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filthyfrog

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Everything posted by filthyfrog

  1. filthyfrog
    There's no question this is a terrible farm system right now. We have some decent depth and potentially useful players, but as I see it, Rogers is really the only potential All Star. But as others have hinted at, this is a pretty good time to have a terrible farm system. Most of the big league team is locked up for at least two years. If we can re-sign Weeks and if Gamel can fill in for Prince after 2011, we'll just have a couple holes to fill from the outside. It'll be 3 to 5 years before we really need a new wave of prospects to arrive.
  2. filthyfrog
    Being 25 could mean Rogers is close to his ceiling, but it could also mean he's out of the "injury nexus." I don't really believe that - I'm just making a point.
  3. filthyfrog
    Having two picks so close together offers the luxury of using one to fill a need and one to find the best player available. As long as it's not a huge stretch, I have no problem with straying from the BPA strategy for one pick.
  4. filthyfrog
    I, too, was surprised to see that someone thinks everyone is down on Rogers. After seeing him in September, I'm certainly much more excited about that blistering fastball he has, even if his offspeed pitches need a lot of work. I think he's one of those guys who could be successful with just one pitch, dominant with two.
  5. filthyfrog
    Axford and Loe were so good last year that you have to expect some regression - not that they'll be bad; just less dominant. So the Brewers will need Hawkins to get a lot of big outs. If he really is healthy, that shouldn't be a problem.
  6. filthyfrog
    With the interest in Counsell, Washburn, and Hinske, I think it's obvious we're trying to establish a competitive advantage in Wisconsin natives. I hear we're also considering bringing Wickman out of retirement. Wisconsin is the new Moneyball. *Yes, I know Counsell was born in Indiana. But he's still a Wisconsin native...
  7. filthyfrog
    I can't see how the Braves would have any interest in Gomez after releasing Melky Cabrera. Cabrera and Gomez are fairly similar except that Cabrera has actually had success. Cabrera would have been slightly more expensive, but not by a ton.
  8. filthyfrog
    As the pitching waxes, the offense wanes. Others have already pointed out that Prince and Weeks could both be gone by 2012 and Hart and McGehee are perennial question marks. There really aren't many impact bats to fill the holes we'll be seeing in the near future. I don't buy the argument that the team will be better served by waiting for the current prospects to pan out because the current Major Leaguers will be moving on. You have to try to improve the club any way you can, all the time. The other thing I don't get is why so many people have already given up on competing in 2011. We scored the 4th most runs in the league in 2010 and can probably do something similar next year. With a league-average pitching staff, we'd be in contention. Unfortunately, the staff is far from league average at this point, but a couple key moves and a career year or two could do it. I agree with the sentiment of not mortgaging the future for a short term gain, but I don't agree with the idea that we shouldn't try to improve the club. If the deal makes sense, do it. Greinke would be here for a minimum of two years, so he's more than a rental. I'd personally hate to see Odorizzi or Rogers go, but I'd be fine with dealing any two or even three other prospects for someone like Greinke.
  9. filthyfrog
    I know he's a special case, but I don't think you can include Prince in that statement, since he weighed 300 lbs in high school and had to hire a personal nutritionist to slim down. He very nearly did eat himself out of baseball.
  10. filthyfrog
    I agree that the Brewers need to take the top available players, but we have to be realistic. Drafting a high-profile high schooler with an unprotected pick is a big risk. I think it's safe to assume the 15th pick will be someone they're very confident they can sign. If you look at recent unprotected picks, I think most of them have been "safe" picks.
  11. filthyfrog
    The Link Report is such an integral part of my morning routine that I suffer from existential angst this time every year. What's next, you're going to take away my coffee? Can't the Arizona Fall League just start tomorrow? Seriously, you guys do an awesome job. Thanks.
  12. filthyfrog
    I hate it when people say we shouldn't waste service time on a youngster when we're not going to compete next year anyway. It's way too early to say we can't compete. The offense should be solid with or without Prince, the bullpen should be ok, and we have no idea yet if the rotation will be improved. All it takes is some consistent starting pitching. I'm sure there were people a year ago (and even five months ago) saying the Reds shouldn't waste service time on Mike Leake in a year they wouldn't contend. Now that doesn't mean I think Rogers should open the season in the rotation. I don't think he's earned it. He needs to go to AAA, refine his command, and learn how to pitch deeper into games. If someone is going to get the call out of Spring Training, I think Rivas is more polished and ready for the bump. So I say Rogers to AAA, but only because he's not ready; not because the team can't contend.
  13. filthyfrog
    Max effort deliveries are always the hardest to repeat consistently and maintain deep into games, but there's no question he should get a chance to be a starter. I expect him to get the piggyback treatment in Appleton next year, which will give us a chance to see him in both roles. It'll be interesting to see the starter vs. reliever splits.
  14. filthyfrog
    Age isn't the only important factor, either. The top college guys often go straight to A ball or only spend a few weeks in rookie ball, so you're taking the top 21 and 22 year olds out of the equation. Also, I think most of the false positives we've seen go through Helena have been hitters. I think it's easier for a polished college hitter to clean up on the second tier of college pitching coming off a full season of innings in college. Pitchers who dominate there are worth a little more excitement, I think.
  15. filthyfrog
    I don't really have a problem with it, but why is MLB changing the rules for Loux? Why is he granted free agency when no one else is? It seems unfair to all the pitchers recently who have had to play independent ball and reenter the draft the following year.
  16. filthyfrog
    Raise your hand if you thought Scooter Gennett would have more doubles and homers than Brett Lawrie at this point in the season. Yeah, me neither.
  17. filthyfrog
    When Corey Hart signed his extension, I thought it became abundantly obvious that Mat Gamel just became Prince Fielder's future replacement. Let's face it, the Brewers will try to trade Fielder this offseason and if they fail, they'll try again before the deadline, and if they fail again, they'll lose him to free agency. Gamel's second half resurgence and Hart's extension make it pretty obvious what the plan is. I don't know who will play where defensively, but McGehee, Hart, and Gamel will be on the diamond at the same time very soon. So I don't think there's much point debating Gamel vs. McGehee.
  18. filthyfrog
    Yeah, if you're going to look at one stat to predict a minor league pitcher, it's K-rate, so to say Lasker is right up there with Odorizzi despite very different K-rates is misleading.
  19. filthyfrog
    I suppose, but why would he? Assuming he stays healthy, that is...
  20. filthyfrog
    Gamel has to be just about a lock for the AFL. Who knows, maybe he'll mix in a little 1B and RF while he's there. I doubt they'd send Scarpetta, since he'll have thrown plenty of innings already.
  21. filthyfrog
    Wow, I took it for granted that Scarpetta would get promoted before Peralta considering that their numbers have been so similar for the last year and a half and that Cody is about 9 months older and on the 40-man roster. While Scarpetta's 10.2 K/9 this year is massively better than Peralta's 6.4, Peralta has shown better control and has gotten twice as many ground balls. Maybe they feel that puts him in a better position to succeed in AA right now.
  22. filthyfrog
    I'm definitely concerned about Gamel. Coming into the year I thought he'd shake off the rust from last year and prove the doubters wrong. But this is now the third straight year he's dealt with both injury and inconsistency. He has trouble staying healthy and when he slumps, he slumps hard. It would have been really nice to see him go on a first half tear so that the Brewers could trade Fielder or Hart and know that Gamel could be the replacement. At this point, though, it looks like Mat will be in AAA for a while.
  23. filthyfrog
    When we drafted Arnett and we heard all about his connection with Tom Crean and his experience on the Indiana basketball practice squad, I started to wonder if all that basketball conditioning was what changed him from a mediocre pitcher into a 1st rounder. And then I wondered what would happen when he was removed from basketball conditioning. It's purely speculation, but I think he just might not be in the same shape he was last spring. Playing basketball and working out with the team all winter puts you in a different physical condition than baseball workouts do. Maybe he just needs to play a different sort of Winter Ball after this season.
  24. filthyfrog
    To answer Mass's question, I personally would blame Jeffress and not the Brewers if he got banned for life because he couldn't go another three months without smoking up. Putting him on the 40-man roster was in the team's best interest, but that doesn't make it right. And TheCrew07 summed up my thoughts pretty well. I like Jeffress as a prospect and I'm rooting for him as a person. I just think it would be in his best interests to force him to face his problems instead of exempting him from them. Also, just to clarify my position, I really don't care if an athlete smokes pot and I don't think they should even be testing for it. But they are testing for it. If you don't agree with the rules, you should challenge them, not sidestep them through loopholes.
  25. filthyfrog
    Right, everyone understands they added him to protect their investment. The reason I say it's borderline unethical is because Jeffress clearly did not earn a 40-man roster spot. In fact, he's being rewarded for his drug history. There's no way he'd be on the 40-man right now if he hadn't been suspended twice already. Melvin is playing by the rules, and that's fine, but he's exploiting a loophole to exempt a player from league rules. I guess the blame lies more with the system than with Melvin, but the fact of the matter is that the organization has been punished for Jeffress's actions and Jeffress has been rewarded. Like I said before, this makes it very clear to everyone in baseball that lifetime bans are simply there for show and will never be enforced - as long as the player in question has talent.
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