Where this whole issue breaks down is the assertion that any of the sabermetric theories/hypothesis are correct. I'll be a believer when I see the proof. This is a good point... I like Dave Bush -- I think though he is going to have a 5.00+ ERA for awhile... here are my observations. 1.) I think that there are some Booshapologists on this site -- which is AOK -- the funny thing is, is that while 2007 gets discounted as a small sample, -- I am puzzled on how definitive his "career history" is considered, when in all reality it is a small sample as well (IMO). He has started for 2 seasons, one in the AL, one in the NL, it's not as if Dave Bush has a log like Sheets or Suppan. Therefore I tend to weigh 07 a lot heavier than others do. 2.) "Bush is unlucky" -- which of course is entirely nothing more than handwaving at his bad results this year. Bloop singles and bad plays by Bill Hall are often brought up -- and to take a page out of the sabredudes book "you aren't remembering the good plays" that our D makes, or the times when a batter misses a ball by a quarter inch and drives it to the warning track, instead of the bleachers. If someone wants to claim Bush is unlucky I thing a more robust charting would need to happen. I think Russ says "Bush is no more than a solid back of the rotation pitcher" -- If I quoted Russ's thoughts correctly -- I would agree 100%. I agree that Bush is a MLB quality starter, and I would also concede, that perhaps he has a higher ceiling -- but I think Bush is going to have to change/improve rather waiting for the universe to regress. I've been contending all along that Bush is leaving a lot of off-speed/90mph pitches high in the zone -- he makes me cringe a lot -- even in his last outing -- there were a lot of high pitches that got taken to OF gaps. It really is not a mystery to me why Bush's results have been poor this year, and why he is not one of our best starting option -- MLB hitters crush pitches high in the zone. As a side note -- I think K/BB and related metrics are often used inappropriately as well. K's are not always the best, and BBs are not always the sign of a struggling pitcher. I am just as happy when a pitcher retires a batter on one pitch than striking him out on 3. Pitchers can be dominating w/o striking out a lot of batters. I think Bush's K/BB stats are misleading some, -- in my opinion of course. I think Gallardo/Villy could likely provide better results than Bush/Vargas.