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Matt Breen

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Everything posted by Matt Breen

  1. Matt Breen
    Tate and Matuella, plus maybe a flyer on a guy like Kivlehan or Forbes or whomever the team likes. I think that would be fair. I like the upside pitching - both Tate and Matuella have their risks, but I'm okay with that. That's part of doing this kind of thing.
  2. Matt Breen
    Castillo doesn't seem to get a lot of respect. He's a solid guy, and I agree he's not a bad player for them. However, you have to wonder about Stewart - he seems to be putting them in a 'win now' mode - and you never know what you might be able to pull off.
  3. Matt Breen
    Yeah, thats more than just "whoopsie i forgot to delete my cookies" access error... This was pretty much my thought as well. When I first read about this it was sort of explained as 'oh, the cardinals guy just poked around to see what was there because he was concerned Houston had stolen some info.' But this is repeated abuse. They went into the system during the draft, at the trade deadline, etc. And then they hacked into an email account to get the new passwords - that's not a casual thing. That's a systematic approach to breaking into an online database.
  4. Matt Breen
    Rangers get: Lucroy Brewer get: Pitchers Dillon Tate and Michael Matuella Tate was the #4 pick in last year's draft. Matuella was in the mix as the top pick in the draft until he had TJ surgery. Huge upside pitchers - not without risk - especially Matuella with his surgery. Could expand the deal to include other players if needed. You start adding in Khris Davis or Will Smith, then it becomes a bit crazy. Texas has a deep system, so there's probably guys the club likes as well.
  5. Matt Breen
    Arizona gets Lucroy and Smith Brewers get pitchers Shipley and Archie Bradley, plus 3B Jake Lamb. We also take Aaron Hill and his $12M salary if it helps get the deal done. Brewers get two good pitcher prospects, plus a 3B who's a decent looking hitter and very good fielder (5 years of control). I don't want Hill, but it's the price of getting three young, controllable players (of course we can skip that part of the deal if AZ is willing to make it happen without Hill, but I doubt it). Arizona would love to free up Hill's salary. I want Lamb over Drury. I think Lamb is a better fielder and hitter at 3B. The Dbacks would be sacrificing Lamb (no pun intended) and committing to Drury at 3B - but us taking on Hill's contract is the price they have to pay.
  6. Matt Breen
    I could see something along these lines happening. I think Kepler is going to be very good, very soon. I agree this gets to be an interesting deal. I don't know anything about Turner and Romero, but Jay and Kepler would be nice adds. I just think the club have to believe Jay could be a starter. If he's a reliever, I'm not that excited about things.
  7. Matt Breen
    Some of the things that were done - pretty serious: • Correa accessed the Astros' Ground Control system on June 8, 2013 (the third day of the draft) and looked at Houston's reports on players. Among them: one player the Astros would pick that day, a player who was drafted by another team and the players the Cardinals drafted the previous day. • On July 31, 2013, the MLB trade deadline, Correa accessed Ground Control and looked at the Astros' notes on trade discussions. • On March 10, 2014, Correa gained access to Ground Control after the Astros had changed its URL and all of its users' passwords. In the days before this breach, the Astros' system had gotten national attention from a Houston Chronicle article, so they changed the URL and reset everyone's passwords in order to prevent this exact type of activity. However, Correa hacked into an exec's e-mail account to get the new URL and password, then viewed 118 pages of the Astros' draft rankings, scouting reports and trade notes. I think the commissioner has to come down pretty hard on St. Louis so they set a precedent about this kind of thing. http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-big-league-stew/the-details-in-the-cardinals-astros-hacking-scandal-are-insane-211314578.html
  8. Matt Breen
    Cordell is not a 3B. He's played a total of 33 games in his career at 3B - with 7 errors and an .857 fielding %. He's almost strictly played OF in his career. He also got in 14 games at SS - 6 errors and a .907 fielding %. Texas likes his athleticism, but he's not a 3B or SS. Until he shows he can handle the IF competently, this is just an experiment - like Cory Hart or Jason Rogers at 3B. Fine things to try out, but not something you want to happen if necessary.
  9. Matt Breen
    Oswaldo seems like a guy who could use a change of scenery. In the minors, his walk rate wasn't that bad. It wasn't great, but it wasn't terrible. The last two years that's just dropped, and his strike outs continue to climb. Last year, I read a report that said he just looked lost. Edit: after I posted this I found this nice write up on Oswaldo. http://www.twinkietown.com/2015/10/29/9636094/2016-stock-market-report-oswaldo-arcia And this: http://twinsdaily.com/_/minnesota-twins-news/minnesota-twins/what-happened-to-oswaldo-arcia-r4043 The latter article notes he's had a lot of injuries, which may be contributing to his recent struggles.
  10. Matt Breen
    DeShields is an interesting player, but Phillips is likely (hopefully) less than 1/2 year away - and I like Phillips a lot more. With Braun, Davis and Santana, you have corner OFs covered. So I don't want to give up an intriguing young pitcher for a guy who doesn't necessarily fit into our plans. He was considered a poor 2B defensively, a big reason he was moved to the OF, so I don't know if he'd fit there on a full time basis. He doesn't have a very strong arm either, but certainly the speed, for CF. Doesn't mean he isn't going to be a decent player, and it doesn't mean we couldn't use him, it's just I don't want to give up a valuable starting pitcher for a guy who is mostly a one-tool (speed) player - and a guy we don't really need.
  11. Matt Breen
    Yep.
  12. Matt Breen
    A Smith/Lucroy package would be really address a couple of the Twins major needs. I said this in another thread - I don't think Minnesota would give up Berrios since he's ready to join their rotation now. But something around Kepler/Jay/Plouffe might work - with Plouffe flipped to a third team.
  13. Matt Breen
    Seeing as he only has 3.159 years of service time, can't the Brewers control him for 3 years under arbitration? He can be a brewer through 2018? I am not sure how this works but hope someone here does. You are exactly correct. He is under control for three years - if we want him that long. Makes him more valuable as a trade asset if does well.
  14. Matt Breen
    Dude has a gritty, battling quality that's going to carry him through it all.
  15. Matt Breen
    This is not the most thrilling move in the world, but it's a reasonable move. Downside, he hits .180 and we lose $2.5M when he's cut. On the upside, he hits 35 bombs and .230 BA with an .800 OPS. That kind of production can probably land you an okay prospect or two down the road. Most importantly, he's not blocking anyone right now, so nothing to really complain about. In the end, he's not likely part of the next winning Brewer club, but he can help us get there if he produces.
  16. Matt Breen
    He's pretty bad from what I've seen of him.
  17. Matt Breen
    I smiled at this. Well done. Suggestion: Next time skip the blue font - I would have been surprised - and thus smiled more or maybe laughed out loud.
  18. Matt Breen
    We're #1. We're #1. We're #1. We're #1. Other awards we can look forward to in 2016: - Top pick in the 2017 draft ......
  19. Matt Breen
    The other $4M is a buyout on a $15M team option for 2021. So, assuming that the sixth year option is declined by the club and he get the $4M, it gets up to 5/$95M. That option may have increased. Not sure by how much. Actually, the 2021 option is a mutual option. Here's details from Cots website: https://www.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/national-league-central/milwaukee-brewers/ The option value can change based upon MVP, Gold Glove (Hah!) or Sliver Slugger awards. That may change, but all indications are that that the buy out is the same - which is $4M. 5 years/$105M (2016-20), plus 2021 mutual option • 5 years/$105M (2016-20), plus 2021 option • signed extension with Milwaukee 4/21/11 • $10M signing bonus (paid in 4 equal installments each April 1 from 2012 to 2015) • 16:$19M, 17:$19M, 18:$19M, 19:$18M, 20:$16M, 21:$15M mutual option ($4M buyout) • price of option may increase to $20M based on MVP, Silver Slugger, Gold Glove awards (if earned, award escalators are deferred without interest) • $18M in salary ($4M each in 2016-18 and $3M each in 2019-20) deferred without interest, to be paid in equal installments each July 1 from 2022 to 2031 • no-trade protection allowing Braun to block deals to all clubs except LA Angels, LA Dodgers, Miami, Tampa Bay and Washington
  20. Matt Breen
    It's 9/$95. You have to subtract the signing bonus which was already paid. It adds up to 5/$91 but I don't know where the other $4m went. A good chunk of money is deffered every year so he is mever paid more than $15m in any year. The other $4M is a buyout on a $15M team option for 2021. So, assuming that the sixth year option is declined by the club and he get the $4M, it gets up to 5/$95M.
  21. Matt Breen
    Braun's remaining contract is actually 5/$95M. The team paid him a $10M signing bonus, which is off the books. There's also $18M in deferred money, which reduces the overall value a bit as well.
  22. Matt Breen
    Happy Gordon is returning to KC. I'm sentimental about players hanging on to their 'signature' team as long as possible. He's still a good player, and KC should be decent for a few years. Good for him and the club. As noted, the years and dollars are a little shy of what was predicted, but I think the starting pitching has sucked up a lot of the available free agent dollars. And teams are just being smarter with regards to overpaying for guys in their declining years. Perhaps this starts the dominos with position players.
  23. Matt Breen
    Unfortunately, the Angels have one of the worst systems in baseball.
  24. Matt Breen
    Just like with Lucroy or anyone else, I think it all comes down to who needs Davis' bat, and are they willing (and able) to pay our price. We can wait on moving Davis if the right deal is there, but I think he goes if Stearns likes an offer. The thing about Stearns is that he doesn't seem looked in on getting a specific piece(s). He's not insisting on 'major league ready pitching' or a specific position. That allows him to make a deal a lot easier. As we saw with Lind, he was good taking low level guys.
  25. Matt Breen
    Lucroy, Garza, Scooter, Peralta rebound to 2014 form, Braun continues to hit, Davis keeps mashing like the end of last year, Nelson and Jungmann play solid ball, Davies emerges as a decent #5, bullpen thrives, Cecchini emerges as a competent 3B, one or two young guys step up, people stay healthy. That's how we do decent next year - if most of the above comes to pass. Of course, not all those wonderful things will happen - but they might. And they certainly might for a time frame of 50 games.
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