Some of the recent MLB proposals have the potential to really hurt the Brewers in some areas that they excel at. Largely, they’ve built up the organizational strength through savvy navigation of the draft pool money (Pratt being a prime example), a great hit rate in international players, and trading veterans at the right time. A few items from the recent proposals severely threaten their ability to maintain their edge:
1. Draft reduced to 12 rounds.
2. High school players are no longer draft eligible and requires 2 years of college.
3.Draft becomes hard slotted - no more drafting lesser players high to save slot money for high level, low propensity to sign players later.
4. International draft - will get less of the Chourio, Made, Pena, etc. type players.
5. Salary floor - the Brewers will almost certainly hover right at the floor. Making trading off higher priced veterans a potential challenge. If the floor must be maintained for the full season, they’ll need to give out more extensions to young players and/or have/keep higher priced veterans to mix with the lower priced youngsters.
I can’t help but wonder how these potential rule changes may color this year’s trade deadline as well. Put aside the potential lockout, I would think that a club like the Brewers may be very hesitant to deal minor league depth knowing that it will become harder to replenish.
Short term, they’ve built a great system that will keep them competitive for years to come. Long term, hopefully Arnold and company can find new roster building advantages to exploit, because the current ones are about to get much more difficult to execute if some of these proposed changes are adopted.