It's not going to compromise the entire postseason if Burnes throws 122 pitches today. Unfortunately they didn't score for him at all so it was the only move to make.
If we score and it's still in fact, I would really like Burnes to get a chance to finish it this time if he feels ok and they feel that he can proceed safely. I understand his pitch count makes it unlikely, but I really would like to see him get a shot.
I have no problem with the call to go for 2. They were already in FG range after the punt if it weren't for the personal foul. That was the turning point.
Brewers/Cubs tiebreaker notes when they go into the final series of the year:
1) A 4 game or more lead would obviously render the series moot.
2) A 2 or 3 game lead would require a sweep by the trailing team to steal the division.
3) A 1 game lead by either team or a tie going into the series are all effectively the exact same thing - whichever team wins the series would win the division.
https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=franci000bow
https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/r/richatr01.shtml
These are the players we traded for Rowdy Tellez, who is a career lifetime 1.0 WAR player.
You're right, I'm totally dumb. I don't know why I was thinking they could go down 10.
That tweet is spot on. Going down back at your own 9 (10) almost guarantees your worst case scenario is getting the ball back down 8 with a chance to tie with a TD and a 2 with still almost 2 minutes left.
What a bizarre, but correct strategy. So unconventional I can't even blame Reid for not having thought of it in the moment.
Interesting, but a couple points:
1) No need to step out of bounds on a change of possession.
2) If you go down 10 you're pretty equally screwed so I don't know if that's really any better than allowing a 1st.
Here would have been my idea: run all the way back and take a safety. You're down 23-20 and now you can try an onside kick from the 20. If you get it, you can tie with a FG or win with a TD! If not, you're in no worse of a position -- Lions would have the ball on the edge of FG range and you still have a chance to beat them if they get stopped on 4th or kick a FG.
If we're talking about the same play, looked right in his hands to me.
As far as the 4th and 25, didn't really see a difference. Either way they needed a 3 and out on defense after, and didn't get it. Skyy Moore should have converted it, honestly.