BOS MIL W 4-2 6.1 8 2 1 3 1 0 1.42 1 Joel Davis 1985-08-11 CHW MIL W 4-1 7.0 5 1 1 2 6 0 1.29 1 Mark Langston 1984-04-07 SEA MIL W 3-2 7.0 4 2 2 3 5 1 2.57 1 Allan Ramirez 1983-06-08 BAL MIL W 7-3 7.0 5 2 2 5 2 0 2.57 1 Stefan Wever 1982-09-17 NYY MIL L 0-14 2.2 6 9 8 3 2 1 27.00 1 Rich Barnes 1982-07-18 CHW MIL L 3-9 1.2 5 6 6 1 0 0 32.40Gcar Player Date Tm Opp Rslt IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA 1 Dan Petry 1979-07-08 (2) DET MIL L 1-3 7.1 10 3 3 1 2 0 3.68 <