Average Runs Scored, 1999-2002 1st & 2nd, 0 out: 1.573 2nd & 3rd, 1 out: 1.467 1st & 2nd, 1 out: 0.971 Even if Yost assumed a 100% success success rate for Trent's sacrifice attempt, it would STILL be the wrong move. Assuming something like an 75% success rate, it becomes down right STUPID. If some baseball nerd like me can pull this information off the friggin internet, you would think a manager of a friggin professional baseball team would be privy to it.