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owbc

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Everything posted by owbc

  1. I prefer a combination of options (1) and (2) The easiest criteria to expand would be that if you are eligible for the win when you leave the game (5+ IP) then you get the win if your team wins the game, regardless of what happens in the later innings. For relievers I would be open to just dropping wins and losses entirely. Reliever wins are pointless and the blown save does a decent job of covering losses.
  2. Right, it doesn’t matter because the top 10% of earners that are driving the economy don’t care about a $1 or $2 increase in gas prices.
  3. He'll have no problem finding a MLB job at minimum salary after he clears waivers. I suppose it's always possible that he could decide he wants to stay with the organization and play in Nashville for a while but he's playing for a 2027 contract so he'll likely want to get on a MLB roster ASAP.
  4. The markets are completely detached from reality at this point. Nobody knows what the trigger will be to pop the bubble. Clearly the war/oil disruption wasn’t enough.
  5. This Cubs/Rockies game is a top notch hate watch on an off day. I almost feel bad for Counsell…almost.
  6. They won, so we're paying them to get oil flowing in time for the midterms.
  7. The market is looking for any reason it can to go up right now. SPCX is pumping to the moon, gonna be $420.69 by August.
  8. Miz is going to do to our pennant drought what CC did to our playoff drought.
  9. I wonder where this ranks on the all-time game score charts?
  10. Decent IPO for SPCX although the powers that be weren't going to let it be any other way. Next question is how long until the Tesla - SpaceX merger?
  11. I think this is really great perspective. So if the backlog truly is just a wait for compute to be built...how exactly is that backlog going to be cleared? Where is the electricity going to come from to power these data centers? What is going to be done about the massive backlash against their construction in the first place? Do we think that using natural gas to power these data centers is scalable? In the meantime, anyone who makes heavy use of the AI models (myself included -- like 75% of my job is interacting with an LLM now) knows that the current state of the technology is enough to replace cheap, junior employees or other low paid employees that do repetitive tasks. They can't understand complex problems and they never will because the context window required to do complex work (and corresponding energy requirements) are not feasible, at least not until we figure out quantum computing or build them in space next to some device that harnesses the energy of the sun. And since it's mostly cheap employees being replaced, if the technology gets any more expensive than it currently is, companies will just go back to hiring more headcount since there are tons of laid off people out there who will gladly take a low paying job to get back in the workforce. So all that says to me that like the dot com bubble, we're due for a massive correction to account for the realistic scale and timeline of the adaptation of this new technology. And all of the circular financing done to fund the capex buildout means that this could get really painful if the ROI is not there by X date. Yes, the ROI might come eventually, but if the promises are delayed to the 2030s when we have the compute, that will still be a big problem for the market. So, similar to the dot com bubble, the technology will be transformational in many ways, but this massive gold rush is going to collapse hard.
  12. There is a lot of speculation that MLB swapped in the juiced balls for this series (similar to Iowa, London, Mexico City, etc). Hard to disagree after what we’ve seen. I’m fine taking another L today and just getting the heck out of here.
  13. I'm reading a book about the dot com bubble right now. The current situation isn't quite the same but human nature hasn't changed and it's basically FOMO propping up the market right now as it did then. What scares me is back then there were also some awful IPOs like Priceline but the scale of them relative to the rest of the market was pretty small. This time we're talking like 2 or 3 IPOs and they've been bloated up much larger because there is more private equity available now. They are really only doing IPOs because the private investors have squeezed all the juice out so they are looking for another group of suckers in retail investors.
  14. It's going to take double digits to win this game
  15. They might be making adjustments after this series LOL
  16. Apparently they already have a humidor... Now I know why teams with PCL affiliates have their pitching prospects skip AAA... Fortunately the A's new stadium will be indoors which will hopefully mitigate this craziness. Cranking the A/C is the easiest solution.
  17. They had to stick with Ginn longer than they would have liked and it didn't work out
  18. 1st in runs per game 4th in least runs allowed per game That's a recipe for winning at a .640 clip For comparison, Atlanta: 4th in runs/game, 3rd in least runs allowed/game LAD: 3rd in runs/game, 1st in least runs allowed/game The Yankees are also top-5 in both categories despite being in 2nd place. Everyone else belongs in a lower tier for now.
  19. I’m fine punting this game to save pitching. We’ll probably get no hit through 7 and win 2-1
  20. I stayed up past my bedtime to see the end and I’m in Pacific time.
  21. And in the same vein, imagine the response 1-2 years from now when someone says "We actually discussed whether or not to give Jake Bauers a QO"
  22. Unfortunately JP's defense fails the eye test -- he makes all the routine plays but his range is shot, DRS is worst in the league. He has mentioned he is open to moving to 3B but that would be a 2027 thing. Since this post the Mariners have moved into first place so he's not getting traded this year.
  23. The dream would be a Cubs desperation trade for Skubal that sends their top prospects to the AL and doesn't get the Cubs over the hump.
  24. Personally I think there are better uses of that QO money.
  25. These sections are designed to be a tier above club levels since they are all-inclusive. You're right that the Brewers could have sectioned off part of the 300 club for this but apparently they decided the ROI on the close seats was better. The 300 club is too high up and lacks energy, I never liked sitting there either. I've been in the Washington Nationals' version of the diamond seating (didn't pay for it) and I was underwhelmed. I appreciated the close seats but otherwise the food was little better than the quality of an airport lounge. I feel bad for the regular fans that will get booted for a section that is designed for businesses to comp seats to preferred guests, but it is what it is and the Brewers gotta make a buck where they can.
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