sheethead
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Everything posted by sheethead
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Cruz would have been much cheaper, as Mench took the Brewers for $3.4M in 2007.
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Instead, they decided to waste a good 500 at bats or more on Shrek. That's a good point. I tend to block out Mench being a Brewer.
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This is not hindsight. Was that your same opinion after Cruz's MLB work through 2007 or even during 2008 when he was back toiling in AAA?
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Nice find! Jody Gerut/Bud Light Lime: It seemed good that one time you tried it, so you keep trying it despite it being not that good.
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Unfortunately he canceled that out because of his man-love for Shreck and/or Nix. Cruz was put on waivers in 2008 to get him to AAA (out of options). Any team could have claimed him, so I think his MLB breakout has been a surprise, even for the Rangers (pleasant surprise obviously for them).
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Which is what Corey made it sound like on the radio Yeah, he went into his "back, track, wall" call and instead of "gone" after wall he peeled off and said caught. It happens to them all. I blame it on the humidity.
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Its much safer for the manager to sit back and wait for something to happen. Answering why there are never exiting plays executed is easier than explaining why they didn't work. This team can barely execute a sac bunt, much less a double steal or suicide squeeze.
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If they start jogging or just watch and look you know it is gone. That's only good for the no-doubters.
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Finish it off now please.
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Wow, none of those pitches looked to be even close to the zone.
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Via Gameday Lindstrom looks way off.
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LET'S GO WEEKS!
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Is it just me, or are the popups to infielders a plenty for the Brewers today. I counted six.
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Do we blame Melvin that Hoffman has a 12 ERA? Who, if anyone, could have predicted that? That's where the gut feeling part of the equation comes in. With each passing year, counting on, much less paying $8M, a 40+ year-old soft tossing reliever to be your closer is like playing Russian roulette, despite how the previous 100+ years of data are telling you otherwise.
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Bunting can be useful if you can do it, but the Brewers they should just stop bunting. Of course this would require Macha to admit they just cannot bunt effectively enough to incorporate it into the game, so they will just stop doing it.
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historical data and statistics suggest that if I flip the coin 10 times, the most likely occurrence is that heads will come up 5 times. This is so far off topic now, but its fun. Historical data has nothing to do with the outcome of a coin flip. It's common sense that objective statistics based on historical data will provide a more accurate result than me making a guess without the support of statistics. That doesn't sound like a fact laden thesis explanation to me http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif
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however in the long run the statistical model is going to be correct on a more frequent basis. I think the burden of proving this to be true is on you here. I thought in school they taught people to give evidence of their work . I think it's called supporting a thesis. I don't have the energy to show you all the analysis, data, and muscle that went into my opinion (which was presented as fact - but who doesn't do that nowadays). I'll just point you to the 2009 Milwaukee Brewers pitching, then to the 2010 Milwaukee Brewers pitching, and Macha's record as the Milwaukee Brewers manager. That's where I started. Not in 2006 or 2008 or 2001. I just looked at last year and this year, ages of players, factored out best years and worst years, looked at regression patterns, contract amounts (believe it or not, the more you make the worse you do on average - could have a lot to do with older vets getting their due from unsuspecting GMs, save a few special players), how much I like some of them, add in a bit of fear factor and luck. The rest is a secret.
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It's because these people base their opinions on statistics. Which would hold all the weight if the games were played on paper or a computer. And they do a much better job at predicting a team's future success than a random poster who uses no statistical analysis whatsoever to arrive at his conclusions, but rather bases his entire prediction on gut feeling and emotion. If you are implying this is what I am doing, then you would be about 35% right, which is an F in most public schools. I guess I just need to drop out. The wisest thing to do, as ultimately there will be no big changes coming any time soon. /end scene
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Do you also do Powerball? I have the numbers, but the date is fuzzy. I just keep playing them.
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If you think that Wolf is going to continue to have an ERA over 5 (where it was at before last night). what is it now? Why use before his last start? And why argue ERA? Hasn't it been shown here numerous times that ERA is a near worthless metric on which to judge performance for a quarter season? But most people with a statistical background in baseball figured the Brewers would be around a .500+ team going into the season. I do enjoy how this is always what your arguments boil down to... other people's opinions.
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Barely getting past 70 wins would just be depressing. Yes, yes it is.
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I don't think it is ridiculous to point out where posters have unrealistic expectations of their team, their GM, and the players. Its not ridiculous if its actually true.
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I don't think it's out of the question that they play at/around .500 the rest of the way. You're not being honest here. This team has shown no inclination they will be able to play .500 ball this year, let alone over the course of four months. BTW, if they play .500 the rest of the way, that is a 76-86 record, five games better than they are actually going to finish.
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If he doesn't today, I don't see why he should get another chance against another team unless there are numerous injuries.
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How can Hoffman's outing be considered "good." Because he didn't give up any runs to the Astros? By Tom Haudricourt of the Journal Sentinel Trevor Hoffman takes over for what could be his final tune-up before returning to the closer's role. He's not as sharp as Sunday in Minnesota but escapes unscathed. With one down, Pence singles to center. Lee flies out to left but Berkman draws a four-pitch walk to put two runners on. Hoffman escapes when Feliz fouls out. If we are looking for a rally, aka winning streak, letting Hoffman pitch the ninth in a save situation is part of why it will not happen. 50% success rates, both in clean innings and save chances, is not a key to success.