Jenkins5

Luke should be in everyone’s top 8 by end of season. He is just a stud. Not huge fan of Weimer Junior thought. Bat may impact at same level. Both big & can move. So I get that part. However, Weimer can’t touch Adams plate discipline & contact abilities. Weimer was a career 11% Bb & 25% k, Adams is a 19% to 21%. Weimer was career 18% swing strike & Adams 9%. Adams career OBP is .080 higher than Weimer. Fact he is year & half to 2 years younger than Weimer was before he played his first game in minors makes it even more impressive, he’s just getting started!

Agreed, Also with high school & these Juco/little D1 D2 teams, they more go out & pitch more naturally. NCAA D1 kids who spend 3-4 years on campus get more over-coached mechanically and strategically, along with the beat up work load they are given. Could make it harder to help make some of changes they’d like to unlock what they think that pitcher can do. They come more polished but not always in way you want them to. Top D1 programs are rigorous & they build their pitchers up for 3-4 years the way they need them to be & through their strategies that may not align with Brewers. Juco/D2, they have pitching coaches but not near the rigor. Those arms are just more raw that you can really build up way you want them pitching the ball.

It's toe wet season! Really there should be some movements coming throughout system (usually after trade deadline you see the shuffle.) Di Turri and Rodriquez really don't need to be in DSL anymore. O'Rae, Baez, in Arizona Adams, Guilarte, Lara in Carolina (Areinamo if room, since May 6th he has been a .332/.351/.426, .098 iso, wRC+122 player. Martinez and Gray Jr in Wisconsin. Martinez literally played almost 50 games with nearly 200 PA in AAA in 2019 when 20yo with no experience over rookie ball and posted a 113 wRC+ BB% of 11, hit a slash of .262/.356/.445. Then lost 20' for covid, and most of 22' with injury. Now he just turned 24, has been in system since 2017, move him on up already. Black, Quero (let Chourio stay for now and keep improving. No need to rush, Just now starting to fully click

O’Rae was replaced defensively to start 8th after being hit by pitch in bottom of 7th. Hopefully nothing serious

Honestly, if CWS aren’t expecting much with down year & power outage, I wouldn’t mind Anderson. Now, he has only played 2 career games NOT a SS (2B twice this season) which is where he’d have to play unless they for some reason tried him at 3b. He doesn’t walk but has always hit for high average & isn’t a high K guy. Power has dropped past two years. Sometimes guys like him just need change of scenery. He has had stress of contract & them deciding they prob weren’t going to extend. That can throw guys off game. Maybe, he comes over, gets new life, gets back to hitting way he is has done most of his career, Don’t think he is best fit but he’s a 2 -4 War guy every year with wRC+ usually over 110. Defense has usually been pretty good. If it is him or Turang down the stretch at 2B, I’m betting on Anderson’s bat producing more.

Also is his name he goes by Idalberto or Yunior? I’ve seen both online.

In his last 3 games Idalberto Santiesteban is 6 for 11 with 3 walks 0 Ks. Not sure what’s up with him. Must have a lingering injury or something. In beginning of season he was starting every day then over last month has big gaps all over his game log. Only 50 total PA & 22 in July. Be nice to see him in line up everyday again & finishing season strong. His report is a possible .300 hitter which he is doing but love to see him tap into some power. He’s a well built kid, has to be some power to tap into. Only one XBH & that was in first game of season.

Tod Johnson & staff may do better at turning over every stone looking for pitching. They really don’t touch D1 guys unless it’s more reliever & underslot. They hit all these Juco, small D1, D2 programs. 3 high school arms from areas that do get overlooked a bit with New England, Midwest (Indiana), and Washington. Just seems they out scout teams in these overlooked areas. They find guys who are athletic movers, have spin rates that are high, and natural feel for pitching even if arm slots or deliveries may be little funky to some. Identify those traits & then let pitching lab & coaches refine pitch strategy, teach them how to use & set up pitches for best outcome. Size doesn’t matter (unlike the Seid, 6’4+ 220+ strategy he was using for awhile) Birchard is my favorite college arm. Learned to trust that their first Juco guy will always be a stud. Myles Austin intrigues me like Woodward (the bonus he got was more than thought so they must really like the arm even with TJ). Getting Knath (17), Letson, Johnson, Chambers (17) in high school ranks brings some young arms we haven’t brought in much under Johnson (Lemon, Olsen, Jarvis, Low, Vire are only ones really coming to mind) to blend with young international arms we been signing. Love the draft & excited to see what they do this month! Only seen Wilken so far

Justin Chambers is a big strong lefty at 6’2 215. Was 3rd best prep in AZ & top lefty. FB/Slider combo with feel for change he mixes in. Tops out at around 94, sits 88-91. Also flashes a curve. Slider is said to be nasty & his out pitch. Doesn’t turn 18 for another couple of weeks. Tweet of him throwing don’t know how to put in tweet but training session Perfect last July tweet on stuff I like this pick & sign. Not as hyped as Letson & Johnson but could be really good get!

See this a lot but Arnold is not new GM, he was named GM in 2020 already. Stearns was President of Ops until this season so Arnold added that role to go with his GM position. Also GMs should never be really praised for a draft in baseball. Out of the major sports leagues, GMs in baseball are least involved with drafting. This is because they have least impact on the major league team. Rookies in NFL & NBA need to impact right away. Hockey is more in between the two. Baseball, these kids are 2-6 years away with 20 rounds (better than 40-50) to fill boards with. So they are not the ones picking the players, doing the negotiations, and leading the organization of boards. They are informed on the board and give input but they really let and trust their director of scouting to run the drafts. I think Tod Johnson is easily the least appreciated director of Scouting Brewers have had. People also want to give his credit away to Stearns and now Arnold which was never done to the guys before him. For Melvin, people where talking about his draft classes, it was all about Jack Z and Seid. They got the praise and the criticism. Same with Montgomery when he took over. This board was lit up with talk, love, and hate over Jack Z, Seid, and even Montgomery. Tod Johnson gets kind of forgotten about and not talked about even though he's finding arms like Jack Z did bats and has done pretty well with the bats as well. He has been really good and think he is up there with Jack Z who helped build the Brewers into contenders in 2000s. Lucky for him, he had high picks to work with which Tod has not. Seid and Montgomery looking back, missed a lot and very spotty on guys making up to MLB and producing.

I can def see both Yophery and Flippo Di Turi making that aggressive jump to A ball next year. Both have the plate discipline & contact skills to make jump. Rodriquez has more of the Chourio explosive bat. Di Turi more Lara spraying the ball & roping ball into gap. Yophery is currently outdoing what Chourio did at 17 in DSL. Not saying he is a lock to blow up like Chourio did but he’s at a great starting point & overall game is ahead of Chourio was at same age. Chourio 45g 189PA 13XBH (5hr) 25rbi 8sb 12.2bb% 14.8% k% .151 iso .298/.386/.447 slash 5.8 spd 131 wRC+ Rodriquez 35g 156pa 18XBH (6hr) 32rbi 11sb 21.2% bb% 15.4% k% .212 iso .299/.444/.556 slash 7.2 spd 143 wRC+ Pretty comparable but in favor of Yophery. Think bigger difference is how they hit at the level. Chourio was little higher LD% and more FB% (18 to 16 LD% & 39 to 34% FB) Rodriquez hits more LD & GB (50 to 42 GB%) With that Rodriquez with his plate discipline, also uses whole field more than Chourio. Jackson pulled 51% of balls with 21% center & 28% oppo. Yophery is less pull at 44% & 28% center & oppo. Think Yophery with Pratt, Bitonti, O’Rae, Baez, Di Turi, Servino would be exciting wave going into next year possibly all at Carolina

Awesome they were able to sign so many of the 11-20! Was expecting that! Exciting draft class that has infused a lot of young talent to mix in with the young International signings! Hope these kids get some good IPs & PAs in over last month.

Lottery tickets are what a farm system is all about. You never know what these guys will do or become. Doesn't matter if it is a top 10 pick, 11th round kid, a bonus baby international signing, a 10k international signing. You hit and miss up and down that list. However, the more lottery tickets you buy, the higher the likely it is to hit on a future all-star with 6 years of control. You can hate international signing of 16 year olds all you want, but it is very hypocritical to then cheer and love players like Uribe, Chourio, Quero, L. Lara, etc as they become top prospects, and start going on to have success at MLB level or bring back great value in trades. It is the system. Just like the draft, teams are given a bonus pool to budget in and use. Brewers went very long time with little investment in international signings. They are only really 5 years or so into their efforts. It would be horrible practice to not turn over those rocks and take those lottery tickets. Most of the top run farm system have very good DSL programs and are very active in the market. If Brewers were to go back to not investing much again, they would fall back behind. Brewers are only signing about 12-13 picks a year. since rule changes. Bunch of those are underslot low ceiling guys. Be pretty darn hard to develop strong small market farm system relying on just the draft to bring talent and avoiding international market.

I think it is best to ride this season out and stick out the current roster. Maybe if you find a value trade where you aren't giving up any big prospects, that'd be okay. Realistically we are in a position where we aren't true contenders with our awful offense (ranking in bottom 5-10 in basically every category in league) but we could still sneak into playoffs. Ride it out and in off season decide direction you want to take the team. I think we are closer to needing a rebuild then we are from being a true contender. As Stearns showed, a rebuild doesn't need to be long if you trade for right pieces. Stock up an elite system and can flip them again for elite younger talent when the team is ready to compete again.

Awesome! What else do you know about him and the the stuff he has? Pitch mix? Being drafted by Brewers you naturally assume he can spin the ball really well. He is a tough one to find much info on.

Brewers had two picks in top 10 rounds that got Callis & Mayo’s top value in round. http://atmlb.com/43s7NKJ Round 3 Eric Bitonti, SS, Aquinas HS (CA), Brewers No. 87; ranked No. 68Mayo: Six-foot-four, left-handed-hitting infielder, a ton of raw power, very athletic. I doubt he plays shortstop in the long run -- although he occasionally showed very good body control there -- I think he moves over to third base, but I like what the Brewers did with some of their high-end high schoolers. … For the third round, the upside and the ceiling was considerable. Round 6 Cooper Pratt, SS, Magnolia Heights HS (MS), Brewers No. 182; ranked No. 45 Callis: One of my favorite players of the Draft … he’s the right-handed version of who? Mayo: Gunnar Henderson. Callis: Yeah. He’s a private school kid from the South, similar build, really advanced bat. I’m calling it right now -- that’s the steal of the Draft. Cooper Pratt will be in the Futures Game in a couple of years.

Yoho has had 2 TJ surgeries already, I could see them keeping in the pen & letting all his stuff play up while saving arm a bit. Surgery is getting better every year where past TJs mean less in terms of future limitations as it did in past. Guess just depends how comfortable Brewers are in his arm & motion.

Brewers have done with some pretty low bonuses since the draft changes in 12'. Here is a look at the lowest they have given out. There are a couple in this draft I could see signing for under 100k to create extra savings. Do think it is pretty safe to assume Woodward and 7-10 picks come in to average about 100k each based on signings in the past. Really though, Wilken and Bovee are the two that you need to be able to sign under slot to really give you money to play with. I never expect a HS player to go under slot (some do) because they have the most leverage, but if they get Knott to, that'd be great JT Hintzen 10k D. Fry 10k D. Carroll 10k B. Fox 10k A. Bettinger 10k M. Meyer 10k G. McCall 10k J. Salas 15k T. York 25k B. Allemand 40k B. Jordan 47,5k D. MeMuth 50k W. Clarke 75k Year with most savings was 2014 with 4 players combined for 85k Couldn't find the bonuses for 12' and 13'

Think with all the changes to rookie ball that plays a big role plus big investment in international market. There is only 1 rookie ball team to feed all the DSL & draft kids two now. You can’t have those large signing classes anymore. No where to put them. Take gambles on quality, if can’t sign, go out & fill positions with udfa’s. Since there is only 20 rounds, can still find good kids available.

Important to remember to give credit to proper people when it comes to Draft. Arnold is in the room, knows who’s on board but Tod & his group should get the credit they are do when they have a draft that’s exciting. They are on road year round, scouting, building relationships, figuring out pool strategy & what players will take where, and pulling the trigger on his guys. I’m not say Arnold is or isn’t a good GM. Imo the product on field is solid at best. Also the guys drafting should be credited for drafting. Let’s give Tod the love he deserves

Well… Tod Johnson as GOAT drafter. Arnold has done very little for me to believe in him yet. Gimme Doug or Stearns (prior to 22’ which tech Arnold was GM) back

I do find it interesting on how many people have lost some faith in Chourio. I know he is simply holding his own vs. tearing up in AA but honestly, how many 19 year olds in the past couple of decades have at that age? The talent is there. Misiorowski very well could be in top 20 in season end rankings. He’s taking the Chourio type leap. The hype at future game from all national media scouts shows. They are 1a & 1b imo Right after them Quero, Black, Frelick are all pretty close in my eyes. All really depends on your personal preference. I go Sal, Quero, Black

Cooper liking this tweet of mine is good enough for me! Brewers sign all top 10 round guys. They are shooting 100% at it. They know the price & have deals somewhat lined up before they pick any player. I do love when some fans want high ceiling recognizable names up & down the top 10 rounds but it’s just not realistic. It is all strategy. You need your Woodward under slot type picks to sign your Pratt’s. Brewers have infused some very intriguing players into the mix & went outside normal box a little bit from way they had previous years under Johnson. Excited to see the kids hit the field & see what he have!

Jeison Peña is the surprise for me. At 19 got up to Wisconsin for few innings. Thought he might start there. My guess though is stretch him out more & get his command where it needs to. Last year really only worked 1-3 innings a game. Arguably one of the biggest pitchers to follow this summer. Apparently a ton of arm talent if he can harness the stuff. Tough kid to hit, with 30% K rate & opponents hitting less then .200 verse

Contact is clearly a major issue. He can't continue to K at his current rate. He can't be out here wiffing 40+% With that said, man when he is making contact, it is at an elite level. I mean 90+ percentile in all of baseball. Hard to give up on that powerful of a swing entering prime 26. He needs to get into the lab hard and make adjustments. I don't have good enough minor league data to back it us but between 2018 to 2019, the jump to AAA there was a switch from the more professional hitter with solid power who didn't k more than 20% to a much more power first type hitter with reduced contact. I'm just confused he could go from such a contact professional hitter and turn into not making contact 40% of swings. The positives in 22' Without seeing the the data on wiffs or k's you'd think this guy was an elite bat. 92 percentile for barrel% at 18.5% 89 percentile for Average EV 93.1 96 percentile for hard hit% at 88 percentile for xISO He is hitting sweet spot at a 44.6% and a crazy 1.5% weak contact%. He still has a wRC+ of 135. A 1 WAR in 150 PA's. .840 OPS. 10.5 bb% which is highest of career. .244 ISO. The Bad. 43% K% is awful. His zone contact and chase contacts are rough. His inability to tough lefties is serious issue currently. Breaking balls in particular. He is hitting .067 on breaking balls. He is whiffing at 54.8% rate. Fastballs a little better at .212 average and "only 41.2% whiff. Those compare to the .333 average and 38.5 whiff% on fastballs verse lefties and .259 average and 43.9% whiff% on breaking balls. With no real defensive home, that also hurts but even with the K's, the bat is producing. Question is how much can you deal with the Ks for what the bat does when it hits ball. I would hit him only verse righties. Zero reason he should see a lefty the rest of the season. Brewers need what his bat can down the stretch. It is most dangerous bat they have. He needs to make adjusts though with the contact. In July/August he has 34 PA's and only 11 Ks compared to the 43 PA's he had in June where he K'd 24 times. Still high but an improvement at least