2023 Brewers Zips Projections

[wallus]

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2023-zips-projections-milwaukee-brewers/

Discuss

[Brewcrew82]

1 hour ago, wallus said:

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2023-zips-projections-milwaukee-brewers/

Discuss

Looks like a 90 win team to me if that's how it shakes out. A little more bearish on Contreras than Steamer, but also significantly more bullish on Hiura. 

[Brock Beauchamp]

From the article

Quote

I find how Milwaukee uses Hiura to be really weird. His better overall results when making contact didn’t seem to make the Brewers any more interested in getting him playing time than they were when he was at his absolute worst. They use him like a guy they’re not big on, but they still keep him around.

Same, bro.

[Robocaller]

Some of those player comparisons were pretty funny.

 

[Jake McKibbin]

It has Joey Weimer getting 510 PA's wit a proj line of 216/288/375, though it does have him with a 7 Defensive mark

Cant see him getting that many with a line like that tbh, more likely TT gets an increase on his proj 390 PA's

Also seems quite high on the likes of Toro which i find interesting

 

Pitching wise, Ashby getting only 100 ish innings is a surprise, but it shows that of top 5 starters, Lauer is likely to have lowest ERA?

Also Luke Barker, what do we know of him? An ERA+ of 106 isnt too shabby at all... although have also got Luis perdomo at a 110 ERA+ so a bit questionable there perhaps

[Lathund]

12 minutes ago, jakedood said:

It has Joey Weimer getting 510 PA's wit a proj line of 216/288/375, though it does have him with a 7 Defensive mark

Cant see him getting that many with a line like that tbh, more likely TT gets an increase on his proj 390 PA's

Also seems quite high on the likes of Toro which i find interesting

 

Pitching wise, Ashby getting only 100 ish innings is a surprise, but it shows that of top 5 starters, Lauer is likely to have lowest ERA?

ZiPS itself doesn't really project playing time; if you look at the lists of projected players, it obviously adds up to several times the amount of PAs actually available. Whereas the little graphic (And eventually the "Depth Charts" part of FG once ZiPS is fully released, right now it's only Steamer) uses estimates of playing time, which is why the positional totals don't match the totals for the names listed. 

Can check the playing time estimates below. Obviously an inexact science at this stage of the offseason, but it'll get updated as players are added, cut, injured. 

https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=ALL&teamid=23

[Jake McKibbin]

31 minutes ago, Lathund said:

ZiPS itself doesn't really project playing time; if you look at the lists of projected players, it obviously adds up to several times the amount of PAs actually available. Whereas the little graphic (And eventually the "Depth Charts" part of FG once ZiPS is fully released, right now it's only Steamer) uses estimates of playing time, which is why the positional totals don't match the totals for the names listed. 

Can check the playing time estimates below. Obviously an inexact science at this stage of the offseason, but it'll get updated as players are added, cut, injured. 

https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=ALL&teamid=23

This seems much better, I actually think the projections for them look much more sound and understandbale though i did like the 80/20 on ZiPS. Interesting to see what they feel a high limit of a good year for Adames is and set us dreamers off

[SF70]

2 hours ago, jakedood said:

It has Joey Weimer getting 510 PA's wit a proj line of 216/288/375, though it does have him with a 7 Defensive mark

Cant see him getting that many with a line like that tbh, more likely TT gets an increase on his proj 390 PA's

Also seems quite high on the likes of Toro which i find interesting

 

Pitching wise, Ashby getting only 100 ish innings is a surprise, but it shows that of top 5 starters, Lauer is likely to have lowest ERA?

Also Luke Barker, what do we know of him? An ERA+ of 106 isnt too shabby at all... although have also got Luis perdomo at a 110 ERA+ so a bit questionable there perhaps

Luke Barker had TJ surgery, was released by the Brewers and is a minor-league FA.