owbc
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Everything posted by owbc
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At one point I wondered how so many SF Giants fans could support Barry Bonds, but after reading several of the Braun threads, I now understand. It's not Bonds' fault that he took PEDs to break the home run record. Cheating has always been a part of the game, he was just keeping up with everyone else, it was unlikely that he was going to get caught, and fans/media are self-righteous for suggesting that the game is somehow disgraced by having a cheating superstar. Since there's never going to be a perfect drug test, 762 is the home run record and there's nothing that can be done about it. Winning is what really matters in sports.
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Clayton Kershaw Extension - 7 Years $215 Million
owbc replied to Warning Track Power's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
$30 million per year isn't really that much money. The Dodgers will at least triple the Brewers' payroll this year, so it would be the equivalent of the Brewers signing someone to a 7 year/$70 million deal or so. When you think about it, it isn't even that much of a risk. The Dodgers have so much money that the price doesn't matter, especially for the best young pitcher in the game. Even if Kershaw doesn't opt for free agency he will be just 32 at the end of this deal. The Brewers have nothing to worry about, they were always priced out of these types of deals. Teams like the Giants should be very concerned, since they used to have a payroll similar to the Dodgers but are now suddenly being outspent by $100 million per year. -
Wisconsin goes down! Huge game by Yogi Ferrell on Indiana, Wisconsin missed some wide open 3's during Indiana's big run in the second half. They let a winnable game slip away, but in the long run it will be nice to have the undefeated season/winning streak talk over sooner rather than later.
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I knew he looked familiar... http://img.gawkerassets.com/img/19cgddddwvfmxpng/ku-xlarge.png
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They were priced out of the earlier FA signings, got nothing at the winter meetings, and now it's a little too early to start picking off the scrap heap. Usually they try and do something before single game tickets go on sale, but 2012 and 2013 were disappointments and the 2014 roster is worse on paper than either of those two seasons. Management knows the odds, which is why they didn't bother taking a risk on an expensive 1B. I think they are acting appropriately, but they definitely are thinking about future seasons now.
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Is Rickie Weeks the biggest disappointment in Brewers history?
owbc replied to molitor fan's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Yes, that's what makes Sheets and Weeks so frustrating. They could have been the best pitcher and best hitter in team history. Both had their moments, but will mostly be remembered for what could have been. -
Is Rickie Weeks the biggest disappointment in Brewers history?
owbc replied to molitor fan's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Weeks is a tough one. Behind Gantner he's the second best 2B in team history, although you could make a case for Vina. Weeks has shown flashes of brilliance and had some awful extended slumps. Injuries were a huge problem, he's only played two full seasons. Overall, his stats are mediocre, especially when you consider that he was supposedly a can't miss, 5 tool prospect, etc. He seems to be introverted and doesn't have the fan-favorite type of personalty which doesn't help either. There are a lot of parallels with Carlos Gomez--the raw talent is clearly there but we still don't know if Gomez will maintain his success or fade like Weeks did. Ben Sheets might be the #1 disappointment for me. He had Cy Young, hall of fame stuff and after that brilliant 2004 he never could stay off the DL long enough to put together a full season. Then in 2008 he got really hot, 5 CG and 3 shutouts, and he goes down in September right when the Brewers were poised for a World Series run. Sheets never threw another pitch for the Brewers, Suppan got bumped into the playoff rotation, and the rest is history. I tend to think of the guys that never had any success in the majors in a separate category. -
The committee mostly uses RPI for bubble teams and that leaves Marquette way out of the tourney at this point. What do they have, like one win against the top 100? How are they going to win 10 or even 8 conference games when they haven't been able to beat anyone? Right now they are a low seeded NIT team at best, so they seriously need to start getting wins to even get back in the bubble conversation.
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2014 Baseball Hall of Fame Class
owbc replied to ReverendBrewmeister's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I don't understand the criticism of the voters. Using the 75% criteria, the Deadspin fans basically agreed with the BBWAA. So having a fan vote would change nothing, ultimately it is the super-majority 3/4 vote that is the issue. It's also why the HOF is such a "hallowed" place because getting 75% of the vote for anything is hard. The other huge problem is that there are no criteria. Everyone just compares the candidates to previous HOFers, but there is room for debate on almost everyone. This has always been an issue on things such as the unanimous first ballot, but now that 1/3 of voters think that anyone even remotely linked to PEDs is out, the ballot has gotten clogged and the flawed process is apparent to everyone. The easy solution is to just get rid of the super-majority: 50.1% and you're in. There will still be disagreements, but those groups will actually be in the minority. -
Wisconsin sure looks like final-four contenders but as always, the tourney draw is crucial. A one-seed and a trip to Milwaukee would be huge but there are three potential 1-seed candidates in the B10. The RPI advantage over MSU and OSU will help and they play both only at the Kohl Center. If there was ever a year to make it to the final-four, this is it. Several of the usual final-four teams are weaker than most years. Less potential for getting upset because of the balanced offense. We know they can beat good teams, but can they beat elite teams?
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The latest Bracketology has Wisconsin as a #1 seed. The Iowa game will be a big test to see if Wisconsin deserves that high of a ranking. Meanwhile, Marquette beat DePaul with a second half rally but they have to be considered a long shot to make the NCAA tourney at this point.
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I was in first grade in 1994, I still remember the principal coming on the loudspeaker to cancel school the next day. I think we got at least 2 days off for that one. Schools will definitely be closed on Monday.
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Very cold temperatures on Monday. Milwaukee: low -15, high -7; Madison: low -25, high -15, northern WI should be well below -30 F on Sunday night. Cold air arrives during the Packer game on Sunday--it will probably be the second coldest game ever (behind the Ice Bowl)--temperature starting around -5 dropping to below -10 by the end of the game, wind chill -25 to -40. This one is probably the coldest since Feb 3, 1996 when Madison had a low of -29. There was also a prolonged period of cold in Jan 1994.
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The next cold wave looks like the coldest one in at least a few years. Madison might be able to get a low below -20 F sometime around the 5th-7th. Highs stay below 0 for a couple days.
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Fun fact: Jamey Wright is the last active member of the infamous 2002 Brewers. Considering I referred to him as "Jamey Wrong" at the time, it's quite an accomplishment. He was 5-13 for the Brewers that year before being sent to the Cardinals for a bag of balls.
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Rangers sign Shin-Soo Choo: 7-yr/$130mil
owbc replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Judging by recent deals, I don't think they care. The price tag is for the rest of his career and they would rather have more money at the end of the deal when it will be worth less (assuming salaries continue to grow at an insane rate). The Gomez contract now looks like an absolute steal. He might not match his 2013 offensive numbers again, but his glove doesn't slump. -
All the snow is coming from that area of precipitation in Iowa/Missouri/Kansas which is headed straight for Wisconsin. The other area is associated with the warm front and is mostly mixed precipitation. Timing does look delayed, the main event won't make it to Milwaukee until well after midnight, maybe close to sunrise (edit: I fail at nowcasting, it's snowing everywhere now). That's kind of surprising and could result in even lower totals than the current 5-8" forecast. The models did want to make the storm stronger yesterday but overall it never looked all that impressive (see my post on Dec. 19). It's kind of a shame because it had an extremely strong jet stream to work with but the timing didn't work out for it to phase nicely. All those thunderstorms are also stealing its moisture.
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Generally the same forecast as before, 6-8" or so. The totals on the edges are more in question. See map from the NWS below. Start time is 10 PM-midnight, the bulk of the snowfall will come overnight and early tomorrow morning. Have fun! http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/mkx/snowaccum/SnowMap_WI.png
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The latest models have come in a little stronger, 6-9" with the max around Milwaukee. No snow at all for the northwest 1/2 of the state. Heaviest around sunrise Sunday. Travel not recommended Sunday morning. It's also snowing in Seattle this morning!!!!! Our 4 hours of winter have arrived.
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For a panhandle hook storm, it doesn't look very impressive. Warm, fast moving, and weakening as it moves away. All of the snow will fall in about 8 hours and in a relatively narrow band. 6-7 inches will be the maximum, other areas will mix with rain and be lucky to get 4 inches.
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It's basically a way to make the popular (weekend) games more expensive and to reduce the profit from scalping tickets to those games. It's like airplane tickets--buy early to save money, especially for the popular games. I'm wondering how they plan on making more money since demand is going to be very low in 2014. Last year there wasn't a single crowd above 40,000 after the all-star break.
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Maybe Kohl finally realized that he is a big part of the problem, similar to when Selig finally decided to sell the Brewers. Or maybe he's just trying to raise capital. The new court was nice and generated some buzz. It was a step in the right direction. Getting the draft pick will help, but it might be too late. I feel like the whole thing is moving too slowly. They have less than four years to have the new building finished which means they have two years at most remaining before they have to break ground. The taxpayer opposition is greater than usual, public financing isn't going to happen. But the city/state can still help with site acquisition, infrastructure, and other types of minor benefits. It's going to be hard to raise $400 million or whatever is required for a new arena. I hope Kohl is planning on putting most of the money he makes from selling ownership stakes into the new arena. If they can get a full proposal in place including a site, renderings, and a large part of the financing, there might be some hope for the public to cover the rest. I don't support the public paying the majority of these projects but there's no doubt a new arena would benefit Milwaukee and it's reasonable to expect some sort of contribution.
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I know Francisco makes the most sense offensively, but he really needs to be sent to the AL and never allowed to touch a glove again. Not to mention that he strikes out more than Adam Dunn. Seriously, he wouldn't have cracked the starting lineup on the 2002 team. But that being said, it's not worth spending ten times the money on someone slightly less awful.
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I figured it would happen but this is a disaster for any slim chance the Brewers had at competing in 2014. They needed to have Hart back and he needed to have a big year. First base was a embarrassment in 2013 and we now have another season of that to look forward to. Or, alternatively, we will end up paying even more (prospects or multi-year contracts) for a mediocre fill-in. Plus the Mariners took LoMo also so even the other high-upside option is gone. Yikes.
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According to the article, Jack Z did the complete opposite, he berated Blengino in front of his superiors when he made statistically-based presentations. I don't doubt the track record of Jack Z in Milwaukee--but it's clear from the Mariners' trades and personnel decisions that upper management does not value advanced statistical analysis. Maybe Zduriencik did in Milwaukee. We don't know. Maybe he just did whatever his scouts told him without understanding the reasons. Obviously there are plenty of GMs who know statistical analysis well enough to get the idea. The GM doesn't crunch the numbers but he has to know what to do with them.
