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Eye Black

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Everything posted by Eye Black

  1. Eye Black
    Apparently Brian O’Nora was arrested along with 13 others in a sting this past December. Bad strike calls might be the least of his issues, yikes. Reports: MLB umpire arrested in Liberty Township, Ohio human trafficking sting How in the world does this guy still have a role in MLB?
  2. Eye Black
    I thought the same thing. Had to guess all day on what was going to be called, why not have it end on a butchered call. If nothing else he was consistently bad tonight.
  3. Eye Black
    The Avi swing looked so easy and smooth but sounded great. I was confused for a second if that was actually going out, but he certainly did get all of it.
  4. Eye Black
    Thank you, Avi!
  5. Eye Black
    Tough way to end an inning when Adames comes through with a big base hit.
  6. Eye Black
    Is Urias hurt?
  7. Eye Black
    I think Urias actually came off the bag (lost contact with it) while the tag was still being applied. Glad the Reds didn’t ask for a replay.
  8. Eye Black
    There is no chance Votto actually tagged him there.
  9. Eye Black
    Winker might have twisted/injured his knee avoiding Suarez on that last play.
  10. Eye Black
    Would’ve probably pinch hit Rowdy here. EDIT: DELETE. DELETE. DELETE.
  11. Eye Black
    What an absolutely pathetic strike three call against Adames.
  12. Eye Black
    After Mahle had 50+ pitches through the first two innings the Brewers have unfortunately let him start cruising a bit.
  13. Eye Black
    Oh wow, good catch. For some reason in my mind this was in Cincy.
  14. Eye Black
  15. Eye Black
    wRC+ is listed on the FanGraphs player pages, and is at least helpful in determining how they performed relative to their league since we know league specific run environments can sway heavily from league-to-league (and among many parks) throughout the minors.
  16. Eye Black
    What’s interesting about his minor league stats is he had some solid wRC+ numbers despite the OPS looking less than impressive. He was also extremely young for most of the levels he played in the minors. Here’s a look, understanding some of these are small samples (listed plate appearances at each level): 2013: Rookie / Age 18 (-1.4 AgeDiff) / 141 PA / .690 OPS / 105 wRC+ 2014: Rookie / Age 19 (-1.3 AgeDiff) / 219 PA / .782 OPS / 125 wRC+ 2014: Low-A / Age 19 (-2.5 AgeDiff) / 49 PA / .949 OPS / 176 wRC+ 2015: Low-A / Age 20 (-1.4 AgeDiff) / 270 PA / .796 OPS / 130 wRC+ 2015: High-A / Age 20 (-2.7 AgeDiff) / 131 PA / .811 OPS / 143 wRC+ 2016: Double-A / Age 21 (-3.4 AgeDiff) / 514 PA / .917 OPS / 152 wRC+ 2017: Triple-A / Age 22 (-4.7 AgeDiff) / 501 PA / .628 OPS / 73 wRC+ 2018: Triple-A / Age 23 (-3.5 AgeDiff) / 444 PA / .765 OPS / 115 wRC+ 2019: Triple-A / Age 24 (-2.9 AgeDiff) / 109 PA / 1.138 OPS / 186 wRC+ 2021: Triple-A / Age 26 (-0.8 AgeDiff) / 55 PA / 1.038 OPS / 172 wRC+ Some of this appears due to the fact that several of the leagues he played in throughout the minors (Midwest League, Florida State League, Eastern League, International League), weren’t as OPS friendly as we find elsewhere in some of their counterpart leagues (i.e. California League, Texas League, Pacific Coast League).
  17. Eye Black
    I do think Zavier Warren has a chance to ultimately be a solid corner infielder, but he’s got a lot of levels to go. I know they announced him as a catcher when they drafted him, but I think he’ll end up at either 3B or 1B.
  18. Eye Black
    If that turns out to be the case score another one for Stearns but I will believe it when I see it. I'm scratching my head over that projection too... His minor league numbers certainly don't support it: 4 years at AAA (XXXX ABs): 259/334/418/752 Career MiLB (XXXX ABs): 276/351/447/797 His last two years at AAA were above 1000 OPS (plus two small sample 2018/2019 good stints at the MLB level), so maybe the lightbulb clicked on for him recently? Low risk anyway, so why not? Plus even if he hits 750 OPS it is a win for us. Paul Goldschmidt is the 18th best 1B at 746. Jesus Aguilar is #9 at 794. 750 would put him right in the average range. Projection Systems do seem to like Rowdy more than I would’ve guessed. Prior to the season Clay Davenport’s system had him projected to be a .263 BA / .334 OBP / .511 SLG hitter this season. His rest of season projections have cooled a bit now (.237/.303/.444). Even though a .444 slugging isn’t great for a 1B, it’s sort of amazing there are only a dozen qualified 1B in baseball slugging better than that this season.
  19. Eye Black
    On Keith Law’s podcast today with Jonathan Mayo, The Keith Law Show, they have a good discussion about the overall draft class. Law mentions that college pitching typically gets pushed up the draft board, but this year he said he’s heard from team sources that outside of Leiter and Rocker it isn’t a good year to draft college pitching in the top 15 picks. He said most of the next tier of college pitching belongs in the range from picks #20-to-#40. I think I agree with Law on that, I have a hard time wanting the Brewers to commit an almost $4 million signing bonus to anyone among the secondary tier of college pitching. Now if they could cut a deal with one of those pitchers and use the savings to swing big with their next couple of picks then it would at least be more palatable. I’d still very much prefer a position player with the first selection.
  20. Eye Black
    Didn't even have him going in the 2nd round and that's all the further they went. In their BA 500 rankings they have Binelas ranked #77, actually behind Ozaukee’s Noah Miller (#74).
  21. Eye Black
    Baseball America 2021 MLB Staff Draft BA did a staff draft for the 1st two rounds and Ben Badler did the selections on behalf of the Brewers. Below were his Brewers draft picks: [pre]Round Pick Slot Value Selection Pos. BA Rank School 1 15 $3,885,800 Harry Ford C 17 North Cobb HS, Kennesaw, Ga. CBA 33 $2,202,200 Peyton Stovall 2B 33 Haughton (La.) HS 2 51 $1,436,900 Peter Heubeck RHP 105 Gilman HS, Baltimore[/pre]
  22. Eye Black
    Adrian Houser: Batter (Reds) vs Pitching Stats Tyler Mahle: Batter (Brewers) vs Pitching Stats Statcast Game Preview for Reds-Brewers Statcast Game Feed for Reds-Brewers
  23. Eye Black
    Back to this year’s draft, Colton Cowser has some similarities to Garrett Mitchell. Good athlete with enough speed to hopefully stick in CF and seems to have solid raw power that his current swing approach doesn’t fully tap into. I am not sure if he even makes it to the Brewers selection, but he certainly fits the style of player they seem into. Not sure a Mitchell clone would be the best use of resources, but if they think he’s the real deal then it would be hard to pass him up.
  24. Eye Black
    Yes and no. Burnes wasn’t projected as a 1st rounder, but he was ranked #39 by MLB.com and #57 by Baseball America. Regardless of those public rankings he ultimately signed for a modest $536,400 which was actually below six other Brewers selections in the 2016 draft class including Corey Ray ($4.8 million), Chad McClanahan ($1.2 million), Lucas Erceg ($1.15 million), Mario Feliciano ($800k), Braden Webb ($700k), and Payton Henry ($551K).
  25. Eye Black
    I’ll go on record predicting peak Urias is a 25 home run per season hitter.
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