nullbyte

Whoa. And nice call by Daron. Nice job, Doug.

I'm Mike Burns, Burns...

What? Two straight hits with RISP? Who are these guys in the blue jerseys?

http://www.russellrankings.com/null/erachart.gif I have no idea if that's useful, other than to show how goofy this team is http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif

Cool, thanks. Yeah, it's pretty wild, as I kind of expected. I wonder what a regression line would look like. You'd expect (over long term, for a normal team) it to have a slope of 1... something tells me the slope would be somewhat less. It'd be pretty embarrassing if it was negative http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif

Didn't want to litter the ML forum with a cross-post, but I think some people might find this interesting. Brewers Offense vs. Quality of Pitching (Are the Brewers good against good pitching and bad against bad pitching?) For today's game, they're 13-15 at outperforming league scoring average against pitchers with ERAs similar to Ramirez...

Yeah, those are all records against the spread. Basically, I just looked at the single-game ERAs for each section and went game-by-game to determine the record. So, for the six games against sub-2.50 ERA pitchers, it looks like this: Date Opp Pitcher ERA ER IP Game ERA W/L ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 Aug Hou R. Clemens 1.56 5 6.1 7.10 W (7.10 > 1.56) 2 Jul Pitt Z. Duke 1.81 3 7.0 3.86 W (3.86 > 1.81) 16 Apr Stl C. Carpenter 2.34 3 6.2 4.05 W (4.05 > 2.34) 27 Apr Stl C. Carpenter 2.34 3 7.2 3.52 W (3.52 > 2.34) 17 Jun Tor R. Halladay 2.41 4 6.0 6.00 W (6.00 > 2.41) 14 Jul Was J. Patterson 2.43 2 6.0 3.00 W (3.00 > 2.43) -------------Total------------ ? [b]20[/b] [b]39.2[/b] [b]4.54[/b] [b]6-0[/b] So for those six games the Brewers are 6-0. With a little more time, I might see how each pitcher's ERA breaks down by innings pitched (the question mark spot): their average ERA among them could be used to look for further trends, maybe...

This Florida series -- wins against Beckett and Burnett, and a loss to a relative no-name -- got me thinking. I wanted to see if, in fact, there really was a pattern: do the Brewers actually bat worse against below-average pitchers? Do they bat well against aces? I compiled a list of games so far this year (128, nice round number), and along with each: &nbsp &nbsp &nbsp &nbsp - The starter &nbsp &nbsp &nbsp &nbsp - The starter's ERA on the year &nbsp &nbsp &nbsp &nbsp - How many ERs the Brewers scored on the starter &nbsp &nbsp &nbsp &nbsp - How many innings the starter pitched and compared how well the Brewers score runs against different levels of pitching. For the purposes of this post, I'll call this "the spread": If the Brewers outperform the league average against a pitcher, they "win" against the spread. So, on to the results... ERA under 2.50 Brewers 6-0 ats Brewers score 4.54 ER/9 ERA 2.50-3.00 Brewers 6-5-1 ats (the "tie" was against Anthony Reyes of StL -- this was his only start of the year) Brewers score 3.29 ER/9 ERA 3.00-3.50 Brewers 8-5 ats Brewers score 4.84 ER/9 ERA 3.50-4.00 Brewers 9-13 ats Brewers score 3.54 ER/9 ERA 4.00-4.50 Brewers 14-9 ats Brewers score 5.02 ER/9 ERA 4.50-5.00 Brewers 13-15 ats Brewers score 4.58 ER/9 ERA 5.00-5.50 Brewers 2-5 ats Brewers score 3.86 ER/9 ERA 5.50-6.00 Brewers 5-1 ats Brewers score 8.38 ER/9 ERA 6.00-6.50 Brewers 3-3 ats Brewers score 6.75 ER/9 ERA 6.50+ Brewers 0-5 ats Brewers score 2.70 ER/9 (the upper number in the ERA range is inclusive; lower number is not) So those of us who have noticed how the offense generated is inversely proportional to the opposing pitcher's ERA... not crazy at all, at least on the extreme ends of the spectrum. The 0.50 ER/9 divisions are rather arbitrary, but maybe someone with some better Excel skills than me can make some graphics. The spreadsheet I used can be found here. Anyways, it's certainly not the most scientific analysis, but it sure looks like there's a bit of a pattern there. Makes me wonder what psychological factors are at play...

Doug Davis (9-9, 4.15 ERA, 1.33 WHIP) goes for win #10 for about the 37th time... against (pick a guy.. any guy....) Valdez! (1-1, 4.50 ERA, 1.55 WHIP in limited work) I'm hoping for the same lineup for the third game in a row.. and somebody get Bill Hall some pizza and tacos. And I wouldn't mind seeing some more of this: http://media.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/images/I40861-2005Apr09 (maybe later in the game, now..) edit: looks like it probably is Valdez --ja002h updated to reflect this --null

Yep. Must be something to do with how ezboard saves sigs.

Good analysis. 43.8% chance for a winning season is a pretty decent prospect. I can't tell you how scared I am of another collapse of some sort...

Yeah, I realized that later http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif Stupid thing is kinda goofy when you check/uncheck "Include custom signature".. doesn't always actually do anything. Down with ezboard!

Arguing makes me blue http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/frown.gif

Mmmm. Double-digit hits and runs.

These things: russian-crafts.com/nest/history.html

Looks like Messenger's just about lost it. Let's score some more http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif

HAHAHA. As soon as they cut to the 1st base shot, I knew he was gone.

Sub for Lo Duca -- my answer to your question is yes. For Lowell, no http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif

and again

test

Not 5? Whatever though, he's strugglin' http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif

Don't know about Gameday, but it was pretty low on TV http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif

Cripes. Seems like it's been two weeks since MLB.TV carried the Brewers telecast. But wait.. should I be complaining?

make sure the "eztags" thing is enabled right below where you enter it, then put and around it

Free video descriptions will be provided in the chat room. (Just join anyways, it's easier than game threads) http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif