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Funketown

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Everything posted by Funketown

  1. Funketown
    The fact that Ron Santo wasn't inducted to the HOF during his lifetime is really sad to me. He was a Cub, but he was an incredibly good ballplayer who should have been in the HOF many years ago. We can only hope he's watching from some cornfield ballpark in Iowa.
  2. Funketown
    I'm not terribly confident Greinke will get a significantly better offer than the current offer should he choose free agency. The Cain-Greinke comparison is a bit of a tough one for me, because while Greinke dominates Cain in most of the fielding independent metrics from 2010-2012 (~3.0 FIP, ~3.1xFIP vs. 3.4 FIP, 3.8xFIP), Cain has given up far fewer runs (3.92 ERA vs. 2.91 ERA). Cain's career BABIP is about 50 points below Greinke's (.264 vs. .311). Given the amount of time these guys have been in the majors I don't think it's at all unreasonable to conjecture that Cain is a low BABIP guy and Greinke is simply a high BABIP guy. I don't have a great feel for how the FA market will shake out, but at this point I'm wondering if Greinke is more of a 5/$90-100 guy than a 6/$120 guy.
  3. Funketown
    To be fair he was only ever really a spot starter. I wish they'd just send him back to AAA to get innings. He has no place on this team even with Marcum injured, so long as Greinke comes back to the rotation for his next start. He has thrown ~70 innings in A, A+, and AA and has started one game in AAA. Let the guy finish this season starting every five days in AAA and don't even consider him for the rotation next year unless he completely dominates.
  4. Funketown
    Chapman is unhittable. Opponents are hitting .141 off of him in his career.
  5. Funketown
    Fx said they were borderline so I won't complain.
  6. Funketown
    That works out to $22.5/year for 5 years if the Cain report is correct. I think that's about my break-even point for the Brewers signing Greinke. If he signs for anything more I'll probably be excited about next season but terrified about the future. Even if Greinke is in the fold next season, we'd be looking at Greinke-Gallardo-Fiers-Estrada-???. Thornburg is clearly not ready to be an MLB starter. Rogers and Peralta both have struggled in AAA this season. We can't count on Narveson being back or effective. They'd likely need to go outside the organization for at least 1 starter, and that's counting on Estrada finishing the season well. A lineup of Aoki-Lucroy-Braun-Ramirez-Hart-Weeks-CheapSS-Gomez would look pretty good so long as those guys stayed healthy. I just don't know if bringing Greinke back is what's best for this club.
  7. Funketown
    I thought the Brewers would still get two picks for Greinke, and then it would change next year. Do they only get the one supplemental pick?
  8. Funketown
    For me it comes down to this: If the quality of players the Brewers receive in a trade for Greinke is only slightly better than the picks, I'd rather just enjoy watching Greinke pitch the year out.
  9. Funketown
    This morning I bought a gorgeous 5-lb King Mackerel from my fishmonger for about $25. I got home, brined it for a few hours, then let it dry, heated up the smoker, and put it on. There was only a 30% chance of rain. An hour later, we got our worst thunderstorm of the year and I lost power. Had to bring the fish in, put it in an iced cooler (I didn't want to open the fridge), and wait for the power to come back on. It just came back on and it's finally back in the smoker. I'm going to be really disappointed if it doesn't turn out now. I think it should be fine, but I'll be up later than I expected tonight.
  10. Funketown
    I'm actually curious how many balls I could put in play at that level, given a week or two to try and learn how to swing. I don't know if I could draw that many walks, but I'm almost certain I could at least hit a couple of dribblers. Then again, given the control of some of the guys in those leagues, I might be able to draw a couple of walks.
  11. Funketown
    ^Slapp, there are several studies out there that say we don't seem to observe the "protection effect (as it's usually defined)" at the MLB level. However, because the studies I've read have been purely empirical the study wouldn't really consider a drop off of a guy like Braun hitting ahead of Izturis, because that just doesn't happen in a typical lineup. Basically, the crux is that switching from an elite hitter (Prince) to a good one (Ramirez) shouldn't affect Braun's production. I think there's a pretty good chance that putting Cesar Izturis or a pitcher behind Braun would affect his output, but I'm not sure how you'd test this (maybe you could do it simulation based - put Izturis behind Braun and simulate different pitcher strategies and results, compare, etc.). Perhaps you could also run a test comparing how players perform when in the 8-hole and when moved up in the lineup, but there would obviously be a major selection bias problem there. Back to the lineup, I'd like them to try this out when Lucroy gets back: Aoki Lucroy Braun Ramirez Hart Weeks Ransom/Bianchi Gomez (LHP), Morgan/Gomez (RHP) I suppose they could swap Weeks and Lucroy as Weeks looks to be back to his normal self (his June-July batting line is about .260/.350/.450). Either way this lineup looks pretty decent to me.
  12. Funketown
    I hadn't realized Greinke's high career BABIP or the change in his batted ball profile until that post; that's interesting. I just seem to get the sense that the trade market is really cool on Greinke right now. We'll see what happens, but I have a bad feeling they're going to have to just let him walk and take the compensation picks.
  13. Funketown
    I'd see if anybody is interested in Kottaras at the deadline but unless somebody offers a decent return I'd probably choose to go with three catchers for the rest of the season. Sending Maldonado down to AAA for just one month to give him 100 or so PA's rather than starting only 1-2 games per week might also be a reasonable plan. I've seen enough of Maldonado to say that I think he's capable of being a solid backup MLB catcher. I don't think he'll continue to hit near this level, but a good defensive catcher who hits something like .250/.300/.350 is very serviceable for 40-50 starts per year. The last thing I want to see happen is Lucroy moved away from catcher. As a catcher he's a pretty valuable player, but it wouldn't be difficult to find a cheap 1B that could outhit Lucroy. Luckily, I don't think the Brewers brass is even considering moving him.
  14. Funketown
    As a baseball fan I'd rather enjoy watching the NL Central trio of Braun, McCutchen, and Votto fight it out for the MVP. Hopefully he can get back soon.
  15. Funketown
    Don't rag on Yuni, he's getting on base almost 27% of the time this season! Dude can rake, there's no doubt about it. Every time I get frustrated with Roenicke, I remember that he is worlds better than Yost.
  16. Funketown
    I was under the impression that Narveson most likely should not be expected to be in the rotation next season. Any updates on that front? I would not mind Thornburg in the rotation next season if he continues to pitch well. Rodgers and Peralta have both really struggled though haven't they? Without Narveson we would be looking at Gallardo Estrada Thornburg Fiers Peralta. I honestly would be happy to see them sacrifice next season before opening day but I don't think Attanasio will do that. Of course only time will tell. This team really needs Fiers to be a wonderful surprise...
  17. Funketown
    Wow. That ump should be removed immediately, if not fired. What a joke.
  18. Funketown
    I don't think the Riske signing was that bad; he had outperformed his peripherals by a pretty fair margin but still projected to be a solid guy out of the pen. I'm also not saying those guys are going to continue to be durable, 3.5-4 ERA type of guys, but they seem to come at a pretty decent price right now and assuming Marcum, Greinke, and likely Wolf are gone I don't see how the Brewers are going to fill out a 5-man rotation.
  19. Funketown
    Below is a list of all FA SP's who signed deals worth between $6-12MM last offseason: Harang: 100 IP, 3.51 ERA Chen: 99 IP, 3.64 ERA Capuano: 106 IP, 2.62 ERA Kuroda: 108 IP, 3.50 ERA Chen: 95 IP, 4.83 ERA Wada: DL Joe Saunders: 81 IP, 3.44 ERA I don't expect a lot of these guys to continue to be so productive, nor do I know who would be available next offseason, but if the Brewers could get that type of production for 2 years/ $10 MM I think we'd all be happy. I'm not sure Wolf will be any better than these types of signings next year, so at $8.5MM to keep him around I don't think that happens. We all know Greinke and Marcum are gone. They're almost going to need to make at least one FA signing for a SP. I was looking through the organizational depth chart and it is not very promising when it comes to bullpen arms for this year and next. Henderson and Hand look like another two guys that could be back end of the bullpen guys. Wooten has pretty solid numbers but he hasn't been nearly as dominant since missing 2010. I know nothing about Jesus Sanchez but he seemed to put up solid numbers in ~25 AA innings. We've all seen Juan Perez and I'm not sure we need to see him again. I'm not sure what to do about this bullpen going forward. It's a mess, and I hope it doesn't force Melvin to sign a David Riske type to a $12MM deal this offseason.
  20. Funketown
    One of the rare times I wish I hadn't turned on the Uecker audio overlay...
  21. Funketown
    A good ol' fashioned fleecing is just what the doctor ordered. The Orioles have to be absolutely desperate to make a playoff appearance at this point. Machado fills a huge hole in this organization and we all know that. If you can get a top 10 MLB prospect and change for Greinke and change I just don't see how you turn it down if you're the Brewers. Let's hope they don't think they can still "contend" a while longer...
  22. Funketown
    Another funny idea would be to take the slap hitters and have a HR derby. Just imagine Izturis, Gordon, Pierre, etc. going at it. I imagine it would be a "first to score wins" type of deal.
  23. Funketown
    The Brewers are now 7.5 games back with three superior teams ahead of them in the standings by at least 5 games. It's getting extremely unlikely at this point with the quality of this team's roster to make a playoff run. The minor league system is still depleted. Finding a good buyer for Greinke is the best thing that could happen to this team right now.
  24. Funketown
    Weeks was taken out in the double switch to bring in Veras Yeah but why not just let Veras come in for Parra and let either Ish or Kottaras deal with the lefty? Izturis' batting line vs. LHP in the last three years is horrendous.
  25. Funketown
    Is Weeks hurt? Why in the world is Roenicke going to let Izturis hit here?
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