Bauers to Red Sox 4/58M

[Lucas O.]

17 minutes ago, liveforoctober said:

I would be shocked if that is true. Doesn't Fenway have the shortest right field wall distance in all of baseball?.. and it is like 4 ft tall to boot. Any ball to the warning track in right at AmFam is a home run in Boston. I would think lefties dream of hitting there.

Although maybe they get pull conscious because of it and overswing or something... who knows.

Pesky’s Pole is the shortest to right field in MLB but it gets deep really quick after that. RF in Boston is one of the deepest in MLB.

[liveforoctober]

I was curious so I took a peek. Take this source FWIW, but this ranks Fenway as the #2 best ballpark for power hitting lefties (behind Coors)... but in terms of run production it is just above average. Compared to AmFam it is markedly better for power hitting, but just a tick better for overall run production. Again, source viability unconfirmed.

MLB Park Factors 2026 | Stadium Effects on Hitting

[Lucas O.]

6 minutes ago, liveforoctober said:

I was curious so I took a peek. Take this source FWIW, but this ranks Fenway as the #2 best ballpark for power hitting lefties (behind Coors)... but in terms of run production it is just above average. Compared to AmFam it is markedly better for power hitting, but just a tick better for overall run production. Again, source viability unconfirmed.

MLB Park Factors 2026 | Stadium Effects on Hitting

3 year rolling park factors per baseball savant has Fenway as the most friendly for LHH when it comes to doubles (green monster and huge RF effect) but the 5th least friendly when it comes to HR. 
 

Per Bauers baseball savant page he has 87 career HR but would only have 67 if he played every game in his career at Fenway. Only San Francisco is lower at 64.

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/statcast-park-factors?type=year&year=2026&batSide=L&stat=index_wOBA&condition=All&rolling=3&parks=mlb&sort=index_hr&sortDir=desc

[homer]

1 hour ago, liveforoctober said:

I would be shocked if that is true. Doesn't Fenway have the shortest right field wall distance in all of baseball?.. and it is like 4 ft tall to boot. Any ball to the warning track in right at AmFam is a home run in Boston. I would think lefties dream of hitting there.

Although maybe they get pull conscious because of it and overswing or something... who knows.

It goes almost straight backwards from the foul pole. So while short to the pole it gets deep quickly. If I have time I'll see if I can overlay Bauers home runs at home onto Fenway 

[cragi]

For perspective as to how “borderline” Bauers was as a QO, only 2 players with a QO signed for less per year than Bauers in the past 5 years according to Grok.

Tyler Anderson turned down $20 with the dodgers in 2022 to take 3/$39 ($13)

Nick Pivetta turned down 21 with Red Sox to get 4/55 with the padres in 2024

so literally the bottom of the QO list here and fortunate to get a comp A. Bauers didn’t exactly bet on himself

 

[liveforoctober]

6 minutes ago, cragi said:

For perspective as to how “borderline” Bauers was as a QO, only 2 players with a QO signed for less per year than Bauers in the past 5 years according to Grok.

Tyler Anderson turned down $20 with the dodgers in 2022 to take 3/$39 ($13)

Nick Pivetta turned down 21 with Red Sox to get 4/55 with the padres in 2024

so literally the bottom of the QO list here and fortunate to get a comp A. Bauers didn’t exactly bet on himself

 

I know this isn't how it happened, but for my own fairy tale version of this year I am going to believe Bauers told the Brewers to offer him and he would decline so they could get the comp as one final thank you on his way out.

(I understand his new team is now penalized for signing him because of it. Leave my version of the story alone.)

[Gump]

We all saw it coming. Atleast he isn’t in the NL Central. I wish him the best of luck. 

[RWeeksFan23]

I was really, really hoping he would take the QO. 

I really wanted to run it back completely for next season. (as much as possible anyway)

Bauers is such a great hitter, and as someone already pointed out earlier, advanced metrics backed up his success. It wasn't some fluky season. Bauers will be missed!

[baseball101]

Yes! This is just like a three game losing streak July IGT!

[homer]

43 minutes ago, baseball101 said:

Yes! This is just like a three game losing streak July IGT!

It's not.

[greenlawler]

13 hours ago, Brewcrew82 said:

These are all good points, but I wouldn't leave out that Vaughn's metrics declined last year.

I also don't think the Brewers were happy with their investment in Hoskins in hindsight. Plus they didn't have a Luke Adams, for instance, mashing in AAA back then. 

I may be wrong, but Vaughn's injury effected his power. It's the type of injury that takes a year to fully get it back. 

I am perfectly happy to have Vaughn penciled in as the starter. 

Plus I think it's a big gamble to think Jake duplicates his success from last year. I do wish him the best in Boston.