I haven't seen anyone in the media suggest that if the Packers wait that their return will be any less but I've seen multiple people talk about the Packers waiting and getting the same or better value due to more teams being involved. If you have sources that have backed up your theory that he'd lose value I'd be interested to see them. How am I supposed to have a "source" for something that is entirely hypothetical? Can you post your sources for the contrary that suggest they can get better by waiting? I'd be happy to read them and be opening to examining my own viewpoints to see if there are flaws in my logic based on their logic and journalistic reputation. This is uncharted territory without much precedent, but again, my logic is based on the following. 1) The trading team, who presumably is playing for a championship, now has one less year with Aaron Rodgers to do so. That matters. That negatively affects his value. 2) There is less certainty, especially as an aging QB, that Aaron Rodgers will be able to maintain an MVP level of play 2 years removed from his 2020 season than there is right now. GMs aren't dumb. They know perfectly well that the guy they trade for at this time next year might not be the same guy that was here in 2020. 3) Markets fluctuate. It is a sellers QB market right now, and we saw that with Stafford. We can't just assume it'll be another sellers market next summer. I also don't buy for a second that the market for Rodgers won't be robust because teams are already set at QB for 2021. There is still a full training camp ahead for every team. Just because the Broncos are the only team we've heard about doesn't mean squat. If Gute makes Aaron Rodgers available, plans will change and teams will call. Of course you're right everything is speculation right now, I suppose looking at the position the Packers have taken it doesn't seem to me they're in any hurry to trade Rodgers. So I'll ask you if you think the Packers will trade him this season if Rodgers holds out or retires? Not whether you think it's better but are they giving you that vibe? I have a couple videos of the Rich Eisen show that are interesting listens, this one from Wednesday with Andrew Brandt talks about his view of when the Packers trade Rodgers but he doesn't talk about value. Clip just talking about a trade from a front office perspective:
Full Brandt interview, the whole thing is pretty interesting really:
And this one Thursday with Rob Demovsky talking about how Love has looked in OTAs, around the 8:00 mark is where they talk about Rodgers.
I'm pretty much standing with my belief that the Packers want Rodgers back first and foremost, and this might be the most likely result, but in my opinion if he retires they let him sit out the season before trading him in 2022. It just feels like that's where this is aimed right now and I really don't think they lose any value or if they do it's not a vast decrease in returned value and they are ok with that.