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owbc

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Everything posted by owbc

  1. owbc
    Everything the Brewers do is by design, there's no way that is a coincidence.
  2. owbc
    It's not in the mainstream because the investigative reporting was done by a Twitter user. The mainstream stories will come, give it time, needs to be more of a story than line items in financial filings. From the MLB owners' perspective, I have no doubt that they let all of this happen to push the salary cap narrative. Surely people knew about the revenue sharing manipulation. Surely other teams are also trying to hide revenue or at least exploiting loopholes. There will be repercussions.
  3. owbc
    Crisis averted for now
  4. owbc
    We're playing with fire, someone on the Mariners is going to get ahold of one.
  5. owbc
    He earned himself a longer leash with his glove and it paid off.
  6. owbc
    The effort delta between Milwaukee and Seattle is striking. A little light jogging by the outfielders and Mitchell has the extra base on a play that wasn't even close.
  7. owbc
    The daily lineup would be set on whatever happened in the last at-bat of the previous game 🤣
  8. owbc
    Joey wouldn't be on the roster if the critics had their way.
  9. owbc
    The most reassuring thing about this series is that we didn't trade for any of Seattle's arms.
  10. owbc
    I wonder what the other owners think of this. The Dodgers have been a useful data point in favor of a salary cap, but that argument is probably going to die if it turns out they used fraud to pay for a big chunk of their contracts. And on top of it they were basically stealing money that should have gone to other teams via revenue sharing. For now we have to let the investigation play out but I suspect the Dodgers are going to have a new owner when this is over.
  11. owbc
    Let’s move on
  12. owbc
    Maybe we should have been satisfied with 13-0 last night 😂
  13. owbc
    It's very good that this came out prior to the offseason CBA negotiations. If I understand it right, there are two separate-but-related pieces to this. (a) As reported above, the discovery that the Dodgers are manipulating revenue sharing by deducting the media debt off local revenue. That is obvious revenue sharing manipulation that needs to be addressed. Will it be? I don't know. (b) The illegal debt servicing being uncovered, forcing Walter to liquidate assets. The fact that he attempted to buy out his sweetheart TV deal suggests that the situation is very, very serious. I'm not sure how this is all going to play out but this could be the beginning of the end of the dynasty. Is Skubal going to sign long term with the Dodgers? Two weeks ago we all assumed they were the favorite. Now? There's no way Walter is going to be able to finance another long term contract with all this going on. Fun X-factor -- Ohtani has a clause that he can opt out if the Dodgers ownership changes hands. I highly doubt that he would, but considering that he gets most of his income through off-field sponsorships, I could see him wanting to jump the sinking ship if things get really bad...
  14. owbc
    There's a high bar for success in MLB and an ever higher bar for sustained success. And then with starting pitchers in particular, injuries are more common than ever before. Look our 2024 team. A 93 win team that allowed the 4th least runs per game in MLB. There are only two players who started games for the Brewers in both 2024 and 2026 -- Gasser (5 starts in 2024, 12 starts in 2026) and DL Hall (7 starts in 2024, 1 start in 2026). No overlap in the regular 5-man rotation between the two years.
  15. owbc
    You joke, but thinking about this in Brewers "optimization" terms, you ideally want to achieve your desired playoff spot by exactly 1 game. Finishing with a 5-10 game lead means you wasted opportunities to rest and conserve energy for the postseason. In reality you need a cushion because you can't anticipate the future, but it's understandable why load management becomes a thing as soon as you have a comfortable lead, even if it makes the fans queasy when the competition starts narrowing the gap.
  16. owbc
    The AL is so, so bad this year.
  17. owbc
    It is, but I thought maybe I would feel bad for Seattle 😂
  18. owbc
    As a fan of both of these teams I probably shouldn’t be enjoying myself as much as I am
  19. owbc
    I was just thinking “wouldn’t it be funny if Slappy homered”
  20. owbc
    Yelich homers and Dan Wilson is one day closer to being fired. Win-win.
  21. owbc
    That was quite the play, I hope Bauers is ok.
  22. owbc
    If PCA wins MVP and Miz wins the Cy, it will be the first time since 2005 that both the MVP and Cy Young came out of the NL Central.
  23. owbc
    They are optimized to win at their home ballpark where they have a .580 win percentage since the start of 2022. That compares with a .486 road winning percentage over the same period. For comparison, the Brewers are .607 at home and .544 on the road since 2022.
  24. owbc
    The Mariners' bats have shown signs of life in the past week. They just scored 20 runs on 35 hits in three games in Houston which I would argue was their best offensive series of the entire season. The Astros have a bottom-10 pitching staff so I wouldn't expect them to repeat that output against the Brewers. Raleigh is still dangerous despite his atrocious numbers, his struggles appear to be mental. Vic Trap series for the Brewers. Seattle still considers themselves to be in the playoff race and they have the easiest September schedule in MLB in September, so they are sitting around 35% playoff odds despite their 59-66 record. The starting pitching matchups are about even in this series. The Seattle bullpen is a weakness so the Brewers need to get the starters out of the game early and do damage against their middle relievers.
  25. owbc
    Didn’t they do this for the first half of the season and were on a 105 win pace?
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