The past means nothing, the future does. In baseball...a month, crapshoot. I agree, but also run differential is fairly predictive in baseball, and only 4 teams have ever made the playoffs in the modern era with a negative run differential, and the lowest was -22. The eye test says this is not a good team, and the negative run differential confirms that. With that said, they could rattle off a bunch of big wins and in turn whittle that differential down, just doesn't seem very likely.