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rickh150

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Everything posted by rickh150

  1. rickh150
    So they are 8.5 back without playing ANY good ball yet? Great point. Even better reason that they will stay in contention longer and finally play up to expectations. They can’t underperform all season.
  2. rickh150
    Think we are talking about simply being in contention for a playoff spot. So you bet different. Like ten times more likely now for Cards to get the 3rd WC or mediocre division than the team that got the lone wild card (and won the WS) in 2011.
  3. rickh150
    Like Cards having a better run differential than Crew when the Cards are awful with terrible pitching and defense?
  4. rickh150
    They just need to lose. Forget about standings. Cubs too.
  5. rickh150
    You are correct… 12.1% for playoffs. Still 10 times more likely than 2011 Cards to make playoffs.
  6. rickh150
    Sept. 1, 2011…. Out 10.5 games of wild card….Odds of Cards making playoffs= 1.7% Fangraphs JUNE 19, 2023…. Cards out 8.5 games for division, 10 for Wild Card….. Odds of making playoffs 28.8%… odds of winning the World Series THIS YEAR…1.7% Fangraphs
  7. rickh150
    They have been in it all season! Still! It’s June. Season ends Oct. 1. Sure it’s doubtful for Cards to make the playoffs or win the division, as opposed to likely or probable. It’s doubtful, like fangraphs has posted…16% to win division, 28% to make playoffs. That seems about right. Many here seem to think of it as less than 5% odds for each.
  8. rickh150
    10 and a half games out of the Wild Card on Sept. 1!!!!
  9. rickh150
    In the standings, you are wrong. Their position to make the playoffs were much worse on Sept. 1. Pitching and defense, I’ll hesitatingly agree. https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Social-Media/st-louis-cardinals-2011-world-series/5KCJSCH2YLRJBY4R#:~:text=On September 1%2C the Cardinals,of going all the way.
  10. rickh150
    https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds-graphs Fangraphs have more faith in Cards than Reds and Pirates… in a few days it would be Cubs too.
  11. rickh150
    So better than Milwaukee, yes. Run differential is a pretty good measure of a team, I feel the Brewers, Cards, and Cubs are the best three teams in the division and have no faith in the Reds and Pirates for 162 games.
  12. rickh150
    You must be too young to remember September and October of 2011.
  13. rickh150
    Their run differential is better than Milwaukee. Crazy to dismiss them. Of course not. Tons of season left. That is why I will cheer on the Reds and Pirates over the Cards til I dare say early September, at the earliest.
  14. rickh150
    Of course the Cards are going to get hot. They will be in the mix all season. Reds and Pirates have overachieved to the max.
  15. rickh150
    June 19 NL Central Run Differential (when Cards are 14 games under .500 and with Brewers in first place) Cubs +9 Cards -15 Brewers -16 Reds -19 Pirates -24
  16. rickh150
    Our lineup is a bunch of .230 hitters and we are in first place. Our bullpen is largely a bunch of unproven, cheap, young no names outside of Wiiliams….12th best ERA in baseball Our starters, many either hurt, in the minors, in the pen or doing worse than last year….12th best ERA Defense is a top five in baseball, and that tends to stay more consistent than other stats. With health to Woodruff and a few others, including Hiura and Frelick, and a few minor upgrades that should not cost tons of prospect capital, we are sitting in an excellent spot come mid-summer.
  17. rickh150
    Hence the name Bizarro World… Today, only 4 teams in bottom ten of payroll are in. Five teams in top ten are in playoffs… the 11th (SF) in as well. The list is balancing itself.
  18. rickh150
    I am actually ok with this. There is still dirt, right? And the new turf for even high school fields actually looks nice. This isn’t the Metrodome or SkyDome turf.
  19. rickh150
    The second half of 2004 was worse than any other above .500 All Star Break club in baseball history. The 2007 club flopped down the stretch. The 2008 was the same until after Yost. Those were the negatives, among the Soup pitched great comments. I questioned more of his moves than all other Brewers managers combined, I agree about the change of mindset with Yost though, after Attanasio bought the club and with Melvin adding key pieces. It was a major disappointment in 2007 when we caved to the Cubs and when we started losing down the stretch in 2008. The expectations were high even without playoffs in a quarter of a century. So there is some under appreciation there.
  20. rickh150
    It’s worth trying to get him going…I get it. The other options are not good either. Yet, he looks awful up there in the #2 spot.
  21. rickh150

    Soccer Thread

    rickh150 replied to homer's topic in Other Sports

    Defeating Mexico 3-0…. Away. Unthinkable.
  22. rickh150
    He’s hanging out of the dugout often… careless like his swing. Maybe too harsh, sure.
  23. rickh150
    William not up?
  24. rickh150
    Great snag and cheap next year. Can pencil him in to play 100 games at 3B and 30 games elsewhere next year.
  25. rickh150
    And again a .289 OBP to match the title.
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