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filthyfrog

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Everything posted by filthyfrog

  1. filthyfrog
    While forfeiting that portion of your bonus pool when a player doesn't sign might seem unfair at first glance, it prevents the scenario of a team picking someone with no intention of signing him, which would be downright unethical.
  2. filthyfrog
    I agree with umphrey. I would say Magnifico has plus plus velocity, but if he can't command the pitch and/or it's very hittable, then I wouldn't say he has a plus plus fastball. But I'm no scout, so it doesn't really matter what I'd say.
  3. filthyfrog
    Wow, those compensation picks look good now. Imagine if D'vo Jr. was our second pick. Doesn't look quite so bad when you've already taken some potential impact bats and have enough wiggle room to take a chance on an athlete who doesn't appear to be a very good baseball player.
  4. filthyfrog
    To all the people saying MLB won't announce anything if the suspension is overturned, we don't know that. At this point, with the public nature of the case, that policy is probably out the window. If I were the MLB, I'd want to spin this in my favor no matter what the ruling. If Braun is suspended, they get to claim that they don't play favorites and the program is working. If Braun is exonerated, they get to say the appeals process works. Saying nothing at all doesn't help them.
  5. filthyfrog
    Arcia was 16 last year. I think there's a nearly zero chance that he plays in Wisconsin as a 17 year-old. I wouldn't be surprised if they have him repeat in the Dominican rather than even bring him to the States this year. A lot of that depends on how mature a youngster is and if they feel he can make the cultural transition, rather than how well he plays. Most of us have little idea about that stuff. So I'd say just playing in Arizona with a chance at a promotion to Helena would count as an aggressive promotion.
  6. filthyfrog
    I don't believe it's only $8M. That's even lower than the lowest predictions, so why would KRod settle for that without a fight? I bet there are some significant and reachable incentives.
  7. filthyfrog
    The thing about Scooter is that he appears to be a one-tool player. Yes, the hit tool is the most important one, but he appears to be below average in every other phase of the game. And it's not like his hit tool is dominant. He's managed to hit in the low .300s, but it's not like he's hitting .350 (outside the small sample in the hitter's paradise of the AFL). Honestly, I don't get all the love. I like Scooter, but I need to see some improvements before I'm convinced he can ever be an every day Major League player, much less an impact player.
  8. filthyfrog
    Mass Haas, you provided a unique service that many of us instantly knew we couldn't do without. Remembering life before link reports is like remembering life before cell phones. How did we even make it through the day? Many thanks for your tireless work. It was a truly impressive run.
  9. filthyfrog
    I wouldn't be surprised if it was his hypercritical comments about Gamel and Gindl. I thought it was awfully unprofessional to criticize his players' characters in the media the way he did.
  10. filthyfrog
    Doesn't Saito have a clause in his contract saying he can't be offered arbitration? He had it in Atlanta and I thought I remembered hearing about it when he signed with Milwaukee, although I don't feel like actually researching it. I'll be very surprised if we don't offer arbitration to Rodriguez. He's made it clear he wants to be a closer, so the chances of him accepting are pretty low and, as mentioned, it wouldn't necessarily be a bad thing if he did accept. So yeah, depending on where Fielder and K-Rod sign, we could have six picks by the middle of the second round.
  11. filthyfrog
    I also vote for Fiers. Peralta is the better prospect, but Fiers had better production at both levels. Either would be a deserving pick, though, so I wouldn't be shocked if the organization goes with the old Co-Pitcher of the Year award.
  12. filthyfrog
    I also don't like the short stride, which makes it look like his delivery is all arm. But there is some merit to the delivery. The longer your stride, the lower your release point. The lower your release point, the less downward movement you have. There are pitchers out there who stride short, stay tall, and let the ball sink as it gets to the plate. Kameron Loe and Shaun Marcum are obvious examples. When you're 6' 6" like Jungmann, being tall and staying tall isn't necessarily a bad thing. The delivery concerns are valid, but after the Mark Rogers disaster, I kind of think we should let Taylor be Taylor and hope that what's made him so successful up to this point continues to work.
  13. filthyfrog
    I also don't like the short stride, which makes it look like his delivery is all arm. But there is some merit to the delivery. The longer your stride, the lower your release point. The lower your release point, the less downward movement you have. There are pitchers out there who stride short, stay tall, and let the ball sink as it gets to the plate. Kameron Loe and Shaun Marcum are obvious examples. When you're 6' 6" like Jungmann, being tall and staying tall isn't necessarily a bad thing. The delivery concerns are valid, but after the Mark Rogers disaster, I kind of think we should let Taylor be Taylor and hope that what's made him so successful up to this point continues to work.
  14. filthyfrog
    Is it just a coincidence that when I read "BP" in regard to Arnett, I first thought of batting practice? Sad to say that might be his most useful role.
  15. filthyfrog
    Breaking him in as a long reliever would not count as pinning our hopes on him, but handing him a rotation spot without (in my opinion) him really earning it would be. I'm not saying it would make or break the season, but each of your five starters plays a vital role over the course of the season. I don't think Peralta's done enough yet to justify that role. Yes, scouts like him and I do too. But the fact remains that he has never been a dominant pitcher for an extended period of time. DHonks said it best when he said he's been living on potential. He has lots of it and has really shown it over his last six or eight starts (I can't find a game log for his AA stats). But it's too early to tell if that's a hot streak or a true improvement. I'm not saying he would be an utter failure if we handed him a rotation spot next Spring. I am saying that there's no need to rush him since we have a quality rotation under contract, it would do him good to continue to refine his pitches before hitting the big time, and it would do the team good to make sure he really is ready, to have him as insurance for injuries, and to delay his arbitration clock.
  16. filthyfrog
    Wow, I think people are massively overrating Peralta's hot streak right now. I don't want this to come across the wrong way because I'm a big fan of Wily and I'm thrilled that he's been so good lately, but let's not let a hot month or two overshadow his career numbers. This is a guy who has never put up an ERA under 3 at any level, unless you're counting his whopping total of three starts at AAA so far. Over his career (since his Tommy John surgery) he's been consistently good, but never dominant. I hope he's "figured it out" or "turned the corner" or whatever, but I'm not willing to hand him a rotation spot next year based on that hope. Remember how good Scarpetta looked in the second half last year? Remember Mark Rogers' late season run? Heck, remember Dan Merklinger's hot stretch? Pitchers can look unhittable for stretches and then crash back to Earth awfully quickly. We have a quality rotation already intact for next year. I'd like to see Peralta prove himself over a longer period before pinning my hopes on him.
  17. filthyfrog
    Yeah, there's no rush with Peralta. He's only made a handful of starts in AAA, he's still young, and I'd like to see him prove his success over a longer period of time. The Brewers are past the point of learning on the job due to shortages at the Major League level. Wily should stay in AAA until at least next June. (I'm not saying he shouldn't be a September call up; I'm just saying he should start next year in AAA since we already have a full rotation.)
  18. filthyfrog
    I think most people here are judging Jungmann based on his CWS appearances after the Brewers drafted him. That three game stretch just happened to be the worst three game stretch of his career, as far as I know, so I think the perceptions are a bit biased. If people here had watched any of his myriad dominant performances instead of the CWS games, they'd probably have a different opinion.
  19. filthyfrog
    I think most people here are judging Jungmann based on his CWS appearances after the Brewers drafted him. That three game stretch just happened to be the worst three game stretch of his career, as far as I know, so I think the perceptions are a bit biased. If people here had watched any of his myriad dominant performances instead of the CWS games, they'd probably have a different opinion.
  20. filthyfrog
    That was awesome. Made my day.
  21. filthyfrog
    Ok, you are crazy. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif I'm having trouble understanding how some people here can be excited by this list of prospects. Sure, there's a lot to like, but there's very little to love. I like Thornburg and Peralta, but I'd like them a lot more if they were our 7th and 8th best prospects. Most of these lists have someone who might top out as an average Major League regular in the number 3 spot. Most lists have multiple fourth outfielders in the top 10. Seriously, take a look at any random top 10 list and ask yourself how many All Star appearances the entire list will combine for. Probably zero. Lots of guys have the potential to be a star one day, but none of them except for maybe Thornburg, who has yet to prove anything past A ball and has his doubters in the scouting world, are on that sort of track right now. We don't have a single blue chip, sure thing prospect for the first time in about 8 years. I don't mean to sound overly negative. We've promoted and traded a lot of talent in the last couple years, so it's not like we're not developing anything. It's just that I don't think it's realistic to look at this farm system right now and think it compares favorably with the rest of the league.
  22. filthyfrog
    I'm not Colby, but I don't think this year's draft will have any impact on whether the Brewers go college or high school early in next year's draft. Focusing on pitchers this year could potentially cause them to look harder for bats next year, but I don't think they'll stray from their BPA philosophy.
  23. filthyfrog
    I think it's a big mistake to predict (or even hope for) a Cain-like season for Schafer. They're awfully similar in that they both lost an entire season after breaking through in Brevard County, but what Lorenzo did last year was pretty much amazing. There was about a 5% chance that he would not only succeed in AA, but also in AAA, and also in the Major Leagues. Even though he did it, I'd give Schafer about those same 5% odds of reaching Milwaukee as anything more than a September callup. Since Schafer has yet to pass even the AA test, we should all be thrilled if he has success in AAA. That would be a huge step forward. Anyone who expects him to take over the MLB job this year is setting themselves up for failure.
  24. filthyfrog
    I think this makes the Cubs a lot better. Lots of people said that Marcum's ERA should drop a half run or so moving from the AL East to the NL Central. I'm not sure I buy it, but if it's true for Marcum, it's also true for Garza, who has been very consistently good throughout his career. And while it's true that the Cubs have a lot of aging stars, I think people forget how good guys like Zambrano, Ramirez, and Soriano can be when they're healthy. Also, while the Cubs don't have anyone as good as Greinke, Fielder, or Braun, they also don't have any glaring holes, except maybe at 2B. If they stay healthy, which is a big if, I don't see any reason they can't compete with the Brewers, Reds, and Cardinals this year. Another consequence of this deal is that making the Central a four team race makes it a lot tougher for the wild card to come from our division. If the Big 4 all beat each other up, it might be the division or nothing.
  25. filthyfrog
    ...and better. Seriously? I might understand your position if these were three-month or even one-year rentals, but how can you say that getting better for the next two years is a bad thing? 2013 is a long way off. A lot can change by then and a lot of talent can be acquired by then. I understand this argument, but I'd say we weren't in a competitive window; we were in a mediocre-to-slightly-above-average window without bringing in Greinke and Marcum. If we had waited for Rogers, Jeffress, and Odorizzi to come around, Fielder and Weeks would have been gone and we'd be stuck in a cycle of perpetually treading water. I'd rather be really good for a couple years and then rebuild than be mediocre for a bunch of years. I want a healthy franchise, too, but I don't think this organization was in position to go on a Braves-like run of dominance. I'd rather win a lot now than win a little later. I'm not going to say we didn't devastate our farm system last month - we did. But the reward was putting together an MLB team that can honestly contend for the next two years. The team definitely needs to restock the system, but let's enjoy the big league club for now.
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