I think it's safe to assume that come tomorrow night, we won't be discussing Ryan Braun's second MVP Award (though I still think he's the most deserving candidate). However, I've read that there's a good chance that he won't finish in the top 3, either, with some voters leaving him off their ballot altogether. Could he finish as low as fifth? The finalists are Buster Posey (the new "it player" that everybody is fawning over. Billy Ripken actually said that Posey is the second best player in the entire game behind Mike Trout), Brauny, Yadier Molina, Chase Headley and Andrew McCutchen. Here are their numbers side by side: http://img832.imageshack.us/img832/4415/nlmvpcomp.png The argument for Posey has been that he plays a premium position, and provides great offense from the catcher position. I've also heard the "well, they won the World Series with him in 2010, missed the playoffs when he was hurt last year, and won the World Series again this year when he came back" narrative (though I'm sure that new additions Melky Cabrera hitting .346 for 459 at bats and Hunter Pence driving in 45 runs in 60 games have nothing to do with their renewed success. Plus, Posey only had a .756 OPS in the 45 games he did play in 2011). As far as him playing catcher, he had a negative dWAR (-0.2). He had the second worst stolen base percentage allowed in the NL (73%), and allowed the most total stolen bases (87). He's not a great defensive catcher. Middle of the pack at best. He was not a finalist for the Gold Glove this year (Braun was a finalist for the Gold Glove in left field). The argument that the Giants wouldn't have won the World Series with him is a viable one. But the argument that the Brewers would still have been in playoff contention until the end of the season without Ryan Braun is ridiculous, especially after losing Prince Fielder to Detroit. The narrative should be that Braun, after a tumultuous offseason in which his PED test results were leaked, and the validity of his appeal victory questioned, answered the critics by having the finest season of his career, putting up numbers that bested his 2011 NL MVP campaign, and that without Fielder in the lineup. But the BBWAA, which had no problem voting a 37 year old Barry Bonds MVP after hitting 73 home runs (when he'd never hit close to 50 in any one season during his prime), are now going to feign indignation in voting Braun lower than he should be in the MVP. The facts: Braun was the only hitter in all the NL to finish in the top 3 in every major offensive category: average, slugging, on base, OPS, home runs, runs, RBI. He was the NL's only 30-30 player. And he was, as mentioned before, a finalist for the Gold Glove. Posey had a higher batting average (.336 to .319), and a higher OBP (.408 to .391). Braun hit 17 more home runs, stole 29 more bases, scored 30 more runs. On MLB Network, I actually heard somebody (I think it was Billy Ripken) that Posey's lower RBI total was more impressive that Braun's because "Braun drove himself in more". Well, when you consider that Posey had the best hitter in the Majors in front of him for 500 at bats (.346, Melky Cabrera), and the guy hitting directly in front of Braun for the majority of the season, Rickie Weeks, struggled to get his average above .200...his statement seems pretty ignorant. And the latest narrative is that when a catcher puts up the kind of numbers Posey did, it's pretty much a no brainer that he should win the MVP. Well, look at the years Mike Piazza had. He was on playoff teams with the Dodgers. In 1997, Piazza hit .362 with 40 HR and 124 RBI, and yet he didn't win the MVP. Why? If catchers are so highly valued when they can produce this kind of offense, why did the BBWAA not select Piazza after having the greatest single offensive season in history by a catcher? Get ready for it, the screw job is coming.