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True Blue Brew Crew

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Everything posted by True Blue Brew Crew

  1. True Blue Brew Crew
    I take any truth to the Brewers expressing interest in Castellanos as an attempt to create leverage in their trade discussions. They're using their track record of unconventional deployment of position players to make it appear as they'd be willing to sign and play NC at 3rd if their price on Hader isn't met. Just my guess.
  2. True Blue Brew Crew
    And I'll offer the 3rd perspective that both excel because of the other. I believe the way they construct a roster and how that roster is deployed in games is in total lockstep with one another. Each could easily be saddled with a lesser companion elsewhere and achieve less in spite of their individual talents.
  3. True Blue Brew Crew
    Not enough power to play 3rd regularly IMO. To me, your corner infielders should be a minimum of 25-30 HR guys, and if you have a SS, C or 2B that have above average power for their position, that's just a huge bonus. That's a pretty antiquated view of lineup construction given how many shortstops and 2nd basemen aren't slap hitting string beans anymore. It doesn't matter a lick where your power comes from if on the whole you have a balanced lineup with a strong mix of slugging and batters who get on base and put the ball in play.
  4. True Blue Brew Crew
    No one is in here guaranteeing Hader is going to be traded and no one is guaranteeing it will work out if they do. People are simply trying to decipher the expected return and why it might not take as much as some people expect. Snapping at anyone who does so is highly unnecessary.
  5. True Blue Brew Crew
    It's not hard to decipher Luke's point about the potential reason the Brewers might be looking to sell on Hader when the words he used include "possibly looking to trade him". One of the ongoing issues in this topic is people taking offense to anyone even offering an opinion as to why the Brewers could be shopping Hader or why it could be a winning move. There's a whole lot of shoot the messenger going on in here. If people can't opine on the rationale behind potentially trading Hader and how it could work out, then what's the point of this forum?
  6. True Blue Brew Crew
    If you want to leave out the contribution Shaw made in 2018 and the contribution Pomeranz (acquired in Dubon deal) made in 2019 as part of playoff teams. Kind of a weird way to account for a trade.
  7. True Blue Brew Crew
    Correct, which is why it's absurd for anyone to speak in absolutes. Which is why I'm speaking in scenarios. My guess is they think now is the time to cash in on Hader. Could easily be wrong.
  8. True Blue Brew Crew
    Nothing more than Twitter rumors but it sounds like those first two pieces (Garcia and Andujar) are agreed on. It's the sweeteners preventing a deal to this point. Also seems like other teams are jumping in to help drive the offers closer to what the Brewers are willing to accept.
  9. True Blue Brew Crew
    Yeah I don't think the home and away alternates. I believe that's randomly set once the opponents are known.
  10. True Blue Brew Crew
    When I see the dollars handed out like this and the Keuchel deal, it just illustrates the analytical advantage the Brewers have. What Stearns is getting for his dollar compared to other teams in the game is jaw dropping. No, not every deal Stearns dishes out will work as expected. But when you're this much wiser with your money than most every other team, you'll be competitive more often than not. By having their dollars go so much further than most everyone else, it narrows the massive gap the Brewers face when it comes to available money to spend.
  11. True Blue Brew Crew
    If Urias hits like he did to close out 2019, he easily could post a wRC+ above 100 as well. September line of .300, .371, .425, .796 Not all that unthinkable given he's 22 years old, has a hit tool rated as high as 65, and still adjusting the majors.
  12. True Blue Brew Crew
    Sign a $5-$10M free agent. Is there anyone other than Todd Frazier or Asdrubal Cabrera left? Not much, that's why I said the odds would be much higher if the available crop wasn't so thin. I also wouldn't put it past them to get creative and sign someone for 3B who played another primary position but has played 3B at times.
  13. True Blue Brew Crew
    Joseph, Joseph, Joseph, you don't look at the trend, you focus in on 3.55 then add the miracle Miller Park bump and you got 5 fWAR. I can share the calculation with you, but it was developed by others... Or you can take a realistic approach, understand that at 33 years old, Smoak isn't in his prime, but still can provide the same if not better production they had at 1B the last two playoff seasons, and take the money saved to improve elsewhere. No one, NO ONE, is saying Smoak is a 5fWAR player. It has been pointed out however the Brewers have now matched their 2019 STREAMER projections for $25 million less. What could possibly be wrong with that. That's just intelligent maneuvering.
  14. True Blue Brew Crew
    Donaldson would be fun, but I'd place higher odds on a Hader deal bringing in their 3B. I'd break it down like this... Trade middling prospects for a salary dump 3B - 40% Sign a $5-$10 million free agent 3B - 30% Trade Hader for a package that includes a new everyday 3B - 25% Sign Josh Donaldson - 5% I'd have signing a 3B other than Donaldson much higher if the available group wasn't so thin.
  15. True Blue Brew Crew
    Never say never but I'd be floored if their primary 3B for 2020 is on the roster right now.
  16. True Blue Brew Crew
    Number of chances. If Thames had played 1B nearly as much as Smoak had, the gulf would be much wider. Adding range into the equation makes the difference between the two negligible at best. Smoak now gets to hit in MP though which should boost his already better than Thames numbers. And he costs less. This isn't a big upgrade, but on paper it's definitely not a downgrade, and they saved money. It was a smart move no matter which way the numbers are broken down.
  17. True Blue Brew Crew
    Smoak wasn't hitting in Miller Park like Thames had the pleasure of, yet still outperformed him the past 3 years. Defensively, over the past 3 seasons... Thames: 12 errors on 1,781 chances at 1B Smoak: 7 errors on 3,120 chances at 1B AND Smoak saved the Brewers $2.5 million as opposed to picking up Thames option.
  18. True Blue Brew Crew
    Good thing they also added Avisail Garcia and still have Gamel.
  19. True Blue Brew Crew
    Smoak isn't exactly flexible either. It seems pretty clear that they thought they could get the same if not better production for less than the $7.5 million option Thames was due. And on paper, today that was proven true. He's a switch hitter at least. And a better glove at 1st
  20. True Blue Brew Crew
    Derek VanRiper, writer for the Athletic, on Twitter...
  21. True Blue Brew Crew
    Smoak isn't exactly flexible either. It seems pretty clear that they thought they could get the same if not better production for less than the $7.5 million option Thames was due. And on paper, today that was proven true.
  22. True Blue Brew Crew
    I agree it's highly unlikely Thames was going to entertain a return at lower money. It was just a poor decision in the first place to let him go, but hey we can always make up the 1.5 WAR drop we are likely to see with Smoak from Sogard... The Brewers saved $2.5 million and wound up with a player who has a better bat and glove than Thames.
  23. True Blue Brew Crew
    Would make the Brewers lineup ridiculous.
  24. True Blue Brew Crew
    This team seems poised to put a lot more balls in play in 2020. If they can add a high avg, high opb bat at 3rd this offense could be quite dynamic.
  25. True Blue Brew Crew
    And thank goodness. Been hoping they'd go this route this entire offseason. The team still has plenty of pop. Now they'll be able to get an occasional runner in from third and the extra baserunners when a HR is hit won't hurt either. Can't wait to see who Stearns adds at 3B to complete the lineup.
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