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owbc

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Everything posted by owbc

  1. I'm sure this will go over well...
  2. I like this better than some of the other options like Candelario and Teoscar Hernandez. I assume the Mets are picking up some salary. Canha+Santana is a nice combination and of course the Brewers love positional flexibility.
  3. Details TBD. Edit: sounds like Justin Jarvis may be the return.
  4. Solar and wind are both cheaper than fossil fuels when you account for oil/gas being heavily subsidized by tax incentives as well. Solar is now the cheapest energy in history. The issue has always been storage but that has been pretty much figured out as well. There is an environmental cost for everything -- at this point it's clear that the #1 priority is to get net CO2 emissions close to zero by the middle of the century so if there are other externalities from mining, manufacturing, etc we'll just have to deal with that. We're never going to see the average person fueling their car with hydrogen (who would want to do that when home charging is so easy), but hydrogen produced by nuclear to power heavy machinery has potential. The main issue with nuclear continues to be the cost relative to other green energy sources. I know much of that cost is caused by people being irrationally scared of nuclear, but that's a real problem that has to be solved to scale it.
  5. Preller doesn't really know what he's doing, so can we come up with a package that has good optics but is actually garbage? Do we have top-100 prospects that we think are overrated? And throw in some fillers so he can get the headline of having traded Soto for like 8 players. Realistically I think we might be on the 'trade for Soto' bus one year from today when the price will be better.
  6. I just wonder what problem we're trying to solve here. We have left field solved right now for the next 5 years with Yelich around. If Yelich was a FA right now he would sign for at least 5/135 if not more. And we don't have a replacement in the pipeline if we got rid of him.
  7. At least here in Seattle they already switched all of the garbage trucks over to natural gas.
  8. We haven't figured out how to mass produce hydrogen with green energy. The pressing need to reduce CO2 emissions in the next 1-2 decades means that we have to do it first by scaling mature technologies and making incremental improvements from there. In the short term we don't have the time to hope that emerging technologies can take over. As we move into the 2040s/2050s some of these other less advanced technologies may take over. So in the short term it's going to be the age of the Lithium-Ion battery -- not just for cars either but also for mass storage of wind and solar power. Texas is already doing this and is scaling it quickly. It is also being done on the scale of individual homes. Solar in particular has gotten incredibly cheap and the batteries solve the main problem with generation depending on the sun and weather. Some interesting news yesterday with major automakers investing $1 billion in an EV charging network. I have a feeling we're going to start to see superchargers popping up everywhere in the next few years -- especially at restaurants/retailers along major highways.
  9. I doubt he has any value in the trade market, especially with the NTC, so this would be a pure salary dump. Keep him.
  10. Looks like Fleck is the latest B10 coach to be under the microscope for inappropriate locker room behavior.
  11. Baseball savant tells me that about half of Tim Anderson’s struggles are due to him hitting literally everything on the ground (he has 0 HR this year) and the other half is plain old bad luck. His xWOBA is 40 points above his actual wOBA and 40 points below where it has been in the last 3-4 seasons. It also lists 2018 Jonathan Schoop as a similar batter and we all know how that went. Hard pass.
  12. We're over 30 expected plaintiffs now!
  13. What’s your threshold for number of different sports and number of lawsuits before this is no longer “relatively minor”. Seems like the floodgates are in the process of opening. Criminal charges appear possible as well for failure to report hazing of minors.
  14. Hard pass on Cron, he can’t hit outside of Coors Field. I do have interest in Charlie Blackmon. Moustakas is also having a bit of a resurgence with Colorado but that feels more like a mirage. Blackmon is old but is still a good hitter and should be back from his hand injury soon. He’s what we thought Winker could be.
  15. I'm entirely serious when I say he could win MVP in both leagues in that scenario.
  16. I wonder if Ohtani's pursuit of 62 HR is going to be what keeps him in an Angels uniform through the end of the year. The Angels would have to be crazy to trade someone in the middle of the greatest season in baseball history. Who cares about the playoffs?
  17. Add it up! 4.0 oWAR, 2.5 pitching WAR, and -0.8 dWAR this year (not sure if I trust that last number). The other thing about Ohtani is that he's one guy taking up two roster spots. So in theory he also lets you have an extra guy on your team. But that's also the real risk -- if he gets injured then you're down your best hitter and best pitcher. If we ever want to see Ohtani in a Brewers uniform, this would be the time to do it. The turning point of this franchise was trading for CC Sabathia. We probably shouldn't do it, but it sure would make for a fun few months :)
  18. Why would any good candidate be interested in the NU job? There's clearly a serious lack of intuitional control given the issues across multiple sports and the AD is in damage control mode right now. I wouldn't touch that program until they have cleaned house at the higher admin levels.
  19. The nice thing about EVs is that you rarely use the brake pedal. You wouldn't need it in stop/go traffic. Or if you have a Tesla you can have autopilot drive the car in that situation.
  20. The formula for EV transition is well known. You start with the luxury vehicles because they have higher margins and then you roll out the lower priced models a few years later. Everyone has them in the pipeline now. The Tesla Model Y is the #1 selling car in California. People are buying Teslas because they have the supercharger network. There is little demand for EVs that do not have a supercharger network, which is currently all EVs except Teslas. Toyota's strategy is risky. They are benefitting from people having range anxiety right now. Soon everyone is going to have access to Tesla's superchargers and every other charger will use the same plugs. It blows my mind that Toyota doesn't have a full EV Prius yet. They need to get those solid state batteries ramped up in production by the end of the decade at the latest. I'm in the market for an EV crossover. We currently have a plug-in hybrid SUV and it sucks (although 63 mpg is pretty good for an SUV). We regret not buying a Tesla.
  21. I was browsing the Padres' depth chart and was thinking that Jake Cronenworth might be a decent candidate...age 29, having a down year, probably up for free agency soon. Then I realized the Padres threw $80 million at him a few months ago. What in the world is Preller doing in San Diego?
  22. In my view the biggest risk in repaying federal student loans too soon is that I would miss out on a forgiveness program. I didn't quality for the $10K forgiveness so that one was no personal loss to me, but various other options have been floated that I would have qualified for. I'm especially interested in proposed reductions to interest rates or accrued interest. I don't know how you estimate earnings potential from a college or college major. The biggest issue was people who took the loans and then didn't finish their college degree. Some of the people in the worst financial shape with loans are doctors and lawyers.
  23. Everyone I've worked with in recent years takes electronic debit with no fees. If they don't do it yet they will soon. I wrote one check in 2022 and one in 2021. The one in 2022 was to the IRS (oops, underpaid on my taxes). None so far this year. My checks have an address on them from a place that I moved out of in 2016. I have 9 checks left so that should get me through the rest of this decade.
  24. They have been failing the eye test since April. I'm still waiting for someone to confess that Yadi was actually managing the Cardinals for the entire 2010s. It's only a matter of time until an "anonymous former teammate" admits it to some reporter...
  25. Make the trade on Sunday and Alonso shows up to the home run derby on Monday in a Brewers uniform?
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