rickh150
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Everything posted by rickh150
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I tend to agree… but he still is going to drop a bit.
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If we buy, I’d like a key bat for this and next year… a FA after 2024 season. If we are trading a Frelick and change,I don’t want a rental. Any 1B, 2B, or 3B fit this?
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Yep. Still different.
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Both important… but 9th is different. There is a reason team’s best relievers pitch late.
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Thanks for bringing this up… almost forgot. Good ol Fangraphs has the Cards odds at 5.7% to make the playoffs…. Still about 4 times more likely to make the playoffs than that 2011 Cards team you are bringing up again on Sept. 1. That team went on to win the WS.
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Pitching the 6th and the 9th when leading by a couple are not close to the same thing…. LoL all you want.
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Earlier in games…
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Well, in the last week we have seen a couple of questionable bullpen moves late to say the least. Mejia inexcusably being used in a high leverage situation in the 8th is one. Even when he put a guy on in the 8th, CC could have gone with Payamps for 4 outs. Mejia could be good and all, but he is fringe for the time being pitching in a big division game late. The other is Bush and Pannone maddeningly pitching 8th and 9th in Pittsburgh. And now neither is with the Brewers. That is how fringe they were pitching late. I know our pen was used much and often, but I fail to see how these both had to be used late when both could have been used in other less tense bullpen situations earlier in the week. I fail to see why we ever should have fringe, unproven mlb pitchers in these situations (unless extra innings pushes it). Bryce Wilson has only thrown 6 whopping innings since June 22. He could have pitched in more games and longer in a pinch so others are fresh.. And yes, it was a pinch yesterday.. He could have gone longer. I also get that our pen has been through many close games in the last week plus, and that the year is long. I just believe it wouldn’t have taken much to have better pitchers pitching late in both of those games (June 30, July 6). Wilson’s useage and even Bush’s…. he didn’t pitch for 6 days before his debacle… could have put better pitchers in late game situations.
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Hiura pulled for pinch runner Monday.. hurt?
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Payamps has been really good.
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I say the Cards are not zero percent out of the playoff …9 or 10 percent chance yet, in that ballpark. Mathematically, everyone agrees Cards are still in it, even though a couple/few think the Cards have no shot. Fine and normal. I’m not sure where I go with this when everyone mathematically agrees with me. It’s like I’m supposed to say the Cards are out of it when they simply are not. Odds are really against them, though. Showing a recent Cardinal season (2011) of overcoming incredible odds to not just make the playoffs but win the World Series is seemingly too difficult for some to parallel.
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The percentages are all encompassing. Obviously.
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Had more blown saves than anyone in baseball in August and September…picking a scab here. The guys we traded for were the ringleaders. I am glad we backwards ourselves into five years of Contreras with this trade. Great job by Arnold. Stearns arguably could have still got us to the playoffs by simply keeping Lamet on the team, rather than preferring EVERY bullpen guy over him. Weirdly, DS and CC both talked him up the day before cutting him. Lamet then was throwing well for Colorado in 22. Scab picking.
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Thus the low percentage. It’s 8.5 out of 100, not 10. I agree with what you are saying. Great points. Low percentage. It seems like you want it to be even lower….4 or 5 %? I could see that too.
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Fangraphs has them at 8.5% now… I think this is about right. I disagree with the zero %.
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Way worse odds for Cards on Sept. 1 in 2011 than now to make playoffs… that team won the WS. So not zero percent now for Cards to make playoffs.
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https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/social-media/st-louis-cardinals-2011-world-series/5kcjsch2ylrjby4r#:~:text=On September 1%2C the Cardinals,of going all the way.
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So you have two months to make up three games… your argument is getting stranger. Cards have much better odds now than then…about 10 times more likely now. Yet, yes it is against huge odds. Just not zero.
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We are talking Sept. 1, 2011 compared to now…..you are so off that you change the date to June 30, 2011?
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So you are a zero % guy too? That is what you are saying?
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Waaaay tougher in 2011 on Sept. 1 for them to get in than now. I agree. Completely different. And now there are 3 Wild Cards.
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Again, it happened for them in 2011, and the odds were way more dire. Not even the All Star Break. It’s likely over for them, yes. But way to early to eliminate them. Remaining holdouts? You are looking to build a consensus that it is zero percent likely that the Cards make the playoffs? I think your lone call of zero % is the first.
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Good ol Fangraphs still have Cards at 9.1% to make playoffs STILL…. I’m Not convinced yet, especially with who is ahead of them. The division winner could realistically be 83-85 wins with NL Central playing less games in division this year, getting beat up by East and West. I won’t be calling them done before the break either. Still too early.
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I’d stick with Rea for at least two more outings. Houser plays a role in the pen- multiple middle innings guy who could pitch even more in a pinch. And Rea has shown enough in his entire body of work this season.
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Give us your best tips on watching a game at AmFam
rickh150 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Grab a Designated Driver coupon/freepop on the field level behind home plate. Let the kids throw, hit, and run in the kids area by the right field corner.
