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Matt Breen

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Everything posted by Matt Breen

  1. Matt Breen
    Senzel to the Reds. Oops. Brain fart.
  2. Matt Breen
    no. which probably means we won't take any of them.
  3. Matt Breen
    And you're the only one who got it right in our community draft I wasn't going to say anything, but... OH YEAH! I wonder if our community draft will get any of the top 10 picks correct. Pretty crazy with the uncertainty.
  4. Matt Breen
    Senzel to the Braves. Interesting. If the Crew wants a pitcher, one will be there.
  5. Matt Breen
    And you're the only one who got it right in our community draft
  6. Matt Breen
    Interesting read from Chris Mitchell at Fangraphs: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/kyle-lewis-and-the-elite-small-conference-draft-prospect/ He was curious about a guy like Kyle Lewis coming from a small conference (think Rickie Weeks, who he talks about as a comparison). He talks about how it is difficult to look at a guy like Lewis, but at the end, he says this: Still, given the stakes associated with an early-round draft pick, teams should be thinking long and hard about Lewis’ strikeout woes, especially in light his competition level. Hitters who have trouble making contact against weak competition often don’t see their performances translate to the big leagues. The brief history of first-round college hitters from lower-tier conferences neatly highlights this phenomenon. The competition level is college really can be quite diverse - and it's not something I really think about.
  7. Matt Breen
    If Lewis drops, I'd be hard pressed not to take him. The one thing our system lacks is a true power hitter. Lewis ranked in top 10 or so with HRs, walks, BA, SLG - all the big number things a team wants. Collins equals Lewis in many things, but strikes out a lot more, and is way less athletic than Lewis. I'm skeptical Collins sticking at catcher - he has been labeled as having a 'fringy' arm and 'doesn't move well behind the plate' (link below) - that screams 1B. And add in the 30 'run' score, and you have a very one-dimensional player. All that said, I've hardly seen these guys play - we go off stats and scouting reports. You have to see these guys play as well, and people like me can only speculate based upon limited resources. If the club thinks Collins game translates better than a guy like Lewis, then so be it. http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2016?list=draft
  8. Matt Breen
    This is my feeling. Don't get cute. Just get the best guy. If the team feels that the best guy is Collins, then fine. But don't pass on better players - we need quality more than quantity, in my opinion. It's not that I don't like Collins or want him, but I just get this feeling the team is passing on better guys.
  9. Matt Breen
    Villar's value would probably all over the board if you surveyed GMs. As was noted, it's 1/3 of a season. Teams will be wary (as well they should). But it just takes one person to fall in love with the guy to boost his value, so you never know. Come trade deadline, and he's got 2/3 of a season under his belt, his value will only rise if he's still hitting. The good thing is that he'll still have a ton of value - perhaps even more - if you wait until the off season (assuming he keeps hitting). A full season of quality play would sway a lot of doubters.
  10. Matt Breen
    What! We finally get a decent guy and you want to trade him!? What the heck is wrong with you people! Blah, blah, blah. Just joking. This has been a pre-emptive rant that accompanies any question about assessing the trade value of a player.
  11. Matt Breen
    Callis and Mayo have the Brewers going after Collins and Rutherford, respectively. Interestingly, they have Puk, Groome, Pint and Lewis all available at our pick. That would be fascinating. http://m.mlb.com/news/article/182933128/opening-round-picks-in-2016-mlb-mock-draft They say if it's talent, the Brewers will go after Rutherford. If they want to save money and strike a deal, it's Collins.
  12. Matt Breen
    A few comments on our Top 10 Mock Draft. - Thanks for so much participation. We had at least 11 voters every round - over 20 for the Brewers pick. - Obviously, Perez's failed drug test would have affected our picks, but it will be interesting to see how we do in tomorrow's real MLB draft. - I enjoyed this process. 10 rounds wasn't too much. t hope everyone else enjoyed things. - Please share your feelings on how things went, if you want to do this again next year, suggestions to improve, etc. Thanks again to everyone for playing along. I sort of did this on a whim, and it turned out kind of fun.
  13. Matt Breen
    Here's the wrap up of our Top 10 Community Mock Draft: #1 - Philadelphia Phillies - A.J. Puk, LHP, Florida #2 - Cincinnati Reds - Kyle Lewis, OF, Mercer #3 - Atlanta Braves - Jason Groome, LHP, Barnegat HS (NJ) #4 - Colorado Rockies - Mickey Moniak, OF, La Costa Canyon HS (CA) #5 - Milwaukee Brewers - Riley Pint, RHP, St. Thomas Aquinas HS (KS) #6 - Oakland Athletics - Nick Senzel, 3B, Tennessee #7 - Miami Marlins - Delvin Perez, International Baseball Academy (Puerto Rico) #8 - San Diego Padres - Blake Rutherford, OF, Chaminade College Prep (Simi Valley, Ca) #9 - Detroit Tigers - Corey Ray, OF, Louisville #10 - Chicago White Sox - Zack Collins, C, Miami
  14. Matt Breen
    The final pick of our community mock draft is in: The White Sox select C Zack Collins of Miami. Here's the voting breakdown: Collins - 5 Hudson - 4 Dunn and Manning - 1 each
  15. Matt Breen
    White Sox select Dakota Hudson. They go with he best college arm who will move quickly through the system.
  16. Matt Breen
    Yep. Totally agree. I wonder if one of those minor injuries is affecting him more than he will admit.
  17. Matt Breen
    Anderson doing well. It's nice to face struggling teams like this.
  18. Matt Breen
    Wow, I'm sure Collins is within the range of reasonableness for our pick, but no way am I taking a guy with those college K numbers at #5 overall. Not knowing that much about college baseball, I was curious what other numbers some guys put up in the college ranks. I just used the MLB Pipeline, and there are 6 college bats ranked in the top 30. Here are their strikeout rates: Kyle Lewis #3: 19.7% career, 21.5% for 2016 Corey Ray #6: 20.3% career, 15.0% for 2016 Nick Senzel #7: 13.9% career, 10.0% for 2016 Zack Collins #14: 25.5% career, 27.3% for 2016 Bryan Reynolds #23: 22% career, 25.9 for 2016 Buddy Reed #30: 22.1% career, 24.3 for 2016 I'm not sure it says anything, but I figured I'd share. For several of the players, the K rates went up in their final year - perhaps as they go for more long balls they K more. Not uncommon. For some reason, I had this vision of these top guys striking out a lot less. But it seems like they strikeout just as much as the pros. This seems like a weak year for college bats - but maybe it's always like this.
  19. Matt Breen
    BA is saying that Perez's failed drug test was for a 'performance enhancer'. This could be something like Adderall - but nothing further is detailed. http://www.baseballamerica.com/draft/perez-shelby-fail-mlsb-drug-tests-2/#u6GSRFefWrMopuW2.97 They also noted that Kentucky third baseman/second baseman JaVon Shelby, #260 on their Top 500 list, tested positive for Adderall.
  20. Matt Breen
    I don't know if this was posted, but here's BA's Mock Draft 5: http://www.baseballamerica.com/draft/mock-draft-5-0/#DuXOaYTgOLci1MQo.97 5. BREWERS: Milwaukee has been tied heavily to Perez. Industry sources are buzzing about Perez falling but not on the record, throwing a wrench into first-round projections of the player ranked first among shortstops in the entire class. It now appears Perez may not even go in the first round at all. That leaves the Brewers to take a prep arm such as Pint or perhaps Groome a home in the first 10 picks. The fallback, if a deal can’t be cut with Groome, is Corey Ray. If Groome doesn’t find a home, he’s said to be heading to junior college rather than Vanderbilt. PICK: Corey Ray, of
  21. Matt Breen
    The Tigers select Corey Ray, OF, from Louisville with the 9th selection. The pick was really close: Ray - 4 Hudson - 3 Garrett - 3 Manning - 2 The Chicago White Sox are on the clock. One last round to pick. Thanks to so many for sticking around and participating. I've enjoyed doing this, and learned a ton about all the top players.
  22. Matt Breen
    Corey Ray is my pick. Second night in a row I broke a tie. I feel powerful. I think the Tigers would be thrilled with Ray. They have an old and very unathletic team. They have a couple of interesting young arms in Fulmer and Norris. Plus the HS player they drafted last year - a pitcher - is doing well in A ball. Their hitting prospects are almost nonexistent. They need a guy like Ray so bad. It also helps that he's a college bat, so he'll (hopefully) move faster than some of the HS players. A really athletic, impact position player is perfect for the team.
  23. Matt Breen
    Why would that matter if this team is going to be mediocre even with his bat for the next 2-3 years? I think the point was what will Ryan's bat be line in 2 or 3 years (so in 2018-19), as opposed to this year and next. Will whatever we get for Braun now be better in 2018-20 (when we will hopefully be thinking about being relevant) than what we could get from Ryan himself during that same time frame. Few people think we'll contend this year or next, so yes, what Ryan really does in that time irrelevant in some ways. But in 2018-2020, he could potentially still be very good. He could also be washed up. With that in mind, you then just have to question if it is better or worse than what he could bring in a trade.
  24. Matt Breen
    Not pretty, but I'll take it.
  25. Matt Breen
    Zach wasn't looking real sharp at the end. Still, a nice outing. Encouraging to see that.
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