adambr2
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Everything posted by adambr2
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No matter what happens, the monkey is off our back. We aren’t the chokers who can’t win a playoff series. It's over. And that’s going to give all these guys more confidence going forward. Also, I’m not saying we win the NLCS, but I’ll say one thing — I think we are going to be a better team for what we went through in Games 3 and 4 this series. And hopefully a better road team.
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I am so freaking happy. I don’t even care what happens next week. I know I will feel differently next week.
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You have two runs tonight because Blake Perkins and Joey Ortiz are your 8/9 hitters and you have given them repeated opportunities to hit in high leverage scoring situations tonight. If you lose this game, that is the story.
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Turang has been so disappointing.
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Needed for what? There is literally no bigger opportunity than coming up with the bases loaded.
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I’d rather be up 4-1 with Mona than have Joey’s defense up 2-1.
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Literally the one time all year I wanted Murphy to go to Jake Bauers in the worst way and he stuck with Ortiz. I will feel sick if that comes back to haunt us.
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Has nothing to do with Turang’s postseason performance or being “soft”. Pomeranz is a lefty killer. I was hoping we’d stack some RHB against him in the 1st.
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Pomeranz is pretty strictly a 1 inning guy. So with Vaughn at #5 you probably won’t even benefit from him facing Pomeranz, you’ll likely see a righty on the mound and have burned the first ABs of Turang and Yelich against a lefty specialist. Yeah, I just don’t like this strategy at all.
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Unfortunately because of Chourio’s hammy it sounds like him in CF is out of the question right now.
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You’re not going to start Bauers over Vaughn especially with a lefty opener. He’ll get into the game in some capacity later.
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So we have two lefties in our top 4 against Pomeranz, including Turang batting #2… (sigh)… guess we can forget about jumping out to a great start tonight. Ortiz at SS, so still have the black hole of Perkins/Ortiz at 8/9. At least Chourio is leading off. J Chourio (R) LF B Turang (L) 2B W Contreras (R) C C Yelich (L) DH A Vaughn (R) 1B S Frelick (L) RF C Durbin (R) 3B B Perkins (S) CF J Ortiz (R) SS
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I probably will not sleep at all tonight regardless, it’s just a matter of whether it will be from exhilaration or somber depression.
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I mean… by design, your highest leverage relievers are better than your best starting pitchers. Just in shorter spurts. We’re just desperately trying to have a clean start and go from there. I don’t know what being a two pitch pitcher has to do with anything. Most high leverage relievers are. Don’t get me wrong, it could go bad. But anyone could. We’ve used our best starting pitcher twice, our second best starting pitcher once, and our best lefty reliever once. Nothing has worked.
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Yeah I wouldn’t bat Turang inside the top 5. I think you can make a case for him at 9 if Mona starts for Ortiz. I can understand how you could still make the case for Yelich at #3,
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I like it for the regular season. I don’t think that’s going to put up a threat in the 1st against Pomeranz.
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So with Pomeranz starting, do we load up on righties in the lineup early on? Would it be absolutely crazy to start Mona, put him in the 2 hole between Chourio and Contreras, bat Vaughn cleanup and then switch Mona out for Ortiz maybe after his 2nd AB? Maybe even a double switch later to move Ortiz’ spot all the way down the order? Do we really want to waste the first ABs of Yelich and Turang against a reliever that obliterates lefties? Lot to consider here.
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I hope people are right about Yelich, but I guess I don’t know why anyone expects something big from him in a big moment just because he’s been here the most. With all respect intended for Yelich, he’s never exactly been Mr. October. Not bad, just nothing exceptional. Less power, more OBP, small sample size, of course. Smaller sample size, but Jackson Chourio has been the guy you want at the plate in October.
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Pomeranz destroys lefties. Leading Yelich off tonight would be complete malpractice, and I would not be opposed to keeping him, Turang, or Frelick out of the initial starting lineup, with the intent to add them after the first time through the order. Frelick and Turang should not be hitting in the top 5 if they are starting. I would lead Chourio off following by Contreras and Vaughn.
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Counsell: “We’re going to L.A after Milwaukee. Murphy: “To be in the position we're in, there's no validation. I just want to do this very badly. I don't think it validates -- what does that mean? Are we not good because we didn't win a playoff series after we got a bye in the first round by having the best record in the league? That's got to count for something. But I'm not going to think about that. I'm just going to plan for [Saturday] and plan on winning.” I don’t know. Maybe I am reading too much into this. There’s nothing inherently wrong with what Murphy said, but I wish he had just said they are going to win and left it at that. It feels like one guy is very confident and the other is leaving himself an out if things go south tonight.
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I mean the obvious one prior to that … they lost 3 games in a row to the Cubs in August.
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If there’s one thing Murphy is not, it’s dishonest. I just don’t see him saying that if he doesn’t mean it. I just don’t know what Counsell could possibly gain from that small bit of information anyway. It’s not like whoever he starts won’t see Yelich in the 1st inning either way.
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Brewers-Cubs NLDS Game Four Thread - 10/9/2025 @ 8:08PM
adambr2 replied to CheezWizHed's topic in Archived Game Threads
Someone pointed this out earlier, but the franchise is not in the same place as it was in 2011. 2011 was kind of a reawakening for the franchise, it was their first division title in decades. They had the one lone playoff appearance in 2008 then kind of took a step back in 2009 and 2010 before making some big moves and getting back in 2011. There wasn’t this deep rooted recent history of expectations, pain and repeated choke jobs that they have now. So while I don’t remember and can’t be sure, I don’t think there was the same sense of impending doom after games 3 and 4 in 2011. Disappointment to be sure, but it wasn’t like this where you almost become conditioned to expect failure. -
Abner is as good of an idea as any to start the game to me, with the understanding that it’ll probably backfire and we’ll be down 3 with Uribe already burned. I’m just jaded enough right now where I expect whatever plan we lay out there to blow up in our faces. I'm in the camp that doesn’t really care who closes tomorrow, if we are even in that position I would be thrilled. If we are up by 1 or more 3 outs away from winning and Robert Gasser is all we have left in the pen than so be it, I will take it.
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Unfortunately, you do reach a point where logic and probability take a back seat to historical precedent. There was no rationally based reason on October 3rd, 2024, to think that the Brewers 2-0 lead in the 9th inning of an elimination game at home against the Mets was in any danger of slipping away. The most sensible, well-thought out explanations of why we should win an elimination game don’t really mean anything to me anymore until it actually happens.
