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And That

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Everything posted by And That

  1. And That
    Yes, unless otherwise negotiated into the contract (like Aoki). He still has another full year plus before he's arbitration-eligible.
  2. And That
    Coulter is 21 and in A ball. He doesn't even need to be added to the 40-man until after next year. Any number of things could happen at the big league level and/or the guys ahead of him in the minors over the next three to four years. Actually, the soonest he could run out of options is 2020, the last guaranteed year of Braun's contract.
  3. And That
    They tried him at third in instructionals a few years ago and it didn't take. 1B is pretty much the last remaining option for him, but it would be a shame to waste his arm there. I wouldn't move anyone based on Clark or Harrison because of how far away they are, or Reed because he projects to be a fringe starter unless he can find more power. I also would be more inclined to move Roache to first.
  4. And That
    From one of a number of MLB write-ups about the AFL All-Star game (this one from Jim Callis): He'll need a good slider to be successful in MLB, so this is a great sign.
  5. And That
    We won't know who's available (or who isn't) in the Rule 5 draft for a few weeks.
  6. And That
    Perez has talent and potential, no doubt, and I personally would have dumped Peterson first. However, would you rather hold on to Perez and risk losing a Jacob Barnes or Jorge Ortega? It's probably a closer call than people generally give Perez credit for, but I still go with protecting the upside of the guys in the minors. Also should mention, the Brewers are more than free to re-sign Perez, if they can come to a deal.
  7. And That
    Perez looks like he should be/could be a good hitter. He definitely looks the part at the plate, and he plays pretty good D as well. It wouldn't surprise me to see him turn into a utility guy with a longish MLB career. That said, the Brewers shouldn't be protecting utility guys right now (I'm looking at you, Herrera and Peterson). Not that Perez was much, but the Brewers are almost hilariously thin at third base right now. Nate Orf in 2016?
  8. And That
    Dave Cameron posted his predictions for who will sign the top 50 free agents. His prediction for the Brewers: Absolutely no one. This of course means almost nothing in and of itself, but seems to be in line with the thinking that despite the Brewers' payroll looking to be only in the low $70 millions at the moment, they probably won't add any significant pieces. I continue to think that Mike Leake would be an interesting investment on a 4 or 5 year deal, but they probably won't pursue him, and probably shouldn't for $16 million AAV.
  9. And That
    Well... Nailed it - that's why I care. Yuni took years off of my life.
  10. And That
    I'm sure that's true for some teams, that they'd give up more later. Lind has said that he usually tweaks his back playing defense. Not sure how much truth there is to it, so take it for what his word is worth. But if an AL team thinks he's an upgrade at DH - and his 820 OPS in 2015 was better than the combined DH output of all but 4 AL teams - and their doctors agree that it's playing in the field that causes his back problems, he's an upgrade for more than a third of MLB right now. I'm not saying the Brewers should take a garbage offer for the guy, but they need to carefully weigh the opportunity cost of what they can get now vs. what they think they could get with a good half season, discounted with the not-insignificant risk of Lind getting injured between now and then. It's interesting internal math. Edit: So basically, completely making up numbers here, if the Brewers could get a return for Lind in July that's 25% better than what they get now, vs. having say a 20% chance of getting nothing at all if he were to be injured, should they take the 20% risk of eating $8 million in a season that they won't be competitive?
  11. And That
    Nelson is now listed on the official transactions page as being reinstated from the 60-day DL and the Brewers' 40-man roster is indeed at 36. In terms of guys whose spots may be in peril, I agree about Fields but I think Shane Peterson stands a greater risk of getting cut than does Strong. Peterson doesn't bring any single outstanding skill to the table, and posted a sub 700 OPS in his 27 year old season, which is usually right around the time a player is as good as he's going to get. By Fangraphs WAR, he was literally at replacement level. By my eye, he might show a little more pop if he played every day, but his defense is nothing to get excited about and I doubt he has the ability to hit for a much higher average. There are a dozen Shane Petersons out there for the taking on a minor league deal. Elian Herrera could also go, but the Brewers seem to be enamored with him due to his versatility and ability to switch hit. Which I can understand - he's a good 25th guy.
  12. And That
    The Shuckers also won a MiLBY for best game of the year, the only MiLBY where the fans and site have agreed on something.
  13. And That
    There was no good reason not to exercise the option. There is also no good reason for Lind to be on the Brewers' roster in 3 months. He stayed unusually healthy last season, but his back seems like a ticking time bomb. They have to move him before spring training, or they risk the bomb going off.
  14. And That
    I believe they have to activate 60-day DL players before free agency starts, which is Saturday. Players don't have to be protected for the Rule 5 draft for a few more weeks after that.
  15. And That
    Barnes, Magnifico and Reed are AFL All-Stars.
  16. And That
    I was waiting for someone to make this joke. Well done.
  17. And That
    My counter to the notion that he can't be a starter because he doesn't pound the strike zone enough, is that it's not fair to extrapolate how someone pitches in relief with how they might pitch as a starter. As a reliever, Smith for the most part doesn't have any sort of pitch count to worry about. That's not to say he doesn't have to throw strikes, but there's no upside in trying to be as efficient as possible either. I know it's not a perfect analogue for strike rate, but he had a career BB9 in the minors of 2.2, where 112 of 133 appearances were as a starter. A 2.2 BB9 doesn't strike me as someone who is timid in the zone. Yovani Gallardo, bastion of inefficiency, has a career BB9 of 3.3 for reference. And to beat a dead horse, if he's able to find his change again, he would be able to work off of his fastball more often, as opposed to having opponents trying to sit on his slider. The less he needs to use the slider, the more effective it will be.
  18. And That
    I would argue that there is no such thing as a starting pitcher logjam. I also don't think that Jungmann (or Davies for that matter) is a lock to the extent that if he has a bad spring/early season, that he won't be sent back down.
  19. And That
    It went for 90+ minutes, so it's not like they fielded a few softballs and left. They were about as forthright as they could possibly be, given the amount of internal strategy that they didn't (and shouldn't) go in to. I was a little surprised that Stearns talked specifically about Greinke, as I don't believe he has officially opted out of his contract with the Dodgers, what with tampering rules and all. One particular thing Stearns said that caught my attention was, when a fan asked which one stat was the best to judge a batter (OBP, OPS, etc), Stearns said that not only is there not one, but all statistics need to be looked through the lens of scouting/player evaluation. Only when you have the quantitative stuff mixed with the observational stuff, do you have relevant information. I strongly agree with this. What my lasting impression is of the event is that Stearns and Counsell seemed to get along really well together and they looked comfortable sitting at home plate and answering questions at length. I take it as a good sign that there seems to be strong rapport/communication between the two, and that they both sounded cognizant of where the organization is, and where it needs to go. Time will obviously tell if their united front and united goals will translate into success or not.
  20. And That
    That's not a track record, that was 90 innings as a 22 year old breaking into the big leagues.
  21. And That
    He posted a 0.6 WAR in 90 innings as a 22 year old just breaking into the big leagues, and that was three years ago. I fail to see how that is "pretty bad" or "not very defensible" as clancy put it. As for his splits, his career OPS against is .745. For comparison, Peralta's is .739, Nelson's is .716. And 64% of batters Smith has faced in his career have been right-handed, so it's not like he's unused to seeing them.
  22. And That
    It's not like Smith is some old fart either - of the guys Clancy listed, Smith is younger than Thornburg and Pena, is three days older than Cravy, and about a month and a half older than Suter. The argument that he's a reliever, therefore he should stay a reliever doesn't make any sense. If you're saying all of those guys should get a shot over Smith, why? What is it about Smith's stuff that gives him so small a shot at success?
  23. And That
    From that MLBTR piece. For perspective. But the Brewers are in a situation where if their scouting says he could be a quality hitter in the big leagues, why not?
  24. And That
    That was vague - why can't Will Smith start (again), or at least give it a shot? What about his stuff precludes him from doing so? Again, I am fully aware he'd have to find his change-up again, but apart from that, I see no downside to trying.
  25. And That
    Will Smith qualified for Super Two status this offseason, meaning that he will be eligible for arbitration this winter, as opposed to having his near-minimum contract renewed. He's projected to get about $1.2 million this year by MLBTR. I only bring this up because at risk of sounding like clancy, I think the Brewers have nothing to lose by trying Smith out as a starter next year. His success would probably hinge on being able to find his change-up again, a pitch he hasn't really used since moving to the bullpen in 2013. But the Brewers have virtually no postseason aspirations next year, so you'd think they might as well try to get the most bang for their buck out of Smith. Maybe even build some trade value. So as long as he's getting a 100%+ raise, why not see if he can increase his innings pitched by the same amount?
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