It’s not though. The Brewers had 9 more wins than St. Louis at the start of today. Even if Milwaukee didn’t win again this year in the regular season they’d finished 91 and 71. The Cardinals have to go 9-2 to tie. Anything is possible, but the chances of the Brewers finishing the year with a 14 game losing streak and the Cardinals also winning 25 out of their final 27 games is in reality zero percent. Except the Brewers don't need to lose 14 in a row and the Cardinals don't need to win 25 of 27 from right now because a great portion of that has already happened. The Cardinals play the Cubs 7 times in their last 10. If they sweep us it is not that difficult to surmise them winning all 7 against the Cubs. Then we get the Dodgers in L.A. who most likely will still be playing for their division. If we get swept there, then even winning 2 out of 3 against the Mets, which hardly looks like a foregone conclusion, doesn't get us there. There are still a lot of things that have to go wrong and yes it is still a statistical improbability but when you look at each possible event independently, none of them are implausible.