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splitterpfj

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Everything posted by splitterpfj

  1. splitterpfj
    Something like this, yes. The Brewers may try to replace Allen or Diaz with a pitcher, or they may try to add a reliever to the deal, to get a couple of very young arms on the end.
  2. splitterpfj
    As the article states, the Brewers hold all the cards. If the offers are subpar, Lucroy absolutely should not be traded right now.
  3. splitterpfj
    I'll say one, and it won't surprise me if it's zero. There will be deals, and they will produce good talent, but a lot of it will be very young.
  4. splitterpfj
    Briggs, that's a great point on Del Crandall. For those of you who don't know, Crandall was an All-Star catcher for the Boston and Milwaukee Braves, he then managed the Brewers from 1972-1975. Briggs, you're right, Crandall would have been here when Darrell came up, and I'm sure he was a perfect mentor for a young catcher. Porter fell flat on his face, quite literally, right after Del was replaced.
  5. splitterpfj
    If you take the Duquette tweet seriously and putting two and two together, it may be that it would be Jeffress for Rosario and one or both of Szapucki and Wotell. That would be the top prospect plus two mid-level guys. That's very true, it could be Rosario, or maybe Dominic Smith, plus those two - that asking price would fit everything I've heard. It would also fit David Stearns, in general - get pitching in any deal you can - young is fine, good is good.
  6. splitterpfj
    Might explain why Ted Simmons was at the Brewers game yesterday - a 3-teamer with LA, MIL, and ATL. MIL sends Braun to LA, LA sends Puig to ATL and salary (Anderson? Ellis?) plus prospects to MIL, ATL sends prospects to MIL. It's also possible Simmons was scouting the Brewers because the Braves play them soon.
  7. splitterpfj
    Those two pitchers were the Mets' 3rd and 5th round picks last year - both are left-handed. Between the two, they have about 70 IP in pro ball.
  8. splitterpfj
    Porter had drug problems for much of his life. He, sadly, died of an overdose in 2002. Perhaps that was an issue that the Brewers were eager to rid themselves of. Just speculation. Maybe some of the other guys on the board know more about it. Yes, Reilly, I touched on it in my last post in this thread - addictions had a firm grip on Porter, causing his performance to fall apart - that's why he was dealt. I was at a game in 1976, where a ball was popped straight up, maybe 2-3 steps behind the plate - Porter stood, and went to make the play, but he fell flat on his face. Whatever he was using, he was a complete mess at that time.
  9. splitterpfj
    Darrell Porter had substance abuse issues, that's what nearly wrecked his career, and it's what led to the trade. (go look at his stats in 1976, you'll see the nosedive) Ted Simmons was easily the best catcher who has ever played for the Brewers, and he is simply the most underrated catcher in my lifetime, but he came here later in his career, and had two strong years as a Brewer. I don't think you can call him the Brewers' best catcher, but you can call him the best catcher who was a Brewer. Jim Sundberg was excellent defensively, but not much with the bat, and he only played here for one season. If Surhoff had played his whole career behind the plate, I might choose him over Lucroy, but he switched positions. In a Brewers uniform, I would say yes, Lucroy has been the best catcher this team has ever had.
  10. splitterpfj
    I can tell you, with certainty, this is an overstatement. The Brewers are asking for, "a" number one prospect, and two additional players for Jeffress, as I've stated several times. I suppose if a team's farm system is down right now, that could equate to their best prospect overall, but the idea is, Stearns wants, "a guy", "plus two." Which, by the way, he should - there is absolutely no, "have to" when it comes to trading Jeffress right now. He's good, he wants to be here, and he has three years of team control left. The only way Jeffress is traded - and I've said this quite a few times now - is if the Brewers get a strong enough offer for Stearns to do the deal. If the market for pitching wasn't as hot as it is, I would simply state Jeffress will not be moved, but as it is, someone might meet the asking price.
  11. splitterpfj
    I'd guess something like RHP-Ariel Jurado and 1B-Ronald Guzman. I just don't think Jeffress value is all that great. I'd love to be wrong about that. The Brewers have been asking for three players for Jeffress, "the reason they did it", and two more.
  12. splitterpfj
    I would too, but I don't think Cleveland would. Going forward, you may very well be asking for four "Top 100" prospects right there, and I'd be shocked if the Indians did a thing like that. I also think Stearns would give part of that back, in exchange for more younger players, provided he truly believed those players would continue to rise, and not just be, "more guys."
  13. splitterpfj
    That's going to backfire hard if the Rangers get a pitcher. A couple of things here ... Texas will get some pitching - their staff has been absolutely horrible in recent weeks - if they don't do something, they will not reach the postseason. That farm system is deep enough to get a SP, and then get Lucroy, unless they actually manage to get a guy like Sale, but I don't believe a true stud SP will move right now. If it happens, then that's that, but I'd play the odds against it.
  14. splitterpfj
    Austin, I'm with you - Milwaukee is not getting everyone they want, the same way Cleveland isn't keeping everyone they want. For Lucroy, I would dig in my heels - McKenzie, Mejia, and two kids we like from further down the chain. I would have no problem with that return - I wouldn't take Aiken over McKenzie, for sure right now, and I'm not certain I'd take Sheffield either, but I do like him. If a reliever goes in there too, just sort it out and get it done - we don't have to get one of those outfielders to get the value we should have, and we don't have to gamble on Aiken either - if the two sides are fighting over Bradley, I can see why, and I would take him over the catcher if we have to, but honestly, I don't want to.
  15. splitterpfj
    I have a feeling Stearns is waiting for Texas to finish their search for a starting pitcher, so he's first in line with both the Indians and Rangers. Both teams want Lucroy, I simply do not believe otherwise, but they've stopped short of the big offer to get him. When they're both focused on Milwaukee, someone will move.
  16. splitterpfj
    I wish we knew what the asking price is. I still think this happens, the fit is just too obvious - both ways.
  17. splitterpfj
    If I'm the Brewers - I go. With the price of pitching as high as it currently is, I expect other fringey contenders to follow the Yankees and make some of their bullpen guys available. Teams are asking KC about Wade Davis, I would expect it for Melancon in Pittsburgh, and even the Braves' closer, who is unable to pitch right now with an oblique injury is drawing interest. The demand is there. Don't go cheap, but that shouldn't be a problem in this market - literally every contender is looking for bullpen help, so get out there and get it done while a team or two are still deciding if they'll sell.
  18. splitterpfj
    Someone help me here please .... use Jeffress v Chapman and show me what the probable value of Chapman for the rest of this season is in comparison to the value of Jeffress through the end of the 2019 season.
  19. splitterpfj
    Look deep into the numbers and they are good relief pitchers, but definitely not elite. I have no doubt, but you're missing two absolutely critical points. 1. There is no supply, so things that should make sense, don't make sense right now. 2. These players all offer three years of control beyond this season. I'd have to look, but Thornburg might even be four. When you take "good" for three seasons plus a playoff race, in an extreme seller's market - it depends on your definition of a, "big return", but it's right there to be had. I'm not talking about Lucas Giolito, I'm talking about more than you would have expected to get in pretty much any other season I can remember.
  20. splitterpfj
    So, two of the Cubs' top five prospects, plus two, for Aroldis Chapman. For everyone who says, "But it's Chapman", I'm forced to say, "But it's about 40 IP", counting the postseason). Don't tell me the Brewers can't get a big return for their bullpen guys. Edit: Misters Jeffress, Smith, Thornburg, Boyer, Torres, Knebel, Blazek, and Barnes ... please report to Mr Counsell's office ...
  21. splitterpfj
    big time Don't anybody think there isn't plenty of demand for what the Brewers have in the bullpen right now. The whole world wants relief pitching right now, and the supply stinks - those guys are good, and they have years to go before they can walk - that's not a small thing.
  22. splitterpfj
    The thought had been that Smith would be traded, and Jeffries would not, barring a big offer. That may still be the case, but, regardless of what happens with Smith, I would expect a big offer for Jeffress at this point.
  23. splitterpfj
    Demand for Smith has absolutely been there, but I haven't spoken to anyone since yesterday's game.
  24. splitterpfj
    I couldn't agree more, a move like this would be brutal for the Indians.
  25. splitterpfj
    The Mets are interested in Milwaukee's relievers. We know David Stearns loves those "+1" kids from the low minors. If you're looking for an "under the radar" kid in the Mets' system, check this out: http://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.cgi?id=conlon000pj-
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