The innings pitched is probably going to get Burnes in the end. If he is throwing 200 innings with similar stats, I think that would put him over the hill. Also, I side more often with overall results than analytic stats in season end awards. More Ks and less walks/hits is more dominant for sure. Yet… I easily favor a SP who pitches 8 innings, 7 hits, 1 ER, and 3 Ks OVER a guy who goes 6 innings, 5 hits, 2 ER, and 12Ks and more weak contact. The 2 extra innings and 1 extra run are a big difference between not using your pen and getting a team win. The first guy was less dominant and probably got by with more “luck”, but he pitched better. That being said, I would probably want the second guy pitching the future Game 1 of my playoff series…. because of the dominance. Fair or not, I side more often than not with the better ERA and IP for end of season awards.