Brewers (Montas) vs Braves (Morton): 8/8/24, 11:20am

[yourout]

Dayum.. What a series. 

A couple of more series like that and you could almost put a bow on the division.

[BruisedCrew]

j

2 hours ago, tmwiese55 said:

I know its tough to crack the negativity and pessimism.  But, lets just say its 50 games now for all teams.  For the one 9 back to win something like this has to happen:  The team that's been good for 110 games goes something like 20-30, which is a big outlier to begin with.  And then the team that's been blah all year has to go 30-20 to win.  Now, both happen at the same time.    If the good team goes just .500 with 25 wins. The other has to go 35-15,which is almost impossible

I think everyone understands the basic arithmetic and probability. 

But we have also seen enough of those outliers, involving the Brewers and others, to recognize that what seems nearly impossible or highly improbable does happen in baseball.

Things like the 2014 Brewers going 71-55, and then 11-25 the rest of the way to go from leading the division by  3 games to finishing 8 games behind the Cardinals.

Or the 2021 Cardinals, who were 69-68 finishing 21-4 to come from nowhere to claim a wild card spot.

So, I don’t think it’s so much negativity and pessimism as it is caution and not taking anything for granted. 

Note my signature.

[willie key]

Cards lose 

[markedman5]