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Austin Tatious

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Everything posted by Austin Tatious

  1. Austin Tatious
    Thanks for the thoughtful post, the Crew 07. It was a good read.
  2. Austin Tatious
    I'm not buying the 30 innings spin. It sounds like nice slogan, but the reality is those can be "win or lose" innings. It's not the number of the innings but the criticality of the input he makes. No one wants any part of Chapman in the eighth or ninth. His overall effect on an outcome of a game can be tremendous. The opposition better beat the Cubs by the 7th because it's lights out if Chapman strolls out there, and what's worse is, he knows it, the audience knows it, and the batter knows it. Lucroy did beat him a couple of years ago, but it's not a frequent occurrence. I think Luc got a changeup or other off speed offering and destroyed it. When he's throwing gas, forget about it. I agree that Brewers trade candidates will have value, it's just the the 30 inning label isn't why I'm persuaded.
  3. Austin Tatious
    I don't understand what this means? Are they saying that Lucroy is the "significant piece" and teams better pony up, or are they saying that another team has made them a "significant offer" and you better put your best offer on the table right now or else you'll get left out? The latter. Or maybe "significant piece on the table" means that Stearns just bought a Desert Eagle .50 Cal and he literally has it on his table, and is cleaning it or something. That made me laugh out loud.
  4. Austin Tatious
    viewtopic.php?f=82&t=6641 Lol thanks.
  5. Austin Tatious
    I don't get the Whoa Solvdd bit. Is that an inside joke from this board?
  6. Austin Tatious
    Yeah, thanks. Great point. I wonder if it's sort of the Brooklyn Nets phenomenon or what Ted Stepien did to the Cavs 35 years ago. You trade away your number one picks, and it's tough to turn around. But to say you can never trade away a number one pick seems like too much micromanaging and extreme. I wonder if there is some financial component to the rule.
  7. Austin Tatious
    Do you know the rationale for that rule? What are the MLB offices worried about? I'm just curious.
  8. Austin Tatious
    I'd agree with this. It reminds me of the top 150 list in college recruiting. Is the number 76 player really better than the number 131 player? Can you really figure out upside? So much is unknown about prospects by fans and media. What is a kid's coachability, makeup, aptitude, drive, competitiveness, and ability to develop. We can't see these things. The lists also seem skewed against guys in low levels like rookie ball. There may be less of a reasonable expectation of success because of too many unknowns and variables. But the lists have some use in the sense that they identify vague ideas of industry ideas on which prospects are interesting. The media talks to GMs and scouts. It's not so much if Hader is 37 or 61, but more the idea that industry folks have tagged him as a guy to keep an eye on.
  9. Austin Tatious
    Can you please explain what "blind pedigree" is exactly? He was drafted fifth overall so he's being given the benefit of the doubt and tracking similar progression of other advanced bats taken high in the draft the year before. You see how the four guys I mentioned cranked their first year and a half, and based on where Ray was drafted, and as an advanced college bat, the media is expecting similar progression. When you take an advanced college bat, it's a totally different expectation than, say, a high school arm. Everyone realizes there's more risk in the high school arm. Arm problems, lack of maturity, makeup, lack of command etc, could all be problems. It's one thing to miss on a "swing for the fences" high school arm. But, taking an advanced bat high brings an expectation from that pedigree. Missing on an advanced college bat fifth overall would be catastrophic because of the missed opportunity to get a good pitcher, yet you're ironically saddled with the downside you were worried about when you didn't take the pitcher. I saw Ray in college. Bad strike zone discipline. He will chase pitches. Doesn't get a good beat on the ball chasing in center field. Arm is nothing special. Let's all hope he turns that plate discipline around and has the ability to cover center. Montgomery is a professional. He should know what to expect from a safe pick in Ray.
  10. Austin Tatious
    I agree with the notion of 2. It might be interesting to know how many someday end up on the list. That figure could be higher. Diaz's bat has some juice to it and he's soaring. I don't know if they will give him top 100 but I agree he's on his way. Another issue is who stays on. Lopez gone in the blink of an eye. I'd guess Phillips is coming off. Ray is ranked rather high on blind pedigree. Whether he stays up at 37 is questionable. I think that's based on the success of college bats from the year before in Benintendi, Swanson, Bregman and Ian Happ. Wouldn't it be great if Ray was on par with those guys? I saw him at Louisville. He's going to have to learn the strike zone and plate discipline. He's a nice kid and can run. We can always dream.
  11. Austin Tatious
    Well, I like your ask of Robles from the Nats. Man, do they need a young closer with upside like Jeffress. You get some teams so scared of their own shadow (think Indians) and they will get bypassed by guys like Theo or Dombrowski who are decisive and know how to make a deal work both ways. Whether the Nats pull the trigger is a question. Jeffress would really help the Nats. Is the cost of Robles worth it lest they get left behind? Their window isn't going to be open forever.
  12. Austin Tatious
    Nice job by Wikerson. Not surprisingly, it was on the road. Three hits and no walks, with 2 ER over 6 innings. We've got to get out of Colorado, stat.
  13. Austin Tatious
    What?? No thanks. If we are giving up all of those guys to Boston, they better also be throwing in Moncado in the deal. Benintendi and Kopech are big gets. Swihart can be serviceable as a catcher. Lottery tickets would hopefully have upside.
  14. Austin Tatious
    I will pass on the Tigers system, although I don't know the situation with their lottery tickets, just like none of us really knew about Missaki, Herrera, and F Peralta before they came back from Seattle. If we do trade with Detroit, let's not panic and we will have to do some serious studying.
  15. Austin Tatious
    If we are daydreaming, how about Will Smith, Lucroy, and either Nelson or Guerra to Boston Coming back Benintendi, Kopech, Swihart and a lottery ticket.
  16. Austin Tatious
    You could be right. But there are some teams that are really worried about their pens. And Jeffress is attractive for his upside and the controllability factor. Someone may blink. We will see.
  17. Austin Tatious
    I don't know if it's likely, but I'd love to do a deal with Dombrowski. He's decisive and not whiny. He understands value both ways, which is helpful in working out a good deal. Between Devers and Benintendi, I'd push hard on Benintendi. He would finally give us a top flight outfield prospect. They don't want to give him up, so it would have to be for a big move for them.
  18. Austin Tatious
    Bummer on Barnes. He's a guy that I was looking forward to seeing if we trade off relievers. The next gen is Barnes, Magnifico, Knebel and Barrios, who has also been hurt.
  19. Austin Tatious
    If it's one modest prospect, you keep Jeffress. That's not value and Milwaukee is better off keeping him. I would play chicken on that game all day long. We aren't here to serve big market clubs. We have our own franchise with a terrific fan base. This isn't an Axford or Kolb or Turnbow. The last thing Stearns needs to be doing is trading off young, controllable assets for less value.
  20. Austin Tatious
    John Axford couldn't hold a candle to JJ. Ax was a classic flash in the pan. You knew it in real time. No one thought we had some answer there for the long haul. JJ is a real talent and we need to be compensated like it. Or keep him.
  21. Austin Tatious
    If you take the Duquette tweet seriously and putting two and two together, it may be that it would be Jeffress for Rosario and one or both of Szapucki and Wotell. That would be the top prospect plus two mid-level guys. Just the two young guys for Jeffress would be a steal for the Mets. Sandy is coming across poorly, not just as a "get off my lawn" curmudgeon, but as a whiny little witch. It's his miserly way to talk to Stearns through the media. It isn't going to work.
  22. Austin Tatious
    Fun discussion. Porter's story is truly sad. He was taken in the 1st round, fourth overall, by the Brewers, so he was a talented kid. I remember him on some good KC and Cards ball clubs and it always bugged me that the Brewers didn't get the benefit of his talent. His death story is awful, cocaine. I loved Ted Simmons. Switch hitter. Batted cleanup behind CC and got it done. But, yes, his best years were in St Louis. As for Brewers, agreed that Lucroy is clearly the guy. I did enjoy BJ Surhoff as a player. He was 1st overall pick if I recall correctly. I remember him taking Clemens deep at Boston in a low scoring game in probably that early 90's run. Talented guy, wish he stayed in Milwaukee. Nilsson could flat out hit and deserves mention. Charlie Moore moved to RF and I suspect too much of his contribution was out there. He had a rocket arm having been a catcher, previously.
  23. Austin Tatious
    Smith hardly got rocked. The kid who scored on him got on with a bunt. Smith is a gamer who is coming off significant knee surgery so he's working back in. Of course his metrics are down as he gets back to stuff. It's nothing unusual for a guy coming off knee surgery, regardless of sport, to take some time on the field to get all the way back. As you all know, pitchers heavily rely on their legs to get their drive into the pitches. Smith has been nothing but really good for us for three years. He's still young and athletic. His stuff is really good. He's lefty. He's valuable.
  24. Austin Tatious
    He's never going to be a .350 OBP guy though he's already doubled his walk total from last year in nearly 100 fewer PA. While he's versatile, he's really a plus defender at 3B (had Counsell moved him there Sunday, they probably win that game), and if he can hit .280/.315/.400 and his power continues to develop, he might be a reasonable 2-3 year option at 3B. There was an AB he had last week that I though was significant. With two out and a runner at 2B, he fouled off ball 4, then singled in the runner on the next pitch which was right down the middle. That was a spot where taking a walk wasn't going to get the job done. That's a great mentality for a hitter down in the 7th spot in the order. He also wasted no time when Villar was on 3B Sunday lifting a pitch early in the count for a sac fly, no small feat with this team. Later on they walked him in that situation and that run never scored. Great post. I don't recall if it was the game you referenced, but he had a huge two out hit to drive in a run late and tie the game. It was really clutch and he was very determined. I loved the moxie. We ended up losing later.
  25. Austin Tatious
    I definitely want to keep some powder dry for 2017 so we can get another crop of trade acquisitions then. There may be some more guys available then or guys that develop that we may covet after another year of scouting and development. So, I'd like to have some ammo ready next year. Thorny and Guerra are a couple of guys who could build value and go next year. Hopefully Gennett is in that category too as he's proving himself against southpaws.
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