tmwiese55
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Everything posted by tmwiese55
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Was reading this thread and this guy popped in my head but couldn't think of the name. Was literally about to google to figure it out then this post came up. They all talked about him like a future manager but post playing career he hasn't been involved at all, according to Wiki. Coaching kids and doing some TV/Analyst stuff.
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Its been said how along with this Cubs are going to be so active in FA this year to jumpstart and move them past middling team. Well I just ran through the FA list and let's just say I'm unimpressed and I actually hope they do try to blow their load on this class. After Ohtani (and even he is less since he can't pitch this year) there's a whole lot 'sure they're good/fine but no way I want to give them a huge 6-7 year deal' types. Several of which are inconsistent players already, and that's before they get paid and start aging. Oddly for Brewers fan one of the safest bets out there is Hader, and obviously there is a connection there. Sure he'll be overpaid but I mean safe in that you know what you're getting and he's almost for sure gonna be good. I'd also expect them to go hard for the Japanese pitcher. After him, the MLB FA starters of course are no guarantees and not guys I'd want to be handing big deals to. OF course they'd help the team especially from just good depth but to use this boards favorite term they're not 'needle movers'.
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Are you familiar with what Cubs management did with a ROY and MVP winner over a small amount of money? And they're one of the richest teams in the league. Market rate talk also make no sense. By one's definition of market rate it is impossible to have someone who overpays, which of course is incorrect. If I have a 1998 Dodge Neon with 225K miles and I talk someone into paying me 15K for it that does not make that the market rate. That person overpaid.
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Yet has finished better than them in 5 straight non 2020 covid seasons. don't get me wrong, I get the overall point and I'm sure being on a team constantly dealing with fighting budget is a problem. But statements like this are just too far. Everything MKE management has done the last chunk of years has been better and smarter than the Cubs. Also, the Cubs just let all their star players walk instead of paying them. IMO they were correct in doing so and long term those were the smart moves. But contrary to your statement the owners pocketed all the profits rather than pay their players.
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Just looked, no Cubs manager has made it more than 4 years since Riggleman made it 5 in the late 90s. Before that it was Durocher in the late 60s
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And really its an indictment on how baseball is set up than it is on the owners imo. After all these years how have they not moved to a system close to the NFL/NBA is nuts to me.
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Think post in other thread didn't work. But pretty much this. It wasn't about him hopping, its getting fired. IMO, barring big FA signings we can't foresee right now the Cubs aren't set up to be more than a middling team the next few years. If they win like 79, 83, 78 games the next three years he's on the hotseat if not fired. The Cubs current manager was a hometown-ish World Series hero for them and they just blindsided him after a public endorsement with a stab in the back after a couple middling seasons (this year even being an overachievement). It's gonna be cutthroat for him there and he doesn't have the years of goodwill and ties to them like he did here.
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33% chance?
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Yea with our likely step back coming next year he thought this was the time to move on. I don't blame him at all for wanting to leave right now and trying something new. Just don't get leaving to go to a same or worse position than he would be in here in terms of winning. Houston/Mets, makes sense. But I guess if 5-6 mil spread over 5 years is that big of a deal to him when he's already rich, so be it. Keep in mind he'd save money here in taxes to make up some of it, and if took Houston would've saved more too.
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I guess we'll see how much the Mets/Hous pay their guys. But IDK this seems like a weird move to me. Sure its the highest but have to think we had at least 5/30 on the table. But here is near untouchable job security. Cubs aren't really ready to win anything so good chance he's axed in a few years. But now going to our rival he kinda burned his bridge here. To me I'd have just taken the job security and being able to have an all time legacy here as best manager they've had for his hometown team or bounced for Houston to take your swing at the titles. Or even Mets with their money is more of a HR swing and doesn't have the stabbing your hometown in the back aspect to it. Weird move other than still being close to home.
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First, good luck passing it. Second, what happens is it would just get made up elsewhere in property and consumption taxes. Forget the TX vs CA bs in it. The money has to come from somewhere, this would just shift it around (and likely would leave more burden on the average joe) https://finance.yahoo.com/news/think-texas-cheaper-tax-burden-161359267.html#:~:text=Though Texas has no state,a new report from WalletHub.
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Even this year was generally a cobbled together rotation due Woodruff's injury. You had Burnes/Peralta stable then scratched through the last 3 spots of injuries, AAAA guys, scapheap pick ups to get by. In addition, Burnes/Peralta were just ok this year but they were stable all year. To the comment that he's always had an elite bullpen. That is generally true. However, who is responsible for it? He has to get credit it for at least some of it. They turn over the bullpen almost every year and the new guys each year that we've never heard of somehow consistently step in and take the places of the guys we all hated to lose. Like going into this year the only 'known' was Williams. Yet, I had no concern what they/he would do to replace everyone would work out just fine. And it did.
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I find it odd so many people and the general narrative is that it is bad that mediocre teams getting upsets and possibly winning it all. I'm someone who's generally been against college football expansion of playoffs basically due to the fact that the 2-4 team format rewards regular season and is one of the best formats in sport to actually have the best team win the championship. Essentially everyone bashed it for 20 years but in reality it was probably the highest hit rate of the actual best team winning. So for years I've been told I'm an idiot for that take, since CBB Tourney is so great, upsets are fun, give everyone a chance to settle it on the field, etc. Just weird that people flip flop based on what sport it is. For baseball, the four teams on each side they had for years seemed to be a good enough balance and I wouldn't have changed it. What they did has helped the regular season though, I'll grant that so it's not like I'm too upset about it. But if the end of season tournament is supposed to crown the best team it is a big negative there especially in a sport like baseball so prone to flukiness.
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And then get Trea Turner to replace him. Only to not re-sign him as well. Not sure what the thoughts were there, only thing I could think of is wanting to save that Turner/Seager money/contract for Ohtani while trying to get under the tax thing. TBF, they've also gotten really unlucky with pitching injuries (May, Buehler) along with Kershaw often regressing in playoffs. The Dodgers pitching situation is one of the thing that had me cautiously optimistic this postseason. Unfortunately we got unlucky getting AZ instead of MIA.
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I didn't say anything about playoff eras. Again, I'm not basing this off one game and am not a subscriber to the fallacy of small sample "sucks in the playoffs" like many commentators do in all sports. If you think about, as a starter Burnes was absolutely dominant for 1.5 years. The rest he's just been good. He's gonna get paid off the 1.5 years like he's done it for years. Again, very good top end starter deserving of a big payday. But expecting him to all of a sudden go back to what he did for that 1.5 years should not be expected, but I think he'll get paid like it. ETA: did a quick glance at Verlander's career, he had way more fluctuation up/down than I would've guessed. He's probably not the best example. But the overall point I'm getting at shouldn't be hard to decipher. For the most part, its extremely rare for mega contracts to pitchers to work out well. I don't think its crazy to say I think Burnes' won't as well. Especially with how small a track record of top top elite he has and that for the last 1.5 years he's just been good, not great. Sure he has another year, maybe he'll go fully Cy Young level again next year and prove me wrong. Hope he does if he's still in MKE
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Yes I know that even top pitchers don't throw shutouts every game. He has these blips/blow ups noticeably more often than the type of guys I'm talking about, thus not as good as them. Again, still very good but if you give him 35-40 mil per year you're probably gonna come away disappointed. From mid 2022 until now his stats are not at the level to warrant that type of pay but he's probably gonna get it in this crazy time of contracts, and my guess is their fans are going to come away disappointed in his 3s ERA and how many HRs he gives up
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Yea and I'm not basing that off one game and I'm not saying he's not a good top level pitcher. Him being so is one of the reasons I was cautiously optimistic this postseason. I'm just saying he's not prime Verlander/Scherzer type good and that's what he's going to get paid like.
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F the luck of that Longoria catch. game changing play there. I think I've said it before, but I think whatever team hands Burns his 250+ mil deal is going to regret it. He's good but not true top top Cy Young level like the guys who have actually lived up to those type of contracts like Max, Cole, etc.
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Yea due to coming up at a later age so hitting FA at an older age this is why I thought he was the target to sign to an extension say 2-3 years ago to buy out 2-3 years of FA. He was at risk of having the Jimmy Nelson situation happen and if this is a major shoulder injury that could be exactly what happens here. Or he could've locked in life setting money a few years ago, but of course be forfeiting a possible say 200 mil payday if he made to FA healthy.. Of course we have no idea how any of those negotiations went so not like there is anyone to blame on either side. But overall really tough news to see. Of course for him overall, but just that this team's hope of knocking of juggernauts like ATL/LA is lightning in a bottle with these two true ace pitchers. Peralta of course has his Ace days too but also has those bad days that just end the game quickly.
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Yea and I've figured part of the rift with MKE the whole time was knowing he'd be operating on one year contracts the whole time. I would guess he's the type who would've preferred to lock in a guaranteed contract several years ago so he could have the money in the bank. And of course a team like MKE wasn't going to give a reliver a big long contract and he's clearly not willing to give a discount in order to get the deal done. I guess I'm just saying I bet he's been in big fear of injury that could cost him his payday for years. No one is really at fault here, it's just the system in place by MLB. I'll be curious if he gets an Aroldis Chapman type contract this offseason if he'll go back to being a bit more flexible on this stuff since he has the 50+ mil in the bank
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LA for #34 too. Shaq, Bo Jackson, Fernando
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Yes good post, truly one of the best and hopefully he sticks around at least one more year (assuming they do a kind of final go for it with this core). The few folks going on their rants two-ish weeks to go seem not be keeping that thread going for some reason. Also, props to him and whoever else is in charge of the bullpen from all angles: scouting, acquiring, development, daily coaching/management. Every year they turn over several guys and find and/or fix more guys to fill in and they've been doing it for years now.
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Surprising the #3 division winner wouldn't automatically get the home field. Have you checked that? I just assumed it would be that way, thinking about it I suppose it will come up in the AL this year for sure since MN is much worse than the #2 team in the AL East. ETA: quick find on MLB.com with a 'current playoff bracket' setup and it has it listed at #6 AT #3 Twins. So it seems the division winner does get the automatic 3 seed and homefield. Although on re-read of the original post I see you might have been focused purely in terms of WC in case we somehow lost division.
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Yea in general I'd agree it would be cool and make sense for some development in the lots or the big open spaces between the park and the casino seems ripe for it too. However, I see it from the team's perspective to just leave as it is. Big development obviously would be a bunch of upfront capital on the hopes it comes back down the line. Or, invest nothing and continue to easily collect a few million pure profit per year. For folks who haven't gone to many games this year, preferred parking is now $40 on the weekends. They've essentially doubled parking prices in the last 5 years with no massive capital investment. Also, side note I don't think I saw mentioned on here. At Saturday's game it was raining/storming outside and there was some clear leaking from the roof on the 1B side.
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Wait, so they're building it i the same location that everyone says is the main issue with attendance at the current one? They're not correcting the obvious problem? I'm not familiar with all the Tampa area geography so please correct if I'm misreading this.
