rluzinski
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Everything posted by rluzinski
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Wow, that was a perfect ending.
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Weeks turning it around might represent a couple extra wins over the rest of the season. That would certainly help but its just one small part.
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Weeks turning it around might represent a couple extra wins over the rest of the season. That would certainly help but its just one small part.
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This is not even a little fun.
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Wolf is probably a 4.5 ERA pitcher these days. After 95 pitches, he's a 5+ ERA pitcher. There is no question that the right move was to pull him. That's what the facts suggest at least. A good manager needs to handle each situation differently, not just use the best "average" move at all times. Maybe most of the time Wolf should be pulled but not every time because he "becomes" a 5+ ERA pitcher after 7 innings. If he is pitching well and not losing speed or location the averages should be thrown out the window. Studies have shown that good results does not suggest a starter will perform better "than average" going forward. If you can identify when they have better stuff, more power to you. I don't see any evidence that MLB managers can. The fact is, even if we assume Wolf is as good after 95 pitches as he was after 0, the bullpen is STILL the better option.
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Wolf is probably a 4.5 ERA pitcher these days. After 95 pitches, he's a 5+ ERA pitcher. There is no question that the right move was to pull him. That's what the facts suggest at least.
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Having Gomez bat 2nd is dumb. Having Aoki sacrifice the runner to second in front of Gomez is just painful, IMO.
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I bet after Fiers beat the Dodgers earlier this year, their fans talked about how Dodger batters are always under performing against bad starting pitchers.
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According to Fangraphs, the value of Hart's recent performances are as follows: 2010: $15 mil 2011: $19 mil 2012: $13 mil (extrapolated) After regression and age adjustment (he's past the average peak), you might be looking at a projection of around $11-$12 mil for 2014. If he wants to extend his current deal at $10 mil per for a year or two, great. I suspect he wouldn't, so I would be fine with him just playing out his current contract. The Brewers can still trade him at the deadline next year if they want to.
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I wouldn't want batters who've hit well at all levels for years to make any significant changes to their approach.
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Greatest Brewerfan Game Thread Ever
rluzinski replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I was so jet lagged during that game that I was less tired at 2 AM than I was at 10 PM. Funny how two of the most memorial games for me (that and the Sheets 18K game) happened so close to each other. -
No it isn't: MLB 2B, 2011: .260/.319/.388/.708 MLB 2B, 2012: .253/.317/.381/.699 And like it or not, if you want to buy a player who projects to be average in free agency, you are going to spend around $8-$10 mil. If you assume just average defense, Weeks does not have to have even an .800 OPS to earn his salary. Going forward, he's projected to have a .236/.337/.422 line this year. He can't undo what he's already done (his product was worth negative $, obviously) but if he could reach that modest project and play average defense, he'll earn his money going forward. That's why he's still in the lineup.
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"I realize I shouldn't have sworn, but the event service staff were incredibly rude and provocative, and almost seemed like they wanted a fight." They probably thought the same thing about you.
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No way is Weeks going to get benched for a month at ths point. Not even close. And Weeks is only batting 5th because there are almost no other options. What would you even propose?
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Another failed squeeze attempt. As I've mentioned before, you need almost a 100% sucess rate to make them worthwhile. Thank you Maldonado!
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What happened with the HR? I just have a hard time beliving his defense is worth more than Green starting at 1st against a RHP. Is Aoki not a real option at CF or what? More super secret factors that RR is considering?
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Do you really want us to answer that?
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If you'd like, I'll risk $60 v. your $50 since I did go overboard with the hyperbole. 450 ab's is good with me. http://www.alsa.org/donate/ $60/$50.... 450 AB sounds good.
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Like I said, I was more interested when you said it was a "huge dog". And of course, the lower the AB threshold, the the better chance he hits the under. Then again, the higher the AB total, the more likely he DID start hitting better. Then again, presuming you don't pick the American Hair Band Association as your charity, it will be for a good cause. How about 450+ official AB's? He can lose a bunch of starts and still reach that. If I win, you can send the $50 here: http://www.alz.org/ Let me know if you are in and what charity.
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Well, it's a lot less fun if I don't get the odds associated with your "huge dog" statement Tell me what odds you are willing to give me. Here's what ZiPS Projections says: Current: .160 BA, 232 PA Projected, Rest-of-Season: .236 BA, 354 PA Total, 2012: .206 BA, 586 PA The biggest question is probably whether Weeks will start losing a little playing time if he struggles into August.
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How much of a dog? 3:1? 2:1? How much do you want to bet? We can donate the proceeds to charity. Sounds like fun, no?
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It's been depressing to watch Weeks perform so poorly for this first 200 AB this year. I can handle when a guy like Izturis or Gomez hits poorly since I expect them to. They are what they are at this point. I usually take it for granted that Weeks is going to be a major part of this offense, however. For him to struggle so mightily for no apparent reason is just frustrating.
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There we go!
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I'm very happy with Aoki's start but we are still only talking about 108 AB. I want to see him getting more starts but he hasn't proven anything yet.