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Brewcrew82

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Everything posted by Brewcrew82

  1. He’s likely going to surpass Ryan O’Hearn’s deal from last year. 31 is not that old, and he’s got the best wRC+ on the market.
  2. Disagree. I think things are very much trending in favor of the Brewers tendering Bauers the QO. He's likely to end up as the best bat by wRC+ on a FA market which is otherwise going to be particularly devoid of elite hitting. I think he easily beats out Ryan O'Hearn's deal. At which point the Brewers would be pretty foolish not to give him the QO and obtain draft pick compensation.
  3. Think there's definitely a case to be made for selling high on Mitchell in the offseason. He's entering his second season of arbitration and is going to be due for a decent pay increase. Do you really believe he's suddenly figured out how to stay healthy, especially as he gets older (he's already 28)? Plus Chourio and Lara both have the ability to play CF quite well..... At the same time provided he gets offseason surgery to fix his shoulder, I would probably hold onto Sal Frelick and bet on a bounce-back season after which you can hopefully sell on the higher end as Payne and Adamczewski start to factor in at the big league level.
  4. Yeah, but how does it rank if you take out those 20 run games?!
  5. Fun fact: Since June 1st (414 PAs and a time period during which he was hitting like Tyrone Taylor apparently), Jackson Chourio has been a top 5 player in baseball by fWAR. Since August 1st, he's been the best player in the majors outside of Chicago. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2026&month=1000&season1=2026&ind=0&startdate=2026-06-01&enddate=2026-09-12&team=0&sortcol=21&sortdir=default
  6. It's quite literally what was said....You were wrong in that moment (as many people pointed out) and happen to be even more wrong now. The end. Good thing is nobody is right all the time! Have a good night.
  7. No. You're trying to rewrite history that is not what you said. You said he was basically Tyrone Taylor, and several people at that time pointed out how ridiculous a statement that was even then. I'd rather not have to go back and link the direct quote.... Anyways, like I said it's okay. We all have bad takes from time to time. That's the last I'll say on the matter.
  8. Another upshot of today's thrashing is we no longer have to hear how the Brewers are last place in the majors in HRs as they have now jumped the Guardians to 29th. That's what I'm talking about!
  9. All I'll say is doubling down on that take is a choice. It was a ridiculous comparison then and is even more ridiculous now. It's actually okay to admit when you're wrong. We all have bad takes from time to time.
  10. I'll take the real Tyrone Taylor any day.
  11. The issue with this thinking is the 1 seed doesn't necessarily guarantee you more Miz home starts in the postseason. For instance, if the NLDS goes to 5 games like last year, with Miz presumably pitching game 5, the earliest he's then available is a game 3 in the NLCS which would be on the road with HFA. Plus, Dodger Stadium has not exactly been a "problem mound" for Miz. He's shoved there in his appearances both in the regular season and the postseason including just a month ago. So, that still leaves me not caring whatsoever about HFA....
  12. Prospect rankings notoriously hedge on guys who carry 25+% K rates in the upper minors. You're seeing the same with Fischer but to an even greater extent.
  13. It's simple for me: is there a meaningful difference in your WS odds being the 1 seed vs. the 2 seed? I strongly tend towards no. I certainly don't fear Dodger Stadium in a hypothetical Game 7 of the NLCS. As for the quality of the NLDS opponent, I'd arguably rather face Atlanta or San Diego/Arizona vs. Philly or Chicago. They can do whatever for all I care once that bye, which enables you to skip over an entire round of the postseason, is clinched.
  14. There has most definitely been an appreciable jump this year....
  15. Naylor's clear utility to this roster is that he allows you to play both Contreras and Sanchez and then substitute for them late in games if needed. That matters more than anything Brandon Lockridge could realistically provide.
  16. Is this Tyrone Taylor-lite?
  17. Yeah, this is not going to happen lol
  18. JC has gotten a ton of deserved love after his heroics last night, but did you know that he's now on a 30+ HR pace (and 5+ WAR pace) over a full season of PAs... How differently do we think of his season if he doesn't get dinged on the hand in a WBC tuneup and miss the first 6 weeks....
  19. 14 position players. 12 pitchers. Same as last year. No need for additional pitchers in a 5 game series. Position player spots are as straightforward as it gets. Identical 14 as are on the roster currently. Naylor has an overwhelming advantage for the last spot (likely over Lockridge) as his presence allows them to play Contreras and Sanchez together and then pinch run for one or both late in games. In terms of the starting lineup, only real questions are Vaughn starting against RHP and Bauers in the OF vs. Vaughn on the bench against RHP and Frelick/Lara in the OF. Unless Frelick shows tangible signs of life with the bat in the next couple weeks, I would lean towards Vaughn at 1B and Bauers in RF against both sides. Defense is a real concern though with Miz and Hendo both being flyball pitchers. As for the pitching staff, the picture gets slightly more blurry. I also have the same 12 as are on the roster currently (minus Sproat). But a couple of those spots are tenuous. One is obviously Harrison. I still have him starting (or at least opening) game 3 but I desperately need to see increased signs of life from him over the next few weeks. If he continues to bleed runs and long balls, I would very much trend to leaving him off the roster altogether and install Gasser in his place as an opener. I'm curious to see Sproat pitch, because if he looks improved out of the pen like I think he might he could also take Harrison's roster spot. May's rotation spot is also relatively tenuous, but I have more confidence in him as at least an opener given his stuff and experience. In the pen, Senzatela holds a clear lead over Grant Anderson for the last spot because he doesn't completely suck against left handed hitters. Still leaving the door slightly ajar for Wagoner, but he needs to pitch on a major league mound first and time is basically expired.
  20. For NLDS: C: Contreras, Sanchez, Naylor IF: Bauers, Vaughn, Turang, Pratt, Ortiz, Hamilton OF: Chourio, Mitchell, Lara, Frelick DH: Yelich SP: Miz, Hendo, Harrison OR Gasser, May RP: Megill, Uribe, Ashby, Hall, Patrick, Jo Jo, Drohan, Senzatela vs. RHP: 1. Turang 2B 2. Chourio LF 3. Bauers RF 4. Contreras C 5. Yelich DH 6. Vaughn 1B 7. Mitchell CF 8. Ortiz 3B 9. Pratt SS vs. LHP 1. Chourio LF 2. Vaughn 1B 3. Contreras C 4. Bauers RF 5. Sanchez DH 6. Ortiz 3B 7. Turang 2B 8. Lara CF 9. Pratt SS
  21. Kid really deserves a Gold Glove for his efforts this year. Sorry Ian Happ, but it's true.
  22. He's had more than a good year in left. Statistically, he's been the best LFer in the NL and a front runner for a Gold Glove.
  23. Ask and ye shall receive cause that is indeed the lineup except with Sanchez and Contreras switched.
  24. Best LF in the NL (better than Juan Soto). Missed 6 weeks of the season. Won't turn 23 until next March when the Brewers will still have 7 years of team control over him!
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