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tmwiese55

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Everything posted by tmwiese55

  1. tmwiese55
    Yea Hudson has been lights out. Milner has been solid for years now and he'd just gone 1-2-3 the inning before. The main discussion would come around taking Tobias out after 6 considering our BP usage this year. I didn't go back and look at Hudson/Milners game logs but I'm guessing they had them pegged as guys that could use an inning today to not be laid off toooo long. Still, why not one more out of Myers first.
  2. tmwiese55
    Could be nice break for the BP the last week or so too. Off last Thurs, Blowout last Fri with long start. Blowout Sun. 7 inning start Mon. Possible long start today. Day off tomorrow. They could use it
  3. tmwiese55
    yup. So maybe the 'temper back' could be to make the bases back to the old ways and maybe the throw limit alone would've been enough help. But obviously I'm nitpicking I could say the same on the pitch clock stuff. Love it and its a huge positive. But after how drastic a difference it made I thought maybe adding a second back on could've been an adjustment, instead they reduced it even more this year
  4. tmwiese55
    Yea with how easy it is to steal 2nd now bunting a guy over to 2nd should never be happening. On a sidenote, its surprising adding just a bit to each base could make this drastic of an increase in SBs easiness. Makes one think teams were probably being a bit too cautious prior to the rule change, like they listened to moneyball tooo much. Also could maybe temper back the new rules a little bit as its become a bit too easy imo. But hey, with how ridiculous pitching is these days any help to O is fine by me, so its not like I'm clamoring for it either.
  5. tmwiese55
    Yes that's fair, missing their best hitter and pitcher they're not what they were. And of course they're not performing right now while dealing with other injuries too. But their roster is still top notch, would be very surprising if they don't get humming by end of year. And with all those issues, we're still only a few games ahead of them. We have all our injuries too but they have a lot of positive regression to the mean coming from guys. We're currently seeing the negative regression on guys like Contreras/Yeli.
  6. tmwiese55
    Don't see much that works at the deadline. Offseason though McMahon could make sense. Adames gone, one of Turang/Ortiz goes to short and he takes the freed up spot. 29 year old with with like 3/44ish left on his deal after this year. He has better numbers road than home this year, but career there is the expected dip. Not the splashiest of moves but he's a solid player and that's not a crazy contract for MKE to handle. Would probably be able to bank on him much better than the Winker/Mccutcheon/Bradley guys
  7. tmwiese55
    The quirk is that a team trading for him wouldn't want to give back MLB level starting pitching since they're also a playoff team. So essentially you'd be working out a 3 way trade. Gets pretty complicated at that point. You should be able to get a mediocre Tyler Anderson level guy without giving up any significant prospects/Adames. I'd assume for a 1/3 year rental the return wouldn't be good enough for us to trade him, but they have to do their due diligence and listen. The idea of starting Dunn/Andruw for the stretch is not good at all, so you're possibly looking to trade for someone to fill that spot and it becomes a wash. Basically robbing peter to pay paul thing
  8. tmwiese55
    He's always been a good player when healthy. I wouldn't put too much stock in 30 PAs right off the DL in a terrible environment. He does K too much but that's baseball these days.
  9. tmwiese55
    A CWS guy you could probably get for much cheaper is Kopech. Obviously that is for good reason as he's been rough the last couple years, but his profile is the exactly type of thing MKE has gotten ahold of the last 5ish years and been able to mold into a good pitcher much better than their previous teams did. Has started in the past so could start stretching him back out or focus on tweaking him into another reliever with 100 mph and big breaking pitch Just saying, it wouldn't surprise me at all that if this guy was on the Brewers he'd be killing it rather than floundering. Seems he has one more year of Arby left, only being paid 3 mil this year and is struggling so cost to acquire should be minimal.
  10. tmwiese55
    League average replacement level RH OF who should cost very little. Same type of SP, who should cost very little. Just league avg/replacement level types. And if they get lucky with Perkins keeping this up and Mitchell/Chourio hitting better over the next 6 weeks might not need the OF. With the gap between them and LAD/Phi/ATL I wouldn't be giving up any legit prospect capital unless its for several years of control. Which I guess would apply to Robert and those CWS pitchers too. Otherwise, generally stay the course with Canha/Santana level pick ups for OF and SP. And I suppose a Rosario type I saw above can't hurt for backup IF and to cover if someone gets hurt, again as long as it doesn't cost legit prospects
  11. tmwiese55
    Of course we all see the injury issue. But have to remember its also the only reason he's available and why his contract isn't outlandish. For a small market team, this is a risk you have to consider. Lots of players who are injury prone have it go away and stay healthy, and lots stay being injury prone. A team like MKE can't buy players at market cost without flaws but one like this they can and then cross your fingers you can get lucky. Financially, yes there will likely be one overlap year with Hoskins (I assume as of now that he'll pick up his option and be back) next year but after that you're essentially just moving Hoskins money over to him. Before this year we've spending the 8-10 mil on the Mccutcheon/Winker veteran types, well this guy is only like 8 mil more than that. So it really comes down to prospect costs imo. And yea if he still commands a ridiculous haul then pass on him and carry on as is. But, with the issues mentioned and that in general nobody gives up top top shelf prospects anymore my guess is it wouldn't be absurd. Especially since we'd almost assuredly be giving up a ML ready OF Frelick/Mitchell type so that's a solid starting block. I guess I'd also note I'm much more skeptical on our young OFs than most and don't see the harm in a cash out while you can type strategy on them. ETA: I guess if you do get lucky and he can stay healthier keep in mind you'll be able to trade him for a larger package before his FA season as well. Could apply the 'cash out' idea to him as well if you can get a healthy 2025 or 26 out of him
  12. tmwiese55
    Nothing changed for me. I think I've mentioned a few times I wouldn't be trading anything significant at the deadline due to the gap between us and Phi/ATL/LAD. I thought they're a tier below those teams and this kind of reinforced it. To the consistent O talk. Yes things have improved this year but I'd say the biggest thing of the last few years that frustrates us or could be improved is having all 9 guys be at least league avg/ok guys rather than having 2-3 guys each day you feel are easy outs. This was helped last year by guys like Canha and Santana cleaning up two spots to be competent. Right now you have at least RF and any days there's subs in then at least 2 spots. Perkins has at least bounced back from that slump but you still have a bit of uneasiness with him too. So its better than in past years (and likely why the numbers are better this year) that had 3B and issues at 2b, OF, and 1B/DH. But improve by adding at least one competent OF goes a long way
  13. tmwiese55
    Well it sure would've been nice if they didn't get these comebacks from the White Sox. Hard to believe CWS can be that bad. But yea to the CC stuff, I know I joked about how he won't make it all 5 years, which I don't think he will. I still think he's a good manager and he was good for us. Its just the cubs, Chicago media/fans, their situation, etc where I think he's put himself in a tough spot with high expectations and that teams is very unlikely to live up to them. Fast forward 3 years of being mediocre like their roster should be (barring ridiculous FA moves) and I think he'll get pushed out
  14. tmwiese55
    Feels so much like the playoffs th last few years. Get up against good pitching and the O just collapses. And somehow how MASH unit of a pitching staff keeps getting results even against a top lineup
  15. tmwiese55
    Well I'm convinced Ashby is legit
  16. tmwiese55
    At least he didn't go down looking
  17. tmwiese55
    I think he's gonna love 2027-2028 when he's chilling with his family getting paid 8 mil to do nothing.
  18. tmwiese55
    One thing I noticed with our games vs them and others that have been on TV lately is the talk about Swanson. Things like 'get him outta here before he gets hot', "this won't last long" and just in general this talk like he's some kind of great hitter. Of course, what he's doing this year is worse than expected and some bounce back should come. But the guys essentially been a mediocre hitter his whole career, but they talk about like this is prime Braun all of a sudden OPSing .650. He's a .750ish type guy but due to his name and them giving a terrible contract its talked about like he's some masher.
  19. tmwiese55
    Yea there wasn't an easy pull up. And sure ok, but still doesn't mean he hasn't been generally fine/good and our standards are high and have to remember people can't be perfect. Most teams would love for his results from a mid innings guy being paid league min. Including last night, 5/10 of his last games he's given up 0 hits or BBs. And that was only his 2nd BS of the year. Personally, for a bullpen full of guys who suck they sure get good results.
  20. tmwiese55
    Obviously can't remember every game as they run together and there isn't a quick way to game log inherited runners. But on frangraphs, he's only given up a hit in like 3 of his last 10 games before tonight. His season LOB% is 77.5%. I don't really know a comp % on that stat so I grabbed the Baltimore setup man Cano who is very good and should probably be their closer, he's in the low 70%s. Then grabbed former Brewer great Will Smith who's had like a 12 year career as a solid middle/setup guy and won multiple WS and his career % is 73%. I know we have grown accustomed to ridiculous pitching standards the last few years, but these guys just can't be perfect.
  21. tmwiese55
    Guys, Elvis has a sub 3 era and that's the 2nd run he's given up in his last 10 outings. He's given up like 4 runs since mid April.
  22. tmwiese55
    Yea survive a couple weeks until some guys are back, maybe trade for a blah innings eater type. But its crazy to have been hit like this and somehow still be in 1st by this much
  23. tmwiese55
    yea that's why attacking him over it is overboard. He said exactly that with tons of caveats and did not pass it off good as again. He passed it off as there might be a possible sliver of hope for him not sucking.
  24. tmwiese55
    I mean yea, that's exactly what he said he was doing. He basically just said "hey the guy finally had two good starts after he's sucked for a long time, hopefully we get lucky here and get something out of him". That's it, nothing too crazy warranting all this
  25. tmwiese55
    I haven't done any digging on what SP might be available. But I'd guess we'd just be grabbing a mid level guy who hopefully costs very little to acquire. I'd question if higher level guys needing high prospects is really even out there, but even so with the gap from LA/Phi/ATL to us I don't think they should be forking over anyone significant. Get a league avg ok guy to hopefully eat some innings along with our guys coming off IL, hope you can get lucky in the playoffs.
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