owbc
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Everything posted by owbc
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I agree. The bigger cities also tend to be loaded with transplants. No offense to Wisconsin, but it's not a destination that people move to, other than Madison which is always churning people because of the university. Wisconsin is also up there in the 'state pride' rankings -- people who live in Wisconsin are proud of being from Wisconsin and cheer for Wisconsin sports teams. Texas is the only other state I've visited that is comparable. We've had that debate on the forum before with some arguing that one can't be a fan of multiple teams, but anyone who is a transplant knows that you tend to keep your hometown team and gradually pick up the local team as well, especially if the local team is not a rival of your hometown team. I don't think it is especially unusual for different sports to have different fanbases. NFL and MLB have the most overlap. The NBA audience is younger, diverse, urban, international. I've worked with a number of Chinese colleagues who have heard of Milwaukee because of the NBA but know nothing about any of the other American sports. Milwaukee doesn't have an NHL team but in my experience that is another sport that attracts a completely different demographic in many places.
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The NFL obsession is off the charts in Wisconsin. Ive never been anywhere else where it was so far above the other sports.
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Once Ohtani signs the floodgates will open.
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I agree that it would be harder to pull off, but not impossible. As noted above, they have figured out the WBC and the fans love it. if you dangle a playoff spot as an incentive then I could see teams moving around their rotation to win those games. As with the NBA, they don't really need to change the schedule much at all. Draft 4 pools and then play 'best of 3' series using the existing 3-game series in the schedule. Best series record wins the pool. Then, just set a flex week in the schedule in late summer to play the semifinals and finals, everyone else plays their regularly-scheduled games. All four semifinalists automatically win all postseason tiebreakers in exchange for having to play an unbalanced schedule. The tournament winner gets the automatic playoff spot which is the 3rd wild card if they wouldn't have otherwise made the postseason as a higher seed.
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What is the prize for winning the NBA one, other than the bonus for the players? Does the winner get a playoff spot?
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Exactly, they are just keeping open the possibility that he gets outplayed in spring training and there's no reason to put unneeded pressure on him to immediately live up to the contract. Realistically, the odds are >90% that he'll be in the lineup on Opening Day. -
His struggles are almost entirely mental. No shortage of talent, he's just trying too hard. For that reason he was easy to cheer for and quite popular with the fans in Seattle. A change of scenery to a more hitter friendly ballpark will help. Kelenic was being shopped last winter as well and I was hoping the Brewers could find a way to flip Wong for him, but we ended up with Winker instead. I assume we would have needed to take one of these crappy contracts to get him and we don't have the payroll flexibility that the Braves do. Plus we don't need outfielders anymore.
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I appreciate you talking me off the ledge here, but in the end it depends what they do with the money in free agency, which remains TBD. In my view the Mariners shouldn't need to operate with a Milwaukee Brewers level of frugality, but that's the situation their fans are stuck with. Given their salary constraints, the Robbie Ray contract is an abomination...and they are now rumored to be interested in Matt Chapman because even with their newfound $30 million savings, they are still rumored to be out on Soto and Ohtani.
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What would you do if you lost your right fielder to free agency and your left fielder is a 24 year old coming off of a 2 WAR / .745 OPS age 23 season with 5 years of team control remaining? Would you use him to dump $20M in salary, thus creating vacancies at both corner outfield positions?
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It makes more sense than Ohtani since it would fill the hole they just created. I strongly feel that Kelenic is a late bloomer and they just sold low on him…and especially since it was to the Braves who know what they are doing.
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The Mariners are clearly going to make some sort of expensive acquisition but I have zero confidence in it being a smart one. What kind of idiot GM gives away Kelenic for $20M in salary savings?
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I don’t think this is that hard based on what the committee says they value and what the rankings were prior to this week. Michigan, Washington, Georgia, Texas. Maybe you can make an argument for Alabama over Georgia but Texas really messed things up by making it impossible for Alabama to get in without Texas as well. Washington is a lock.
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Impressive how quickly this team is coming together.
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Yep, Chourio is going to lead us to the promised land. We can come back to this thread when he sends Counsell and the Cubs packing in the postseason.
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One comparison worth noting is that Julio Rodriguez struggled in the leadoff spot in 2023 and moving him down helped get him out of his slump -- the argument was that he gets to watch a couple other guys face the opposing pitcher first instead of having to be the first one up. So I think having Chourio standing there in the on deck circle watching Yelich do his thing is the right move.
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Robert Jr is an interesting comparison because he raked in the minors like Chourio is currently doing. He wasn’t an instant all-star in MLB like Carroll and Rodriguez but now that he had his breakout year those $20M club options are going to be no brainers.
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I can’t believe this is even a debate, we’re staring a franchise altering superstar right in the face and we have the potential to lock down his entire prime. The only Brewers prospect worth comparing to is Robin Yount, nobody else has done what Chourio has done as a TEENAGER. And we’re going to be paying $0 of his age 30+ years while doing him a favor by getting his service time clock going a year early. We just can’t be cheap and let this chance slip away. As several have said, soon as he hits the majors and starts producing, the price doubles or he simply won’t sign. Do it now.
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Yeah I agree on second thought -- but I still would be shocked to see Chourio sign for less than $150M. What's the point of risking hundreds of millions in earnings if you are not getting a huge guaranteed paycheck up front?
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While I am excited about this potential, I hate that service time is mentioned as a reason for doing this. It makes me think that the leak is from Chourio's agent. It's tough to find a good comp. Carroll signed at age 22, Julio Rodriguez signed at 21. Chourio is slated to hit the bigs at just barely 20. Rodriguez benefited greatly from waiting a bit -- he's essentially signed to a lifetime contract that is likely to end up in the $300-400M range. It will be interesting to see how many years we are talking here -- I can't imagine the Brewers would sign a contract with the escalators needed to do a career contract, so we're probably talking about buying out one or two years of free agency for maybe a $150-200M pricetag.
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Michigan fired Carr because he lost a few in a row to Ohio State...then Michigan went 1-10 in the next 11 matchups after firing him. And then Michigan nearly fired Harbaugh for the same reason. Pure insanity.
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They certainly seem to think they can make a playoff run in 2024 and they have made themselves quite a bit better. They added a couple wins simply from Wainwright not being on the 2024 roster and now they've added a Cy Young caliber arm in Gray. Lynn remains a bit of a head scratcher for me. I tend to agree that the hill remains steep, I wonder if they are still operating under the assumption that the devil magic can somehow turn back the clock on these aging arms. I operate under the assumption that without Yadi around they can expect these guys to keep getting worse. On the flip side, they could just be positioning themselves to get their season ticket holders to renew before selling most of the roster at the end of July.
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For a final four contender like Marquette the result today doesn’t really matter, especially since they beat Kansas. Purdue is playing like they have something to prove this year, best to cross paths with them in November and not when it matters.
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This is largely a salary dump by Seattle -- looks like Luis Urías will start at 3B for them in 2024.
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My objection is that market rate for someone like Lance Lynn is absurd.
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If that's what $10 million buys you in free agency, I want nothing to do with it. The best I would have offered Lynn is a non roster invite.
